Thursday, April 01, 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for June

The above NOAA map shows the most likely places for tropical storm and/or hurricane formation to take place in June. On average we get about 1 hurricane forming in June every 2 years. Last year we didn't get a named storm in June. In 2008, we had Tropical Storm Arthur form on May 31st and hit the Yucatan. The year before, 2007, we had an early May subtropical storm--Andrea--form off the northeast coast of Florida, and then on June 1st, Tropical Storm Barry developed in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. And in 2006, Tropical Storm Alberto formed on June 10th in the northwest Caribbean.

Following are some dates and places that stand out to me as having potential for tropical storm and/or hurricane formation this June. Sometimes, of course, these weather patterns manifest as some non-tropical weather system, but since we are in hurricane season, it remains a possibility.
These long-range forecasts are based on planetary cycles.

June 9-11
Planetary cycles involving Mercury, Mars, and Neptune are active now. All together this exposes the East Coast areas from Cape Hatteras through New England to a good chance of hurricane or tropical storm activity. Of course, it may manifest as some other type of severe weather pattern that is not tropical in nature, but it is still a chance nonetheless. The tropical system could center about 290 miles due south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina around the 10th of June and begin to track along the coast to Long Island and southern New England.

June 17-20

A severe weather event is indicated over the New England-Nova Scotia area between these dates. A strong low pressure system and high velocity winds are indicated, hence, this could be a tropical system affecting the area.

June 23-26

Two places stand out as likely to experience severe weather, which may manifest as a tropical system. The first is New England-Nova Scotia area again. The second is the area roughly around 240 to 270 miles north of the Dominican Republic. This area may be the spawning grounds for a tropical system. There is the possibility that this is the system that affects the New England-Nova Scotia area or these weather events may be unrelated.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

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