Monday, July 12, 2010

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

As time permits, I like to study past forecasts that I've made with the objective of improving my forecast accuracy. Over time this study has repaid itself by leading me to include refinements in my forecast method. Not too much has been left us to study from past generations of astro-meteorologist. So, many areas of the field must be pioneered afresh. Below are some experimental forecasts that are based on recent studies. Some of these seem to confirm or add additional information to forecasts that I've already posted in the past few months.

July 21-23, 2010
A low pressure area, most likely centering in and around the Georgia-Tennessee area, or front affects the East Central and Deep South area. This is similar to the July 22-25, 2010 forecast made back in April.

July 26-28, 2010
High pressure and fair conditions embrace the southern Mississippi Valley area.

July 30-August 1, 2010
An increase in temperatures and moisture over the Oklahoma-Arkansas area. Most likely will manifest as a low pressure area bringing rain.

August 11-16, 2010
A noticeable increase in temperatures is indicated over the Southwest U.S. centering over New Mexico-Arizona area.

August 21-23, 2010
A high pressure area is shown over the southern California region resulting in warm and fair conditions.

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for July

West Coast Weather Concerns July 23-31, 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for August

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part I

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Signs of Intelligence

“In the movie, scientists are scanning the skies for signs of intelligent life in space. Their radio-telescopes just receive static—random sounds from space. It’s reasonable to assume there’s no intelligence behind that. Then one day they begin receiving a transmission of prime numbers, which are numbers divisible only by themselves and one.

“The scientists reason that it’s too improbable that there would be a natural cause behind a string of numbers like that. This wasn’t merely unorganized static; it was information, a message with content. From that, they concluded there was an intelligent cause behind it. As Sagan himself once said, ‘The receipt of a single message from space’ would be enough to know there’s an intelligence out there. That’s reasoning by analogy—we know that where there’s intelligent communication, there’s an intelligent cause.”

Bradley’s eyes bored in on me as he delivered his conclusion. “And if a single message from space is enough for us to conclude there’s an intelligence behind it, then what about the vast amounts of information contained in the DNA of every living plant and animal?” he said.

“Each cell in the human body contains more information than in all thirty volumes of the Encyclopedia Britannica. It’s certainly reasonable to make the inference that this isn’t the random product of unguided nature, but it’s the unmistakable sign of an Intelligent Designer.”

Today it takes a great deal of faith to be an honest scientist who is an atheist.”

WALTER L. BRADLEY, PH.D. Quoted from The Case for Faith by Lee Strobel

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