Sunday, June 18, 2006

July 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

These forecasts were calculated between November 16, 2005 and November 28, 2005.

July 2-4
Forecast: The tropics may begin to rumble as planetary indicators off the coast of Veracruz, Mexico suggest the possibility of tropical storm formation there.
The Arklatex region shows signs of severe weather as moisture from the Gulf of Mexico is pumped into the area.

July 3-5
Forecast: Conditions will be favorable now for tropical storm or hurricane formation over the eastern Pacific around 120 West Longitude and 17 North Latitude.
Thunderstorms will roam the western U.S. into the Rockies.

July 4-6
Forecast: The extreme southern portions of Mexico in and around the states of Chiapas and Tabasco are in line for tropical activity. Severe weather potential, which may indicate tropical storm or hurricane formation also exists over the Baja California.

In the Atlantic, the area east of the Lesser Antilles around 58 West Longitude and 16 North Latitude is a vulnerable area for hurricane formation.

Windy and stormy action will center over the western Great Lakes area, and then move eastward over the Mid-Atlantic region. A low pressure area over New England will lead to storms that may reach severe limits as it pushes toward the Canadian Maritimes.

An active weather period continues throughout the West U.S. with severe weather likely over Oregon, Nevada, Utah, and Idaho.

July 6-9
Tropical storm or hurricane formation is likely now east of the Lesser Antilles.

July 8-10
Forecast: A broad area in the Gulf of Mexico stretching from the tip of the Yucatan through the central Gulf may be the focal point for tropical showers to develop into a more organized system.

July 13-15
The development of a tropical system is likely in the southwestern Caribbean. Tropical moisture is indicated as well over the western portions of Cuba and the Florida Peninsula.

July 16-18
Forecast: The west central coast of Mexico near 106 West Longitude and 21 North Latitude shows the potential for severe weather which may be a tropical storm system.

July 17-19
Forecast: The east coast of Mexico also shows potential for tropical storm development. The area in question lies along 98 West and 23 North over the States of Tamaulipas and Veracruz.

On the U.S. mainland, northern and western Texas may see severe storms or tornadoes. Further north, over Minnesota and Wisconsin, dangerous storms and damaging winds will be the attention-getter. This potent weather system then continues toward the east over the Mid-Atlantic region and New England.

July 27-30
Forecast: The inhabitants of the western coast of Mexico around the States of Chihuahua, Michoacan, Jalisco, and Nayarit should prepare for tropical storm development.

It seems the East Coast will be the focal point for severe weather as well. It may be a tropical system affecting the Carolinas and northward. The Upper Mississippi Valley also stands out in regards to strong winds.

July 31-August 2
Forecast: Tropical storm or hurricane development is now likely east of the Lesser Antilles.
New England is also slated for more severe weather now.

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