and will dump 2 to 4 inches of snow over Denver, Colorado starting tonight. The Weather Alternative in its long-range forecast for November 14-19, 2007 called for severe weather over the Colorado/New Mexico area--just a bit too early.
The same forecast called for "a strong storm system to generate a windy state of affairs over the northern Rockies." The Weather Channel map at left for the 18th shows a low-pressure area north of Montana. The National Weather Service reported the following:
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT318 AM MST SAT NOV 17 2007
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
November 18:
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...WILL CONTINUE IN THE WARNED AREA INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT 9 AM CUT BANK REPORTED A GUST TO 56 MPH AT THE AIRPORT.
Forecast November 15-19, 2007
The forecast for this period mentioned a possible tropical system over the Bahamas that perhaps would travel northward.
Results
Except for a low-pressure system on the 16th, no tropical system emerged.
The National Weather Service Nov 16
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N67 W26N70W TO THE BAHAMAS NEAR 22N74W. THIS SURFACE TROUGH IS WHAT REMAINS OF THE 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER..
Forecast November 16-19, 2007
The West Coast States will endure more rain and wind as a southerly air flow feeds moisture into a low-pressure system.
Results
Accuweather confirmed the forecast with the following map and comment:
Northwest Train of Storms Updated: Thursday, November 15, 2007 10:09 AM The freight train of storms has started in the Northwest. A cold front in the region is the first of a series that will enter the region over the next few days. This system will produce rain and showers across the region, along with high winds that will make for a miserable day Thursday. Some areas of the Washington Cascades and northern Rockies will also receive freezing rain from these storms.
More Soaking Rain Updated: Sunday, November 18, 2007 8:04 AM A train of moisture building into the Northwest will bring rain and showers from the coast to Montana today. The heaviest of this moisture will be aimed at Oregon.
Forecast November 16-19, 2007
The last forecast called for dangerous storms over Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas due to the disruptive energies of the Venus-Mars square. The Venus-Mars square is exact today (19th) and a larger window would have been more appropriate for the forecast for it is just tonight that the main weather event is shaping up. The National Weather Service reports the following for Texas, Kansas, and Oklahoma:
342 PM CST TUE NOV 20 2007
...MUCH COLDER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING WINTER PRECIPITATION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...A STRONG COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS DURING THE NIGHT. IT WILL BRING THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THIS FALL SEASON.
DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WILL ENTER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY TONIGHT AND MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF OKLAHOMA BEFORE NOON ON WEDNESDAY. VERY STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD BEHIND THE FRONT.
November 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Some December, 2007 Long-range Forecasts
Becoming Sensible About Failure
We learn very little by success. Success tends to make us comfortable & complacent. A reversal on the old saying would be "Nothing fails like success."
In 1927, Babe Ruth hit sixty home runs, more than anyone in the history of baseball. He also set another record that year: He struck out more than anyone in the history of baseball. The truth is, if you want to hit home runs, you must be willing to strike out. There is no way around this simple lesson of life. If you want your children to experience the exhilaration of success, then you must encourage them to learn how to fail--& in fact, to fail a lot.
It is this insight about failure that leads virtually all great innovators to pursue their work with a kind of obsession. Thomas Edison, who dabbled in the unknown almost all his life, was inspired to say, "Show me a thoroughly satisfied man & I will show you a failure."
The successful person is not one who never fails; instead, he is a person who dusts himself off after falling, & learns what obstacles to avoid in the road. The person who shuns failure will lie in the road & whine or, even worse, stay off the road in the first place, content to take a safe, well-known course throughout life, avoiding failure & personal fulfillment at the same time.
When a reporter asked Thomas Edison how it felt to have failed 25,000 times in his effort to create a simple storage battery, his reply was, "I don't know why you are calling it a failure. Today I know 25,000 ways not to make a battery. What do you know?"
If we train our children to go after achievement & ignore inner satisfaction, then we are teaching them to take the easy path, to be more concerned about the opinions & rewards bestowed upon us by others, & consequently to avoid any hint of failing. William Jones, the psychologist & philosopher, said, "The exclusive worship of success is our national disease."
By Dr. Wayne W. Dyer
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