Sunday, February 14, 2016

February 7-10, 2016 Forecast Results

My long-range weather forecast for February 7-10 was posted on January 6th. The forecast warned that due to the alignment between the Sun and Mars at that time We will likely see a strong winter storm system gear up over the central U.S. and affect the northern tier states and Midwest between February 7-10. The storm during this period could push eastward and affect the Mid-Atlantic coast on up through the Northeast and New England with a weather pattern similar to that of January 2014.

The National Weather Service reported on February 6th that A deep surface low will track across the Upper Mississippi Valley on Sunday (Feb 7)...that will usher in much colder temperatures for the north-central U.S....Temperatures departures from normal highs are expected to drop from +25 today to -10 for Monday. In addition, winds will strengthen through tonight and spread  southeastward across the region on Sunday along with snow showers. 

On the 7th, the NWS also reported A second storm system is currently producing blizzard-like
conditions throughout portions of the lower Northern Plains and Minnesota. They also reported frigid temperatures from the north with winds gusting to 40 and 50 mph.

For Sunday into Monday (Feb 7-8), posted the following map showing the storm system affecting the Northeast and New England with coastal flooding and strong winds. The Accuweather headling read Waves of arctic air to freeze the eastern US into Valentine's Day

06 Northeast 1

The second part of the forecast pertained to the western U.S. where I envisioned a round of winter storms punching their way into the West Coast. On the 6th, the National Weather Service reported strong and gusty winds for the 6th and 7th over portions of southern California due to building high pressure over the Great Basin area.

The high pressure area took hold and increased temperatures for the region as shown in the AccuWeather map below. Except for the aforementioned windy conditions, this is pretty much the opposite of what I expected. Although the effect of the planet Mars on the weather has traditionally been that of increasing temperatures, I foresaw this particular Sun-Mars alignment as being more of a storm breeder than anything else.

08 West

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results
March 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Budget Cuts May Lead to Climate Scientists Losing Jobs 


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