The Weather Alternative

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Hurricane Hot Spots June 2011

The following long-range weather forecasts reveal some dates and places worth watching for tropical activity and other forms of severe weather. The slower moving planets can have a major impact on the weather as they align in important configurations. During June of this year, Uranus and Pluto will be only 2 degrees shy of an exact square. The square or 90 degree aspect between planets in astrometeorology brings low pressure systems and disruptive atmospheric conditions.

June 17-20
On the 18th and 19th of June, Mercury will trigger this square by squaring Uranus and then opposing Pluto. One of the areas vulnerable to their influence is just east of the Bahamas and southward through Haiti. This is an area that has the potential to develop a tropical system or some type of severe weather pattern. New England is another area, which most likely will experience a severe weather pattern of its own.

The Baja California also stands out as an area where tropical storm or severe weather conditions may develop. Since I'm already expecting a low pressure or tropical system around June 21-23, this may be a build up of that. The Rockies appear to be affected by a strong front or low pressure system at this time as well.

June 20-23
Mercury will square Saturn on the 21st and Mars will square Neptune on the 22nd. One area that stands out for possible tropical storm development is around 67 west longitude and 25 north latitude. This is roughly 550 miles east of the Bahamas and 430 miles north of Puerto Rico. This may be the same system mentioned in the above June 17-20 forecast or an independent one. The Rockies are also highlighted again for severe weather conditions in the form of a front or storm system. This could be a time when the melting snowpack brings flooding conditions to the area.

June 2011: Long-range Weather Forecasts

Neptune and Rockies Flood Potential

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Thursday, May 26, 2011

June 2011: Long-range Weather Forecasts

Johannes Kepler, the discoverer of the planetary laws of motion, developed a long-range weather forecast system based on planetary cycles. His success as a long-range weather forecaster or astro-meteorologist preceded his success as the discoverer of the laws of motion. Here are some forecasts for June based on his system.

On June 3rd, Mercury will square Neptune. The square or 90 degree aspect is a storm-breeding relationship between two planets. On the same day, Neptune will begin its retrograde motion. This means that from our viewpoint on earth, Neptune will appear to move backwards in the heavens. The retrograde motion of Neptune has been observed to coincide with excessive humidity and abundant moisture.

Key charts used in making astro-meteorological forecasts show the influence of Mercury and Neptune over the western U.S., the Baja Peninsula, and the area around Guadalajara, Mexico. The above astro-locality map shows the area in and around Arizona to be particularly affected by Neptune's pluvial influence. In my experience, the effects of a retrograde planet build up over the days after it begins its retrograde motion. I think the period between June 3rd and 7th should show that the above mentioned areas will receive an influx of moisture due to low pressure systems or fronts. The Guadalajara area and the Baja could see a tropical system affecting them since the eastern Pacific is now in hurricane season or it could be some other type of severe weather pattern. The Arizona area may see an increased monsoonal flow triggering abundant moisture at this time.

On June 12th, Saturn will also change its apparent motion after about 4 1/2 months of its backward boogie. Saturn will now appear to move forward in the heavens. This change of motion has been observed to correspond to cold and damp conditions. When coupled with the Sun's conjunction to Mercury on the same day, which can excite windy conditions, these can all work together to bring noticeable weather patterns.

Astro-locality maps draw our attention to a number of places. One place where the Sun, Mercury, and Saturn join forces is in and around the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles up through Nebraska. One possibility is that a strong low pressure system is ejected out of the Rockies into the central Plains bringing severe weather in eastward transit to the Mississippi Valley area. Our time frame is roughly between the 12th and the 16th.

Another area that might be worth watching from around the 10th through the 14th is the Gulf of Mexico. The area just north of the Yucatan Peninsula (around 89W/23N) over to western Cuba and northward to the Central Gulf Coast may show signs of tropical activity.

Neptune and Rockies Flood Potential

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Alister McGrath on Science and the New Atheism

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Neptune and Rockies Flood Potential

Conventional weather forecasters are concerned that the snowpack that has accumulated in the northern and central Rockies, Cascades, and Sierra Nevada due to a long-running winter with deep snowfall may mean downstream flooding for those areas when warmer conditions melt the snowpack. The light pink and white areas on the map below depict snow water content over 30 inches. Image appears courtesy of NOAA.

