The Weather Alternative's May 14th 2011 post offered five forecasts for Mexico's Baja Peninsula. I've been posting the results of these long-range weather forecasts as they come up. Here are the last two.
Forecast
August 20-25, 2011
Conditions are now conducive for a low pressure system to form over the area as Venus triggers Mars and Neptune.
Results
The above National Weather Service map for August 23rd shows a large area of disturbed weather that extended west of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. The system had about a 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone but remained non-tropical.
Forecast
Forecast
August 20-25, 2011
Conditions are now conducive for a low pressure system to form over the area as Venus triggers Mars and Neptune.
Results
The above National Weather Service map for August 23rd shows a large area of disturbed weather that extended west of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. The system had about a 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone but remained non-tropical.
Forecast
September 7-10, 2011
Mercury once again enters the equation and brings the possibility of a low pressure area or tropical system over the Baja.
Results
This next map is for September 6th when a large area of disturbed weather developed about 275 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. No further development took place.
Tropical Storm Nate Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast!
Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
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Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions
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The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood
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