Sunday, September 18, 2011

Results For "What About Rain for Texas" Forecast

The August 22nd post "What About Rain For Texas" carried three basic long-range weather predictions for September. The first forecast was for a tropical system to be born in the Gulf of Mexico between September 2-4. This was fulfilled in Tropical Storm Lee. Click here to read.

The second forecast called for another tropical system to form in the Gulf of Mexico between September 7-9. This was fulfilled in Tropical Storm Nate, which you can read about here.

The third forecast for September 15-17 called for a good chance for Texas to receive the benefits of a southerly air flow and for eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas to experience severe weather.

Here are the results of this last forecast. On September 15th, Accuweather reported, "Clouds and much-needed rain will contribute to keeping temperatures even lower in some locations while providing relief to drought-sicken areas from southern Kansas to northern Texas."

On the 17th, in an Accuweather post entitled "Strong Storms Target Portions of Texas, Oklahoma," meteorologist Meghan Evans said these storms were due to an area of low pressure sitting over southeastern Colorado that was acting as a trigger for some violent thunderstorms. The clashing of dry air coming from the Desert Southwest and humid air surging out of the Gulf of Mexico was aiding in the development of these storms.

Notice that humid air was surging out of the Gulf as stated in the long-range forecast. The Accuweather map below shows the area in and around Texas, Oklahoma, and a bit of Arkansas that was still under a severe threat on the 18th.

18 Ok City, Dallas


Tropical Storm Nate Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast!

Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


Globalization and the Law of Unintended Consequences (Click link to read)

World

Saturday, September 17, 2011

September 16-18, 2011 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative post of Sept 8 entitled "Will Tropical Storm Maria Affect the Northeast U.S.?" expressed the possibility of Tropical Storm Maria striking the area roughly from the Delmarva Peninsula eastward through New Jersey and Long Island between Sept 16-18. It also presented the possibility of another type severe weather pattern affecting the area.
14 Northeast

Fortunately for the Northeast and New England, Maria steered clear of the area and affected Newfoundland. The second forecast scenario mentioned played itself out over the U.S. Northeast instead. The main weather activity arrived on the 15th and 16th.

According to the National Weather Service, on the 15th a strong cold front approached from the west sweeping across the Northeast and New England with gusty northwest winds ushering in the coolest airmass of the season. Precipitable water values approached 1.50 inches with locally heavy rainfall possible. Freeze watches and warnings were issued throughout the area on the 15th and 16th.

Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

What About Rain For Texas?

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


Empty

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Tropical Storm Nate Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast!

Tropical Storm Nate formed in the Gulf of Mexico on September 7, 2011. It's center was located near 92 west longitude and 20 north latitude effectively fulfilling my long-range forecast that was prepared in February of 2011 and published in the August Dell Horoscope magazine edition. The forecast was also posted here on this blog on August 22nd.
10 TS Nate

The forecast called for a tropical system to form around 95 west longitude and 22 north latitude between September 7-10. My hope was for the tropical system to provide rain for drought-stricken Texas, which neither Tropical Storm Lee (another tropical system that fulfills a prediction in the same August 22nd post) nor Tropical Storm Nate have done. In the post, I discussed the possibility that these systems could affect Mexico instead. Lee hit Louisiana and Nate will make landfall in Mexico.

Despite some of the imperfections of each forecast, the fact that the areas and dates of origin of both these tropical systems have been forecast days (in the case of Lee) and months (in the case of Nate) in advance by no other guidance than planetary cycles, is a strong indication that there is a connection between earthly weather systems and planetary alignments that should be investigated further. More examples are provided in the links below.


Thursday, September 08, 2011

Will Tropical Storm Maria Affect the Northeast U.S.?

This is an important question since the Northeast is dealing with major flooding in part due to the two latest tropical systems: Irene and Lee. Tropical Storm Maria is presently located at latitude 13 north and longitude 52 west and is expected to track farther west than Hurricane Katia did. Conventional meteorologists at our point in time state that it's too soon to tell what Maria will do. We may, however, be able to glean some information from Johannes Kepler's long-range weather forecast method based on planetary cycles.
08 Maria2

According to this forecast system, the storm-breeding influence of the planets Uranus and Pluto affect the Northeast U.S. for the summer season. Both these planets will be spurred into action between the 16th and 18th of September.