A great deal of the snowpack is still intact due to unseasonably cool conditions and with the combination of cool, wet weather, more snow continues to fall. Some meteorologists, however, are forecasting above-normal warmth through the Rockies during the month of June. A rapid thaw could lead to dangerous flooding.

According to astro-meteorology, which ventures long-range forecasts based on planetary cycles, the influence of the planet Neptune affects the western United States during the spring season as shown on the map below.

Some of the effects of Neptune on weather conditions due to its connection with southerly airflows according to the late George J. McCormack are thaws and snow slides in mountain areas. Times when this influence is activated should be when Neptune is aspected by other planets. Here are some approximate dates to watch for.

May 22nd- Sun square Neptune

June 3rd- Mercury square Neptune

June 8th- Jupiter sextile Neptune

June 10th- Venus square Neptune

June 16th- Mercury trine Neptune

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Wednesday, May 18, 2011

May 8-17, 2011 Forecast Results

The close conjunction of Mercury and Venus throughout the May 8-17 period was the basis of the long-range forecast posted on April 29th. There were basically three areas that were emphasized: the Plains, the western Atlantic, and the West Coast.

The Plains
The first portion of the forecast for the Plains spoke of increasing temperatures due to a moist, southerly airflow and the possibility of damaging thunderstorms, hail, and tornadoes. The areas to be affected were the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles and eastward toward the Mississippi Valley.

The first Accuweather map shows the severe thunderstorm threat for the 8th through the 10th over Texas and Oklahoma and continuing toward the Mississippi River Valley.

The next Accuweather map for the 9th confirms the increasing temperatures and moisture talked about in the forecast.

Greatly enhanced storm potential was the forecast for the Plains during the May 10-12 period.
This next map for the 11th shows the area slated for tornadoes, large hail, and severe thunderstorms.

The forecast for the final period, May 14-17, specified through the Plains, Deep South, and East Central States. This next map shows the lingering low pressure area affecting the East Central and Northeast States from the 15th through the 18th.

The Western Atlantic
The forecast for the whole period mostly concentrated on an area roughly 420 to 475 miles northeast of the Lesser Antilles centering around 54 west longitude and 19 north latitude, and looked for a low pressure system (not necessarily tropical) that would affect the area. A strong low was forecast to develop between the 14th through the 17th.

The National Weather Service made the following comments throughout the period:
May 9: Low-level moisture continues to pool along a surface trough from 18N55W into the NE Caribbean...
May 11: A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W TROPICAL ATLC INTO THE NE CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM 21N55W ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS NEAR 18N63W.
May 15: ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE CENTRAL ATLC. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 53W...

The following weather map is for May 15 and shows the area mentioned.

This low pressure area around May 15th was broad enough that it affected Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with strong storms. Accuweather reported "More Drenching Storms for Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands. Drenching showers and thunderstorms will continue to soak the northeastern Caribbean Islands through at least early next week..."

West Coast
Between the 10th and the 17th, the West Coast was forecast to experience an increase in heat and moisture leading to storms over California, Washington, Oregon, and Idaho.

On the 14th, a low pressure area hit the West Coast States of Washington, Oregon, and Idaho as shown in the following Accuweather map. Their title was "Storm to Slam West Coast this Weekend."

On the 16th, Accuweather reported "The next shot of rain will advance onshore over northern California later today. " Here's their weather graphic.

If Evolution Were Really True, It Would Look Like This...

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

The map below shows the planetary influences at work over the Baja California at the time of the summer solstice. The summer solstice chart is used by astro-meteorologists to assess weather patterns for the summer season and issue long-range weather forecasts.

This map for the summer of 2011 in particular is of interest because of the planetary influences that concentrate over the Baja California. The two crossing lines represent the influences of Mars and Neptune. In addition to their crossing, the two planets are in a 90 degree relationship which indicates a distruptive influence on weather patterns.

Neptune's influence on the weather correlates with tropical moisture, high humidity, and heavy downpours. Mars adds energy to weather patterns through heat. Together this planetary combination can indicate low pressure areas that bring strong storms and heavy rainfall. Tropical storms and hurricanes fit this description as well.

Vacationers considering the Baja California as their destination this year should note the following dates as times when low pressure areas and/or tropical systems could threaten the area. My Hurricane Season 2011 forecasts will appear in the August edition of Dell Horoscope.

June 21-23, 2011
This is when the summer solstice chart takes effect and the square or 90 degree aspect between Mars and Neptune makes their initial contact.

