Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Forecast Results for the Solar Eclipse of Nov. 13, 2012

Here are the results of the weather forecasts for the Solar Eclipse of Nov. 13, 2012. These were posted on June 10th, 2012. The solar eclipse affected a number of places due to the placement of the Sun, Moon, Mercury, and Neptune. Severe weather was expected over these locations roughly between Nov 12-15.

The first location was located around 133 west longitude and 41 north latitude, which lies off the West Coast of the United States. The forecast suggested a powerful low pressure area would develop there and affect the U.S. West Coast. The Weather Channel map below for the 16th shows a low pressure area headed toward California and the Pacific Northwest.
Nov 16
On the 15th, the Weather Channel headline stated " Rain and Snow Bombard the West Coast." On the 16th, the  headline read " Storm Parade Rolls on for the West Coast."

The next area was in the western Atlantic around 53 west longitude and 23 north latitude. I expected tropical storm or hurricane formation around there. Nothing very impressive resulted. The National Weather Service reported the following on the 13th:

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 18N-32N BETWEEN 56W-70W. THIS LARGE AREA OF
SURFACE TROUGHING IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS WITH CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING IN THE PROCESS

Another important area was found over the eastern Europe. I expected heavy downpours there. The big news between the 13th and 15th was the flooding in Italy, which is a bit farther west but still "in the zone" as it were. The map below is an aerial view of Orte near Rome.
Italy Floods
On the 16th, outbreaks of rain occurred across the Baltic States in Russia.

The next area in the forecast was Korea. Here, I expected a tropical system or powerful low pressure area. I don't have much in the way of weather records for the area but the map below is for the 12th. Low pressure moving through Japan and Korea brought showers and colder weather according to one weather source.
12 Korea
The last area mentioned in the forecast was Brazil and Uruguay. I didn't come across anything major for this time period. Below, is the weather map for the 15th which shows at least some storminess over Brazil.
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