Therefore, if Maria remains a tropical storm or strengthens to hurricane status, these planetary indications over the Northeast suggest that Maria could strike the area roughly from the Delmarva Peninsula eastward through New Jersey and Long Island.

There is always a chance that these planetary indicators suggest some other type of severe weather. For example, one of the last times they were activated, (August 9th)
storms ripped through parts of Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and southern New Jersey causing power outages to an estimated 19,000 people in New Castle County, Delaware, traffic snarls, and possible tornado.
Kepler's method allows astrometeorologists to venture long-range weather forecasts months or years in advance. The forecast being shared here was formulated in February of this year and published in the August edition of Dell Horoscope magazine. By clicking on the links below, you can see other tropical systems from this year and last year's hurricane season that were predicted by this method.

Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

What About Rain For Texas?

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


hurricane

Monday, September 05, 2011

August 2011 Forecast Results

The July 28th post entitled General Weather Indications for August 2011 made a number of long-range weather predictions based on planetary cycles also known as astrometeorology. Here is a summary of the weather experienced in order to see how accurate the forecasts were.

Forecast
August 1-4
The gist of this forecast was for heat to affect the Plains and Mississippi Valley along with the chance of some precipitation. Hopefully, Texas would receive some rain.

Results
Record high temperatures were set the first few days of August in Joplin, Mo; Fort Smith, Ar and Salina, Ks to mention a few. Storms, unfortunately, bypassed Texas as shown in the Accuweather map below.
04 Dallas Heat
But they did hit throughout the Plains as shown by the following weather headlines:

Aug 1
More Powerful Storms Target Dakotas to Wisconsin

Aug 3
A cold front sparks scattered thunderstorms from the Ohio Valley to western Kansas today.
Forecast
August 9-13, and throughout the rest of August
Low pressure systems and rain was forecast for the 9th through the 13th as well as the remainder of the month. The Accuweather map below shows damaging storms that hit the Northeast on the 9th.

09 Eastern Seaboard
Other weather headlines for the month are shown next:

Aug 13
Heavy Rains In Store From D.C to Boston

Aug 20
Philadelphia Close to All-Time Record Rainfall

Aug 21
Gusty Storms Take Aim at Northeast, mid-Atlantic

Aug 27 - On the last day of the New Moon period Hurricane Irene arrives.
Forecast
August - West Coast
A number of charts showed cooler conditions over the West Coast states during the month of August.
Results
Aug 8
Accuweather posted an article entitled " Tired of the Heat? Head West!" Heat began to return to the area around the 21st.
Forecast
August 16, 21
The forecast stated that around the 16th the Pacific Northwest and northern California could see a strong cold front pushing inland, and around the 21st monsoonal moisture might trigger storms in the desert Southwest.
Results
The Weather Channel reported on the 15th that a cold front triggered scattered thunderstorms in eastern Idaho, Montana, northern Utah and northern and western Wyoming.
On the 21st, as shown in the Accuweather map below, storms were possible over the Four Corners region.

20 So. Cal

Forecast
August 9-11
This forecast warned of a possilbe low pressure system or front approaching off the West Coast.

Results
On the 10th, the Weather Channel reported "A trough of low pressure moves through the Northwest kicking up some late afternoon thunderstorms in eastern Idaho and western Montana."

Forecast
August 20-21
Increasing temperatures and storm systems were indicated for the Dakotas, eastern Montana, and eastern Wyoming.

Results
Here's what conventional forecasters reported:

Aug 21
Showers and thunderstorms possible for much of the Rockies and High Plains today and tonight

Aug 22
South of a vigorous storm crossing western and central Canada, the day will be quite windy across Montana with gusts as high as 40 to 55 mph. Gusty winds will be on the increase across western North Dakota.

Forecast
August 16
The triple conjunction of the Sun, Mercury, and Venus was to affect the Plains with heat leading to thunderstorms and rain also possible over extreme southern Texas.

Results
As seen from the Accuweather map below for August 16th, strong storms affected the Plains as they also did on the 17th. Extreme southern Texas, however, saw no rainfall.
16 Upper Midwest
Forecast
August 21-22
Good rain was supposed to fall on these dates over the Arklatex region.
Results
On the evening of the 20th, strong storms were possible over northern Oklahoma and Arkansas. Then on the 22nd, a few thunderstorms developed from eastern Oklahoma to the lower Mississippi Valley.
Forecast
August 27-28
The forecast indicated a stormy time over the eastern Great Lakes.
Results
A cold front affected the area but the main show was Hurricane Irene a bit further east.