July 29-31, 2011
Mercury triggers the Mars-Neptune set up now. This has the potential to result in a low pressure that generates strong winds and rain.

August 5-8, 2011
Mercury retrograde, itself an indication of windy conditions, triggers Mars-Neptune again bringing the potential a tropical system.

August 20-25, 2011
Conditions are now conducive for a low pressure system to form over the area as Venus triggers Mars and Neptune.

September 7-10, 2011
Mercury once again enters the equation and brings the possibility of a low pressure area or tropical system over the Baja.

May 8-17, 2011 Forecast

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Alister McGrath on Faith and the New Atheism

Friday, May 06, 2011

Hurricane Risk-Management

As of April 2011 Colorado State University, Weather Service International, and Tropical Storm Risk have lowered the number of hurricanes they're expecting in the Atlantic Basin for the 2011 season. Nevertheless, they all agree the season should be well above average. CSU expects 16 named storms and 9 hurricanes while Weather Service International foresees a more impactful season along the U.S. coastline. They estimate 15 named storms and 8 hurricanes. Tropical Storm Risk calls for 14 named storms and 7 to 8 hurricanes. They realize that it is, of course, impossible to precisely predict this or any season's hurricane activity in early April.

Because a land-falling hurricane can cause extensive damage, risk management experts work with models that are designed to estimate insured losses due to these tricky tropical tempests. What has presented even more of a problem for these experts is trying to anticipate where and how many hurricanes will make landfall. The three major catastrophe modelers, AIR Worldwide, EQECAT, and Risk Management Solutions (RMS) have recently concluded that their near term hurricane models have significantly overestimated losses due to land-falling hurricanes. For example, they initially projected insured loss levels for the 2006-2010 period at 35 percent above the long-term average. The actual cumulative losses, however, were less than one third of the long-term cumulative average.

Here's where the Hurricane Frequency Paradox comes into play which states that although there has been an increase in Atlantic tropical activity since the 19th century, there has not been an increase in hurricane landfalls for the United States. The answer may be due to improved observational techniques according to NOAA researchers. For example, in the days before satellite technology, some tropical systems that formed and died out at sea went undetected. Now they are tallied up with each season's hurricanes if and when they occur.

As pointed out above, the near term hurricane models can't produce credible estimates of losses at specific locations, which is what insurance companies and the average citizen are most interested in, because conventional meteorology is unable to generate long-range forecasts of hurricane strikes for specific locations. The study of astro-meteorology offers some assistance to this very problem. As put forth by Johannes Kepler, the discoverer of the planetary laws of motion, astro-meteorology is a long-range weather forecast system based on planetary cycles. The system allows the formulation of long-range weather forecasts months or years in advance that can pinpoint, not just general trends, but specific forecasts that cover the time, place, and type of weather to be expected. Although no forecast method can claim 100 percent accuracy, and astro-meteorology is no exception, it can give a much clearer picture. Tropical systems Alex, Bonnie, Earl, Matthew, and Tropical Depression 10E were all forecast months in advance last year using this method. Although no hurricane made a direct U.S. landfall last year all of these systems affected land areas in the western hemisphere. Where ever there's a problem, God has a solution--astro-meteorology may very well be, in more ways than one, heaven helping us.

May 8-17, 2011 Forecast

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Encouragement

Everyone craves encouragement. If you feel like you have no time, no energy, no expertise, no money, or little to give, don’t worry; that’s common to many of us. But we can all give through our words of encouragement, through which our lives can have influence, and we can spread God’s love wherever we go. In just five minutes or less, we can make a difference at a bus stop, on the metro, crossing the street, at the shop, at work, at school, online, going for a walk, and the list goes on.

Friday, April 29, 2011

May 8-17, 2011

There's about a two week period in May where the planets Mercury and Venus are traveling side by side in close conjunction, which doesn't normally happen. The graph below gives an idea of this. Notice the two lines that run together from the left down the the lower right. At one point they cross a third line, which represents their conjunction to Jupiter. Let's see what weather these conjunctions might engender. I'll try and mention the most outstanding dates and places.

May 7-10, 2011

There is an indication that the tropics will begin to awaken at this time. It doesn't necessarily mean that a tropical system will result but there's a strong possibility that a low pressure system will develop now about 420 northeast of the Lesser Antilles.

