Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Forecast Results June 10-16, 2011

Two areas of the country were specified for severe weather in the long-range weather forecast for June 10-16. The first area encompassed the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles northward through Nebraska. A strong low pressure area was forecast to bring severe weather that would continue eastward to the Mississippi Valley.
12 Midwest
Accuweather reported that as early as Saturday (June 11th)destructive thunderstorms tore over a zone from far southeastern Montana into the panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas. The storms continued to march eastward bringing flooding downpours to eastern Kansas and Missouri on the 12th.

14 Oklahoma to Illinios
By the 14th, severe thunderstorms shifted eastward into parts of the Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys with damaging winds, hail, and some possible tornadoes according to Accuweather. The above Accuweather map shows the area in question fulfilling the long-range forecast based on planetary cycles involving Saturn, the Sun, and Mercury.
The second part of the forecast stated that the Gulf of Mexico from north of the Yucatan (around 89W/23N) to western Cuba might be worth watching for signs of tropical activity between June 10-14. No major system developed at this time. The National Weather Service did mention that a cyclonic center developed around 85W/28N on the 11th, which was the general area I pinpointed. Other than that, the Gulf was largely lifeless. For those tuning into the planetary aspects that these forecasts are based on, the Sun's conjunction to Mercury was the basis for this forecast, however, the Sun's conjunction to a retrograde Mercury (the inferior conjunction) seems to be more powerful in spawning tropical systems when occurring during hurricane season than the Sun's conjunction to a direct Mercury (the superior conjunction). The conjunction on June 12th was a superior conjunction.

Should we only believe what can be scientifically proven?

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