In July I posted some experimental forecasts. These were based on some research I was doing to improve forecast accuracy. I called them experimental because the techniques I was basing these forecasts on are not the regular techniques I normally use. This particular series of forecasts covered July and August.
To me, the results are not very convincing and so this particular technique doesn't look like something I'll be using.
Forecast
July 21-23, 2010
A low pressure area, most likely centering in and around the Georgia-Tennessee area, or front affects the East Central and Deep South area.
Results
The main weather event at this time was high heat.
Forecast
July 26-28, 2010
High pressure and fair conditions embrace the southern Mississippi Valley area.
Results
There was a lot of rain over the area between these dates.
Forecast
July 30-August 1, 2010
An increase in temperatures and moisture over the Oklahoma-Arkansas area. Most likely will manifest as a low pressure area bringing rain.
Results
No low pressure formed over the area.
Forecast
August 11-16, 2010A noticeable increase in temperatures is indicated over the Southwest U.S. centering over New Mexico-Arizona area.
Results
The Weather Channel reported rising temperatures on the 12th and 14th.
Forecast
August 21-23, 2010
A high pressure area is shown over the southern California region resulting in warm and fair conditions.
Results
The area was warm and fair as predicted.
Central America Hurricane Potential Sept 18-23, 2010
Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010
Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!
Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America
Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September
Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
“No one ever drowned in sweat.”—Author Unknown
“Quality is not an act. It is a habit.” -- Aristotle
"Applaud us when we run, console us when we fall, cheer us when we recover, but for God's sake, let us pass on!" -- Edmund Burke
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