Another area that stands out for severe weather is the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. Mercury and Venus together indicate increasing temperatures due to a moist, southerly airflow. This can indicate the ingredients necessary to trigger damaging thunderstorms, hail, and tornadoes. These storms could then continue in eastward transit toward the Mississippi Valley.

May 10-12, 2011

At this time the three planets, Mercury, Venus, and Jupiter all conjoin. A broad area in the west central Atlantic to the Lesser Antilles is activated now so we may continue to see low pressure areas that may be monitored for development.

The Plains continues to be an area of concern as more warm, moist air will be available as a mechanism for thunderstorm generation. Storm potential is therefore greatly enhanced now.

The Full Moon and New Moon charts place these aspects over the West Coast States of California, Washington, and Oregon. Increasing heat and moisture could very well manifest as an increased monsoonal flow triggering storms over the area.

May 14-17, 2011

The West Coast States are still responding to increases in temperatures or at least warm, moist air masses. The area in and around Idaho is emphasized where storm development is a likely response.

Generally, the Plains through the Deep South and East Central States are experiencing an influx of warm, moist air from the Gulf which continues to provide the ingredients for storms.

A strong low pressure area seems likely to develop or strengthen about 475 miles northeast of the Lesser Antilles (around 54 west longitude and 19 north latitude).

Monday, April 25, 2011

April 18-24, 2011 Forecast Results

At the end of March, I posted a long-range forecast for April 18-24, 2011. The forecast zeroed in on areas that might experience "wild weather." Three areas were highlighted: Puerto Rico, the area from Northwest Texas through Tennessee and Georgia, and area about 600 miles off the coast of California.

As can be seen from the above Accuweather map of April 21, conventional meteorologists were watching a low-pressure system about 460 northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Forecasters were concerned that it might develop tropical characteristics. The low lingered in the area and by the 23rd, the National Weather Service issued its last advisory on the low pressure.

The next area for wild weather was from Northwest Texas through Tennessee and Georgia.

This was a very volatile time for this section of the States. Prior to the forecast period there were already deadly tornadoes. Within the April 18-24 window there were violent thunderstorms that hit central Texas to northern parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. There were reports of damaging winds and hail.

The above map is for the 22nd and shows the area slated for severe storms, tornadoes, and flash flooding. This is roughly the same area I pinpointed in my long-range forecast. The St. Louis airport was hit by a tornado.

The above Accuweather map is for the 23rd and shows roughly the same area that I had specified. Severe weather continued to threaten the area.

The 3rd area mentioned in the forecast was 600 miles off the coast of California. I was unable to verify either way if a low developed there or not.

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Alistar McGrath on the New Atheism

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Tropical Activity

The Weather Alternative forecast posted on March 25, 2011 specified some "wild" weather likely to form around Puerto Rico between April 18-24, 2011. Check out the Accuweather map below that shows a low pressure area developing near Puerto Rico that may even develop tropical features.

Here's what the National Weather Service is saying:

April 21, 2011
A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO HAS DEVELOPED SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
NEAR ITS CENTER. IN ADDITION...SATELLITE DATA AND SHIP REPORTS
INDICATE GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING NORTH OF THE CENTER. SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPING INTO A SUBTROPICAL
OR TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE IN
ABOUT 48 HOURS.

In a few days we'll look at the results of the complete long-range forecast.

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Friday, April 15, 2011

April 9-11, 2011 Forecast Results

The long-range forecast for April 9-11, 2011 was posted about a week beforehand on April 2nd. The forecast called for thunderstorms and severe weather over the New England area due to Pluto's retrograde station, Mars' square to Pluto and the Sun's conjunction to Mercury.

The American Meteorological Society's Data Stream Atmosphere website reported the following for April 11th:

UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHEAST -- Two waves of precipitation moved across the Northeast on Monday. Early in the day, an area of rainshowers and thunderstorms traveled across sections of Upstate New York and New England. Early morning thunderstorms across New England produced quarter size hail along the Connecticut Valley in New Hampshire and in southern Maine. This precipitation was out ahead of a warm front that moved across the region. The warm front accompanied a storm that had moved into eastern Canada. This storm was responsible for Sunday's severe weather across sections of the upper Midwest.

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Case For The Resurrection of Jesus

Wednesday, April 06, 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

I'm proud to announce that Dell Horoscope magazine will carry my long-range weather forecasts for Hurricane Season 2011. The forecasts will appear in the August 2011 edition and cover the months of August through November.