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

What About Rain For Texas?

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood



Sunday, September 04, 2011

Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

The August 22nd post warning of a tropical system to form in the Gulf of Mexico between September 2nd and 4th has been fulfilled in Tropical Storm Lee.
03 Lee and New Orleans
The forecast specified the area around 95 west longitude and 22 north latitude as the area likely for storm formation. On September 1st, the center of Tropical Depression 13 was located at 91 west longitude and 26 north latitude further northeast than mentioned. Unfortunately, Texas will not see the rain it has been needing from Tropical Storm Lee.

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

What About Rain For Texas?

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

General Weather Indications for August 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Record for billion-dollar weather disasters tied (Read more)

110817_missouri-river-flood_grid-8x2-370x270

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Storm Brewing in the Gulf

Conventional weather forecasters are pointing out that a tropical system may be developing in the Gulf of Mexico towards the end of this week. If so, this may fulfill the long-range weather forecast posted here at The Weather Alternative on August 22nd.
01 Brewing Gulf

This forecast explained how the influence of the planet Venus on weather systems would be activated between September 2nd and 4th--exactly when conventional forecasters are now saying storm formation is likely.

Specifically, Venus affects the 95th line of west longitude around 22 north latitude, which corresponds to the west central Gulf of Mexico. Hopefully, this will mean some rain for Texas.

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast


California Science Center Pays $110,000 to Settle Intelligent Design Discrimination Lawsuit (Read more)
ENV-academicfreedom-cvrstry-02

Friday, August 26, 2011

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

The Dell Horoscope long-range weather forecast that appeared in the August 2011 edition stated:
August 22-25
Tropical moisture still has access to the U.S. East Coast from the Carolinas northward. This time, however, there is an indication of a low pressure system about 200 miles off the North Carolina coast, which could be a tropical system.
ussat_600x405

This is a great forecast in the sense that six months ago when I formulated the forecast (February 2011) the general time and area of this tropical system was obvious whereas conventional forecasters only began to see the potential around August 19th. The day before, conventional forecasters commented that it was too soon to determine what land areas would eventually be affected by the tropical wave that eventually would become Irene.

There is something I overlooked which could have made the forecast even more accurate since Hurricane Irene will be affecting the U.S. East Coast past the time frame I used. Mercury is turning direct today (26th) and as it does so it will make a ses-square aspect to Uranus. Normally, this would be considered a "minor" aspect, somewhat disruptive to weather patterns and usually pretty quick--a one day transit. Since Mercury, however, is slow in motion this aspect will linger for a couple of days and be triggered by the Moon's conjunction to Mercury tomorrow (Aug 27th). Under these circumstances a minor aspect by a fast moving planet now becomes a major aspect due to Mercury's slower-than-normal motion. Mercury-Uranus combinations are known for stormy and windy conditions.

How does this tie in with Hurricane Irene? Well, the Solar Ingress chart for the summer season places Uranus over the U.S. Northeast and New England exactly where Irene will track during the next few days.


New Weather Alternative Website

What About Rain For Texas?

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

General Weather Indications for August 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


Rate

Monday, August 22, 2011

What About Rain for Texas?

In a recent Accuweather post on breaking the Texas heat and drought, two options were discussed. The first one involves a frontal boundary pushing southward over Texas. Alas, this seems unlikely as it's very tough for a front to make it that far south and bring any major change.
11 Texas

The second option is for a tropical system to move in from the south bringing needed rain and thus break the drought and heat. The following comments explore the long-range possibilities of this happening during the first two weeks of September.

September 2-4, 2011
Indications in the Solar Ingress chart for the summer season show that the influence of the planet Venus will be activated now. In astrometeorology, the general tendency of Venus is to increase moisture. Venus occupies the 95th degree of west longitude passing through the Gulf of Mexico, eastern Texas, and northward through the Plains. This could indicate a southerly airflow that returns moisture, hopefully in the form of rain, to these areas. Precipitation could be the strongest in the Gulf around 22 north latitude. This suggests a tropical system that could form roughly about 150 miles east of Tampico, Mexico. Of course, if such a system develops, there is the chance that it will travel westward to Mexico and not affect the U.S.

