Sunday, August 20, 2006

August 11-13, 2006 Forecast Results

Click here for August 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook.

There forecasts were prepared during the first two weeks of December 2005.

Forecast

Aug. 11-13:
Gusty winds will prevail along the West Coast with storm potential further inland.

Results

August 11, 2006- Accuweather

Farther south, it will continue to be active across the Southwest, mainly in Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado, as monsoonal moisture streaming into the area will spark the development of thunderstorms. Some storms will dump heavy rains that could create a threat of flash flooding.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
858 PM PDT SAT AUG 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...LITTLE CHANGE. WEAK 500 MB TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO SOUTHERN OREGON. THERMAL TROUGH OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA IS PULLING SOME MODERATE NORTHERLIES DOWN THE SOUTH COAST. SHOULD AGAIN SEE BREEZY OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS THE RIDGES OF SOUTHWEST OREGON WITH MARGINAL HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...ONLY A FEW CHANGES NEEDED AFTER THE EVENING SHIFT
UPDATES. ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS LOOK GOOD THIS AFTERNOON AS THERMAL TROUGH POSITION SHIFTS FROM THE SOUTHERN OREGON COAST TO NEAR THE CASCADES THIS AFTERNOON. AIR MASS IS DRY AND STABLE TODAY. WILL SEE GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COAST WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND THE THERMAL TROUGH NOT FAR INLAND.

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