Conventional forecasters are already predicting an active season but of course are not able to pinpoint specific dates and locations. Astro-meteorology can specify when and where hurricanes and severe weather patterns are likely to hit months or even years beforehand. If you click on some of the links below, you will see a number of tropical systems from last year's hurricane season that I predicted months or weeks beforehand.

April 9-11, 2011 New England Forecast

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Why Does Power Corrupt

Saturday, April 02, 2011

April 9-11, 2011 New England Forecast

The Mars-Pluto square of April 11, 2011 will be preceded by Pluto's retrograde station on the 9th and the Sun's conjunction to a retrograde Mercury that same day.

Pluto's retrograde station will usher in cold air over the New England area while the Mars-Pluto square will generate thunderstorm potential. Adding the gusty winds that usually accompany the conjunction of the Sun to a retrograde Mercury we have the recipe for some severe weather over the New England area.

Friday, March 25, 2011

April 18-24, 2011 Severe Weather Window

There has been talk lately on Accuweather about the wild weather that might be in store for us this spring. The long-range weather forecasting technique used here on The Weather Alternative allows forecasts to be drawn up weeks, months, or years in advance pinpointing certain dates and places. The forecasts are based on planetary cycles. This approach has been used successfully for centuries and was further refined by Johannes Kepler, the discoverer of the planetary laws of motion.

An interesting, and perhaps "wild" grouping of planets forms between April 18-24, 2011 as Mercury and Mars oppose Saturn. Mercury will then linger in opposition to Saturn longer than it normally does due to its retrograde motion. The storm-breeding capabilities of these three planets when found together is well known among astro-meteorologists.

Let's look at some areas that should respond with storm systems at this time.

Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see the development of a low-pressure system around the 18th through the 20th, and later around the 23rd and 24th.

It appears that northwest Texas, Tennessee, and Georgia all stand out as being recipients of a severe weather pattern. This may indicate a system that moves from Texas eastward over Tennessee and Georgia. Since this period covers seven days, it may be actually more than one system that develops. As in the above forecast, the first few days and then the last couple of days seem to be the strongest for severe weather.

Another area likely to see the formation of a low-pressure area is about 600 miles off the California coast. The low would then move eastward over the U.S. West Coast.

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Ron Paul believes Libya intervention an ‘impeachable’ offense

Monday, March 21, 2011

SuperMoon Forecast Results

On February 14th of this year, I posted a forecast based on the influence of the SuperMoon of March 19, 2011. As we all know a SuperMoon is a new or full moon that takes place when the moon is at its closest approach to earth.

The forecast was for March 18-20 and called for cold air to enter over the Mississippi Valley and
Great Lakes area. I foresaw a storm system developing over the Kentucky/Tennessee area down through the Florida Panhandle. I also forecast a storm system to hit the New England area. The idea was that these storm systems would be intensified due to the influence of the SuperMoon.

The above weather map is from the Weather Channel for March 18th and shows cold air entering the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley area and a storm system affecting New England. Accuweather reported that this storm system buffeted upstate New York and New England with strong, gusty winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

By the 20th a storm system moved in over the Great Lakes area threatening Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois with rain and a few thunderstorms capable of torrential downpours, gusty winds, and hail. Nothing really formed over the Kentucky/Tennessee area or down to the Florida Panhandle execpt for that little low pressure area and cold front along the Gulf Coast.

The real action was out in California at this time, as can be seen on the above map. Storms were slamming the state with drenching rain and snow.

Some astro-meteorologists think you should give a larger window for your forecast during a SuperMoon and allow 2 or 3 days on either side.

This next map is for today, one day passed my forecast, and shows a stronger storm heading for New England. So within the forecast dates we did have a cold front affecting the forecast area and a storm system hitting New England. The intensity was less than I expected and also nothing really developed from Kentucky-Tennessee down to Florida.

In another forecast posted back in November of 2010, I called for a cold front over the Midwest on March 13th and 14th. This next Weather Channel map shows the cold front entering the Midwest on the 13th.

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

No Fly Zone

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Feb 12-13, 2011 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range weather forecast for the Midwest indicated that a cold front would pass through the area on Feb 12-13, 2011. The forecast, based on planetary cycles, was posted on Nov 14, 2010.

The above map from the Weather Channel is for Mar. 12th and shows a low pressure area and its attendant cold front pushing into the Midwest.

The system brought snow, slushy conditions, and wind gusts to the area. Colder than average temperatures affected the Upper Mississippi Valley.