September 7-9, 2011
This period features a Mercury-Neptune opposition, which is well known for its ability to increase moisture. Some of the recent heavy rainfall in the Northeast was due an earlier Mercury-Neptune opposition. Various lunation charts place this planetary pair over the 95th and 97th degrees of west longitude. Once again, these pass through Texas. Venus is once again active in the Solar Ingress. So we see the same area in the Gulf off of Tampico, Mexico activated again. Perhaps this is a continuation of the Sept 2-4 influence. The general idea is that a moist air mass from the Gulf is drawn northward over Texas.

September 15-17, 2011
More Venus and Neptune aspects occur now and since both these planets increase moisture there is a good chance Texas will receive the benefits of an increased southerly air flow from the Gulf. Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas stand the chance of some severe weather now.

New Weather Alternative Website

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

General Weather Indications for August 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


The Rise of the Antichrist (read more)
shadow-man-150x150

Friday, August 19, 2011

Tropical Depression 8 Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast!

The long-range weather forecast for August 16-18 published in the August edition of Dell Horoscope magazine had been fulfilled by Tropical Depression 8. The forecast, prepared in February of this year, stated "...a tropical system may churn from the Windward Islands and pass south of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, probably affecting them, and then continue south of Jamaica and hit Honduras and Nicaragua."
19 TD 8

The National Weather Service map above shows T.D. 8 hitting Honduras and surrounding areas.

The next map below is from August 17th and shows T.D. 8, when it was still a tropical wave, passing south of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola on its way toward Jamaica as stated in the long-range forecast.

17 Tropics

The tropical depression is expected to pour down as much as 8 inches of rain over Honduras causing flash flooding and mudslides.

The other portion of the same August 16-18 forecast had a close fulfillment.
Aug 15

The forecast was based on the simultaneous conjunctions of the Sun, Mercury, and Venus which took place on the 16th.

"Around this time the conjunctions of the Sun, Mercury, and Venus affect the east coast states of North Carolina and Virginia through Pennsylvania. Severe weather in the form of strong storms should result."

The Weather Channel headline for August 15th read "Storm slogs through Northeast with heavy rain." The big storm also pushed a significant cold front through most of the South and Southeast.

New Weather Alternative Website


Obama

Sunday, August 14, 2011

Dell Horoscope Forecast Results August 9-15, 2011

Here is the next installment of the results of the long-range weather forecasts published in the August edition of Dell Horoscope magazine. These forecasts were prepared in February of 2011.

13 DC to Boston

Forecast
August 9-13, 2011


This forecast called for an active weather period over the U.S. Northeast and New England as well as eastern Cuba, Haiti, and the Bahamas. A similar forecast was posted here on July 25, 2011. The possibilities were for intense storms or a tropical system to affect these areas.

Results

Accuweather reported on August 9th that storms and a possible tornado caused damage in Delaware leaving 19,000 people without power in New Castle County. Storms ripped through parts of Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania and southern New Jersey causing power outages, traffic snarls and possibly a tornado over northern Delaware.

The above Accuweather map shows the downpours of 1 to 3 inches of rain to hit the Northeast and New England starting on the 13th triggering flash flooding. Conventional forecasters pointed out that this is due to a strong storm system that typically is found in the U.S. during autumn months.

Part of the forecast pinpointed eastern Cuba, Haiti, and the Bahamas as areas that would see possible tropical storm development. The National Weather Service reported on the 14th, one day after my forecast ended that a surface trough brings continued convection over Hispaniola. But the main tropical activity was further north than the area I mentioned.

11 Tropics

On the 11th, The Weather Channel showed this area north of the Bahamas that could slowly develop. This eventually became Tropical Storm Franklin, which was directed away from the U.S. coast.


13 TD Seven

On the 13th, Tropical Depression 7 formed southeast of Bermuda around 61 west longitude and 27 north latitude. In the Dell article I did pinpoint the area around 67 west longitude and 24 north latitude as an area to generally watch for tropical activity throughout August and September.


Forecast
Aug 12-13, 2011


A low pressure system may form in the eastern Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Tampa, FL It remains to be seen if it develops tropical characteristics.

