Monday, December 31, 2012

December 21-31, 2012 Long-range Forecast Results

Here are the first results of long-range winter weather forecasts issued on Dec. 12, 2012. These forecasts were based on the Sun's aspects to Neptune, Uranus, and Pluto. In some recent posts, we've looked at the importance of the angles the Sun makes to other planets. (See Testing Astrometeorology Part 1 and Testing Astrometeorology Part 2) Let's see how they turned out.

The first forecast was for December 21-23, 2012.

Forecast
The first aspect the Sun makes is a sextile to Neptune. Throughout the winter season, Neptune will affect the Rocky Mountains. Neptune is not known for cold winter weather but rather warm and mild conditions when aspected by the Sun. At this time, expect rising temperatures and a generally pleasant atmosphere over the Rockies.

Results
The National Weather Service map below is for December 21st. Here we see that the area over the Rockies is mostly controlled by a high pressure system, which normally equates with fair conditions.

Dec 21

Forecast
December 24-26, 2012
At this time, the Sun will square Uranus which affects the Northeast and New England. Unlike Neptune, Uranus is a cold weather breeder and when aspected by the Sun's square promises a cold wave with increasing winds, sleet, and snow.

Results
On the 24th, The Weather Channel reported "Winter Storm Euclid pounds Plains and East" then on the 26th they warned that 1 to 2 inches of heavy rain would drench Virginia, the Delmarva, and south New Jersey. Damaging wind gusts and a possible tornado were to be expected. Frozen precipitation and around 6 inches of snow was forecast for Pennsylvania. The storm would then spread into New York and New England with wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph or more. The Accuweather map below shows the conditions expected on the 26th.

25 Northeast

Forecast
December 24-31, 2012
The Sun's square to Uranus on the 25th as well as the Sun's conjunction to Pluto on the 30th, will also affect areas of Europe from Germany and Italy over to Poland and Greece with winter storm potential. We should also keep our eyes on Alaska for a strong winter storm at this time.

Results
Europe
On the 25th, heavy outbreaks of snow were felt across Norway, Sweden, and southern Finland. Snow changed to rain across the Baltic states, and gales were experienced across northern Europe. By the 28th, heavy snow hit the former Yugoslavia with heavy rain and sleet affecting southern Italy. The 30th brought heavy showers and rain to Poland.

Alaska
The National Weather Service map below is for December 26th. The warning for that day read: PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. On the 28th, the NWS issued a winter storm warning: WINTER STORM TO BRING SNOW AND WIND TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

Long-range Weather Forecasts Winter 2012-13
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Fall Weather 2012: Eastern U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: New England
Fall Weather 2012: Central U.S.
Fall Weather 2012: The U.S. West Coast
Mars Conjunct Saturn August 15, 2012
Jupiter-Neptune and Heavy Rain
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

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