March 18-20,2011 Special Full Moon

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Sunday, March 13, 2011

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

There has been a lot of excellent discussion recently about the SuperMoon phenomenon and the recent Japan earthquake. Fergus J. Wood, a geophysical consultant published Tidal Dynamics: Coastal Flooding, and Cycles of Gravitational Force in 1978. His views might shed some light on these recent discussions. I've chosen a few excerpts that, if I understand them correctly, echo what Mark Paquette has expressed in his post Why I Think the Extreme SuperMoon May Have Played a Role in the Earthquake.

Thursday, March 10, 2011

Storms Fulfill West Coast and Midwest Predictions

The West Coast storms for March 7-9, 2011 predicted at the end of February have materialize on schedule. The Accuweather map below shows one of the storms hitting the West Coast on the 9th.

Other storms hit on the 7th and 8th as well.

The blustery conditions over the Midwest that I predicted for March 8-10, 2011 back in November of 2010 have also come to pass. The Accuweather map below is for March 9th. The storm system brought heavy rain, snow, strong winds, and hail.

March 18-20,2011 Special Full Moon

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thought of the Day

“A man can do only what a man can do. But if he does that each day, he can sleep at night and do it again the next day.”—Albert Schweitzer

Monday, March 07, 2011

March 5-7, 2011 Forecast Results

The November 14, 2010 post entitled Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil contains long-range weather forecasts for the Midwest U.S through March 2011. The forecast for March 5-7, 2011 called for a cold front over the Midwest to trigger storms down into Kentucky and Tennessee.

The above Weather Channel map is for March 5th and shows the cold front and low pressure system over Kentucky. The front extended even further than expected down to the Gulf Coast.

Flood watches were issued for the Midwest. Many locations picked up 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain on the 5th, and a deadly tornado ripped through Louisiana. On the 6th, the storm then continued to affect the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast with wind, snow, and rain.

March 7-9, 2011 West Coast Storm

March 18-20,2011 Special Full Moon

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

The Fed Caused Disaster...

...is finally here. After 97 years of manipulation, the Fed has finally run out of maneuvering room and it is choosing runaway inflation as a way to stave off depression. EWR has been predicting this for decades. For a concise explanation, click here.

Friday, March 04, 2011

February 28-March 2, 2011 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for Feb 28-March 2, 2011 was posted on Nov. 14, 2010 and called for fair and cold conditions for the U.S. Midwest.

Combining the different reports posted by the Weather Channel, we find that on the 28th, a storm system exited the forecast area (see above map), and on the 1st and 2nd of March, a new, moisture-starved cold front pushed southward through the region. (See map for March 2nd below)

The new front brought windy conditions to the region as well.

March 7-9, 2011 West Coast Storm

March 18-20,2011 Special Full Moon

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

The Grand Design — Truth Or Fiction?

When it came to the creation of the Universe, God just wasn’t necessary. This is the conclusion renowned English physicist and cosmologist Stephen Hawking has made in his latest book with Leonard Mlodinow, The Grand Design. “It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper and set the Universe going,” Hawking writes. According to Hawking, the big bang was a natural event that would have happened without the help or involvement of God. Thus, Hawking and Mlodinow’s new book has made a big bang among laypeople. But what about these authors’ conclusions? How accurate are they? William Lane Craig, noted Christian philosopher and theologian, responds to Hawking and Mlodinow’s new book.

In summary, despite Hawking and Mlodinow’s vaunted assertions and constant sniping at religious belief throughout this book, there is actually genuine profit in it for religious believers, especially for those interested in natural theology. For the authors affirm and argue for the facts of an absolute beginning of time and the universe and of the apparently miraculous fine-tuning of the universe for intelligent life. Given the desperation and/or irrelevancy of their proffered answers to the questions that motivated their inquiry, their book turns out to be quite supportive of the existence of a transcendent Creator and Designer of the cosmos. -- William Lane Craig Read the full article here.

Monday, February 28, 2011

March 7-9, 2011 West Coast Storm

Our last lunar eclipse was the full moon of December 21, 2010. The stormy conditions promised by this eclipse have been waiting off the Pacific Northwest coast for a celestial trigger to activate it.

Between the 7th and 9th of March, the planet Mercury will provide the necessary jolt to set things moving as it parallels and conjoins Uranus. These two together indicate strong cold fronts that excite windy and stormy conditions.