Results

Not much happened in this area at the time. The National Weather Service reported the following on the 13th:

GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL AND WE
CANNOT DISCOUNT AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

Forecast
August 12-15, 2011

A couple of tropical waves in the western Caribbean may show signs of strengthening as
they approach Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula.


13 Yucatan

Results

On the 11th, the NWS reported a tropical wave moving westward in the central Caribbean. Then on the 13th they reported isolated moderate convection inland over Honduras and El Salvador due to the wave. The Mexican weather service reported strong to very strong rains over the Yucatan on the 13th. The above map shows the tropical wave's position on the 13th.


General Weather Indications for August 2011

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


AAA

Monday, August 08, 2011

Dell Horoscope Forecast Results Aug 1-8, 2011

Here are the first results of the long-range weather forecasts of mine that appeared in the August issue of Dell Horoscope magazine. These forecasts, which cover the months from August to November, were prepared in February of this year and submitted to the magazine in March.
02 NEw England

Forecast

August 1-5
Mercury's retrograde station and the squares of the Sun and Venus to Jupiter work together to highlight an area of severe weather or tropical storm /hurricane activity over the New England and Nova Scotia areas.

Results

Severe weather was active over the New England and Nova Scotia areas at this time.
According to Accuweather, on August 2nd, portions of New England and the Great Lakes were the target of violent thunderstorms.
Southeastern Maine to eastern Massachusetts is the zone at risk for thunderstorms capable of producing wind gusts over 60 mph, hail larger than quarters, numerous lightning strikes and torrential downpours.

The Canadian weather bureau posted rainfall warnings for a few counties in Nova Scotia.


06 Mex

Forecast

August 5-8
Mercury retrogrades and activates the Mars-Neptune square that affects the southern tip of the Baja peninsula in the Cardinal Solar Ingress chart. This strongly suggests a tropical storm or hurricane that will be drawn to the area.

Results

The weather map above shows a developing low pressure area south of the Baja on the 6th. It never developed tropical characteristics but a tight pressure gradient brought winds in and around the Baja area. The Mexican weather service reported an 80 percent chance of rain or greater, lightning, extremely hot temperatures, and winds 20 to 35 km/h with gusts on the 6th. One to two inches of rain were reported in a 24 hour period on the 8th.

07 TD Emily

Forecast

August 6-8

Mercury's opposition to Neptune also affects North Carolina and northward into the Northeast. Neptune is indicative of tropical moisture so at this time we can expect an influx of rain-producing moisture over this area. This does not necessarily mean a tropical system.

Results

Tropical Depression Emily made an appearance off the Southeast coast on the 7th but never made it to North Carolina. However, the Mercury-Neptune influence still brought an influx of rain to North Carolina. On the 6th, flash flooding in Charlotte prompted evacuations and closures as 2 to 3 inches of rain--and in some areas more than 6 inches--hit the area.

07 Northeast

Flooding and gusty storms also impacted Harrisburg, Pa. and northern Virginia dropping 1 to 3 inches of rain in a short time. On the 7th, the region from Baltimore to New York City was especially susceptible to flooding from thunderstorm downpours.

General Weather Indications for August 2011

August 9-13, 2011 Long-range Forecast

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


John Quincy ADAMS on U.S. Foreign Policy

"[America] goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. She will commend the general cause by the countenance of her voice, and the benignant sympathy of her example. She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom." -- John Quincy Adams, Speech before the House of Representatives, July 4, 1821; quoted in William Bonner and Pierre Lemieux (Editors), The Idea of America (Les Belles Lettres, 2003), p. 237.

Monday, August 01, 2011

T.S. Eugene and July 29-31 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative post of May 14, 2011 entitled Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico mentioned that planetary alignments during July 29-31, 2011 had "the potential to result in a low pressure that generates strong winds and rain." One idea was that this might be a tropical system.
31 TD 5E
In general at this time, which featured the Mercury-Neptune opposition, the tropics came to life. The Gulf of Mexico saw Tropical Storm Don, the Atlantic saw a strengthening tropical wave which any day now may become Emily, and the eastern Pacific greeted Tropical Storm Eugene.

Although Eugene will pass somewhat near the Baja, its passage will be too far west of the Baja, and a few days too late to view it as a fulfillment of the May 2011 long-range weather forecast.

