Sunday, August 26, 2012

Olympics Weather Forecast Results

London 2012 Olympic gold medal

On July 21st, I posted some forecasts for the London Olympics. Here are the results.

July 27-29: These days seem to indicate a windy weather pattern. There are a number of indications of a warm, southerly air flow indicating warm or hot temps. It's not clear how much precipitation is involved. A low or front may set up off the east coast of England.

27th: Dry for most, though showers in the east. Feeling cooler.
29th: Sunny spells and showers, some heavy. Breezy and rather cool.
The following map is for the 28th and shows the cold front off the east coast of England as mentioned in the forecast. (All in all not a bad forecast. There was some wind, sun, precipitation, and the front off the coast.)
Europe July 28

July 31: Cool, dry weather

31st: A mostly cloudy day. Rain at times this morning but also some drier interludes.

August 2: Fair

2nd: Dry for much of the morning with bright or sunny spells. Afternoon showers, mainly dry night.

August 3: Increasing moisture brings a chance of rain.

3rd: Dry start with sunny spells but showers will develop, especially from late morning, with some of them likely to be heavy for a time before easing during the afternoon. (Pretty good forecast.)

August 4: Southerly winds, rising temperatures.

4th: Some sunny intervals but also showers

August 5: Fair conditions.

5th: Further showers are expected, locally heavy at times. (Not good!)

August 6-9: Breezy to windy, warm, dry conditions.

6th: Tonight, becoming mainly dry
8th: Dry and warm with sunny spells.
9th: Dry with some warm sunshine inland
10th: Becoming breezy (Good one!)

August 10-12: Southerly winds, warm temperatures, moderate humidity.

10th: Continuing sunny and very warm.
11th: Mostly fine on Sunday.
12th: Increasingly cloudy with outbreaks of rain during Monday afternoon. (Not bad except for the last day.)

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The Solar Eclipse of November 13, 2012
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Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Astrology and Predictions
An excerpt from Astrology News Service's interview with Nina Gryphon. Read the whole interview here.

ANS: You have a law degree. If you were to defend astrological truth claims in a court of law what might your best legal arguments be?

Gryphon: Any lawyer or politician will tell you that to win an argument one must be in control of definitions. The naming of things defines our reality, and thus contains great power. The first task, then, is to define “astrology” in such a way that gives us a chance defending its truth before an imagined objective court. So I would exclude from our definition astrology packaged as entertainment, such as mass media astrology columns. While these predictions may be entertaining, I would not be prepared to defend their accuracy in a court of law.
A working definition of astrology for our case could be: “A means of using celestial bodies to forecast future events.” If we can convince our judge to use our definition, and prove that astrology can perform according to its definition, then we will have won. If astrology can do better at predicting than its mainstream equivalent, this would be an added bonus.
Of course, astrology can be used for much more than just prediction, but predictions are easy to verify. So, our argument would rest upon being able to show that astrology is right a certain percentage of the time in a relatively unambiguous field, such as weather forecasting. Astro-meteorology has an illustrious history, with practitioners as well known as Tycho Brahe and Johannes Kepler. And there are many fine astro-meteorologists carrying on their work today. The added benefit of predicting the weather is that we can compare astrologers’ results with those of mainstream meteorologists. If astrology does better than the meteorologists, which I believe would be the case given the skilled practitioners, astrology would stand alone among the sciences. In either case, a world-view revision would be in order.

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