What weather did occur over the Baja then?
30 Viento Maximo
Over the last few days, particularly on the 30th and 31st of July, the Mexican weather bureau, Conagua, has reported an 80 percent chance of rain over the Baja, along with lightning, extremely hot temperatures, and high winds. The above map shows a green arrow over the Baja with the words "Viento Maximo" or maximum wind, fulfilling the long-range forecast for strong winds and rain.

General Weather Indications for August 2011

August 9-13, 2011 Long-range Forecast

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


Politics, Lies, and Gold Medals

How many politicians does it take to change a light bulb?
Four. One to hold the bulb. Two to turn the ladder.
And one to raise taxes by a million dollars to buy the light bulb


What are the three most common lies in America?

The check is in the mail.
This is a safe investment. And...
I'm from the government, and I'm here to help you.

Did you hear about the Federal Reserve economist who won an olympic gold medal?

He was so proud he had it bronzed.

What is the origin of the word politics?

It's from the Greek word "poly" meaning many and "ticks" meaning blood-sucking insects.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

General Weather Indications for August 2011

Some general weather trends can be gleaned from lunation charts and the Solar Ingress chart. Here we'll quickly go over the four lunation charts for August. These include the New Moon, Full Moon, First Quarter, and Last Quarter charts or maps.
August New Moon

The first map above is the New Moon of July 30, 2011, which will be in effect for all of August until the 28th.

The New Moon in Leo occupies the the 98th degree of west longitude through the central Plains and Texas. This is a hot, dry influence. The New Moon is square Jupiter, which also indicates warmth but can bring atmospheric disturbances. Let's hope this means some rain for Texas and the surrounding area. Jupiter influences the Mississippi Valley in this regard.

Venus is also in Leo through the Front Range and Plains. Venus usually increases atmospheric moisture so along with the heat symbolized by Leo we might get some precipitation during the month of August. The 1st through the 4th is a period when there could be some action along these lines.

The Northeast is under the influence of the Mercury-Neptune opposition. This increases temperatures and humidity leading to low pressure areas and rain through out the month of August. Since Mercury will go retrograde on August 2nd and then oppose Neptune on the 8th strong storms are possible with lots of moisture. This has been mentioned in another post for August 9-13.

Saturn affects the West Coast states of Washington, Oregon, and northern California arguing for cooler conditions and some precipitation. It's interesting to note that Accuweather just posted an article entitled Northwest Continues to Chill This Summer. With Saturn in this position, cool weather seems likely to continue for the region during August, which is their conclusion as well. There are two stormy periods indicated for the West Coast states in the Solar Ingress around the 16th when coastal regions of northern California and the Pacific Northwest could see a strong front pushing inland and around 21st when monsoonal moisture might trigger storms in the desert Southwest.

Uranus and Pluto are off the West Coast at 132 west longitude calling for cooler conditions and a possible low pressure system or front around August 9-11.

August Full Moon

Full Moon August 13, 2011

This Full Moon heavily bombards the Plains. The Sun, Moon, Venus, and Jupiter concentrate their influence over the Dakotas, eastern Montana, and eastern Wyoming. While all these indicate heat, Venus does increase moisture. One possibility is that this area will periodically be subject to increasing temperatures and storm systems--for example around the 20th and 21st.

The triple conjunction of the Sun, Mercury, and Venus around the 16th will also strongly affect the Plains with a heat wave, but I'm hoping the heat will provoke thunderstorms and rain. I've mentioned extreme southern Texas in this regard in another post.

Mercury and Neptune also affect the Plains. While Mercury retrograde can signify high pressure and wind (something we don't need over the southern Plains right now), Neptune is associated with humidity and rain. Neptune's position along the 94th degree of west longitude affects the eastern Plains and signifies atypical rainfall during this Full Moon period. We may get some good rain around the 21st and 22nd as moisture is pull up out of the Gulf of Mexico and drawn northward over the Arklatex region.

August First Quarter

First Quarter Moon August 6, 2011

Uranus and Saturn affect the western states and the Rockies exercising a cooler influence. The rain-making Mercury-Neptune pair resides over the New England area extending the same influence in the New Moon chart farther eastward.

This chart indicates some possible tropical activity in the eastern Gulf off the west Florida coast around August 12th and 13th and in the central Caribbean around the same time.

August Third Quarter

Third Quarter Moon August 21, 2011

Uranus and Saturn also affect the western states and the Rockies indicating cooler conditions. Mars and Jupiter over the eastern Great Lakes indicate a stormy time especially around the 27th and 28th.


Texas Needs Tropical Storm Don

Don

August 9-13, 2011 Long-range Forecast

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

Monday, July 25, 2011

August 9-13, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

An active weather period is indicated for the U.S. East Coast, Northeast, and New England between August 9-13, 2011 as the square of Mars to Uranus and the Mars-Pluto opposition continue to stir up the atmosphere. During this time, a retrograde Mercury will oppose Neptune as well.
hurricane

Mercury's role in hurricane formation is usually greater when it is in retrograde motion, which it begins this year on August 2nd. Mars is no slouch when it comes to severe weather either. Mars-Uranus incites wind velocities that add violence to storms. Mars-Pluto generates intense storms as well.

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Not only is the eastern U.S. involved, the area affected also includes the region in and around eastern Cuba, Haiti, and the Bahamas. There's a strong chance that a tropical system will develop in this area and head northward affecting the Carolinas and northward to the Northeast and New England. Other possibilities include severe storms throughout these areas.

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


Been Hot Enough Lately?
Heat

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

August 16-18, 2011 Long-range Weather Forecast

On August 16th, a triple conjunction will take place involving the Sun, Mercury, and Venus is the hot sign Leo. Mercury is retrograde now and its conjunction with the Sun during hurricane season has been observed to coincide with the formation of tropical systems.
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The conjunction when viewed from key charts affects the East Coast states of North Carolina and Virginia northward through Pennsylvania. Since the conjunction takes place in the thermal sign Leo, one of the initial reactions over this area could be a heat wave. Severe thunderstorms are also a strong possibility now as is the likelihood of a tropical system.


Further south in the Caribbean, a tropical system may make its way from the Windward Islands affecting Puerto Rico and Hispaniola as it passes south of them on its way past Jamaica towards Honduras and Nicaragua.


The southernmost portions of Texas around Brownsville are also affected by the triple conjunction, where severe thunderstorms or an influx of tropical moisture is likely.

Saturday, July 16, 2011

Typhoon Ma-On Targets Japan

Typhoon Ma-On is expected to approach and hit Japan around July 17-19. Ma-On is now the equivalent of a category 3 hurricane and may become a super typhoon with sustained winds near 150 mph. Ma-On is expected to dump between 10 to 20 with flooding and mudslides.
Ma-on
Certain planetary alignments usually coincide with these monster storms. But what if there are no major planetary alignments at the time--such as is the case with Ma-On? When this type of scenario arises, you can be sure that some planet is triggering or activating a previous planetary alignment or eclipse.
Ma-On2
On May 20, 2011 Mercury conjoined Mars. This combination of planets is known for its whipping winds and energetic storm systems. As shown on the astro-locality map, the conjunction was right overhead through Japan. On the 16th and 17th, Jupiter will reach the degree of this conjunction, which was at 7 degrees Taurus, activating its windy and stormy potential.
Captain Incompetence

Captain

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Results of June 2011 Hurricane Hot Spots

On May 31st I posted a few dates and places that might have been worth watching for tropical activity or other forms of severe weather in June. Here are the results.
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The first one was for June 17-20 that pinpointed an area east of the Bahamas and southward through Haiti (Hispaniola) where there might be tropical activity.

The Weather Channel reported on the 18th, "Another tropical wave will bring some showers to the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the weekend."

A severe weather pattern over New England was also forecast for the same time period. The Weather Channel reported on the 17th that a low pressure organized and strengthened over the region and on the 18th that "some showers and thunderstorms are possible in New England from a departing system."
economy-rain-umbrella

Possible tropical storm development was forecast for June 20-23 around 67 west 25 north but no system developed there.

I've already covered the forecast that Hurricane Beatriz fulfilled in another post.

The Rockies were also highlighted for severe weather at this time. On the 20th, the Weather Channel reported that rain and thunderstorms were expected in Montana, Wyoming, and Colorado. The next day they stated that "the big storm departed," and "lingering northwest wind gusts will top 40 mph in eastern Wyoming and eastern Colorado."

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

July 1-11 Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Hot Spots for June 2011

Hurricane Season 2011 Baja, Mexico

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Cyclone Yasi fulfills long-range prediction!

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood


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