Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for August

From an astrometeorological perspective, August 2010 could be a very active month for hurricanes. Following are some dates and places that may experience such activity.


August 2-3, 2010
Intense storms are expected throughout the East Central, Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast. These storms may bring damaging winds, hail, or tornadoes. It is possible that a tropical system makes landfall over the Carolinas.

August 7-10, 2010
Venus will now activate the alignments between Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto. Since these are placed roughly between 79 and 81 west longitude, the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic areas are in for a round of severe weather. This may indicate tropical activity affecting the Florida Peninsula and the Carolinas. These planetary alignments also have the potential to affect Cuba and Panama.



August 14-18, 2010
The eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley are likely to be under severe weather threats now. This could manifest as powerful storms producing large hail, gusty winds, and tornadoes. A tropical system or abundant tropical moisture may affect the eastern Texas and Louisiana area.

Further east, heavy rainfall is indicated for the Mid-Atlantic area either due to tropical moisture being introduced over the area or from an actual tropical system that enters through the Carolinas.

August 18-22, 2010
Planetary alignments at this time suggest very volatile atmospheric conditions that will put the eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley at risk for severe weather. Dangerous thunderstorms and/or tornadoes are indicated in and around Missouri. This may be due to a tropical system that makes landfall over eastern Texas or Louisiana.

The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are not out of harm’s way either. There are indications that suggest tropical storm or hurricane activity over the Carolinas at this time or at least some kind of severe weather system if not actually tropical in nature.

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for June

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for July

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part I

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Bits of Wisdom

Do more than you are paid for. There are never any traffic jams on the extra mile.—Brian Tracy
*

One man has enthusiasm for 30 minutes, another for 30 days, but it is the man who has it for 30 years who makes a success of his life.—Edward B. Butler

*

No one keeps up his enthusiasm automatically. Enthusiasm must be nourished with new actions, new aspirations, new efforts, new vision. It is one’s own fault if his enthusiasm is gone; he has failed to feed it.—Papyrus

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part I

Astrometeorology is all about how the planets of our solar system affect our weather here on earth. One of the key charts used in determining where planetary influences will be localized on earth is the Summer Solstice chart. Two important planets will localize their influence near Panama, Costa Rica, and Honduras this summer season. As shown in the map at left, these planets "cross" as it were near those three countries and will be activated at the end of June and early July. Here are some possibilities of what that might mean weather wise.

June 24-27
The Sun's opposition to Pluto, and Mercury's square to Uranus will activate the aforementioned area in and around Panama, Costa Rica, and Honduras. This could trigger a strong low-pressure area there bringing the potential for heavy rain. Since we are in hurricane season at this time, one possibility is that this represents a tropical storm or hurricane.

The Full Moon of June 26th also localizes a strong grouping of planets near the same area but on the Pacific side of Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Honduras. This could mean storm or hurricane formation on the western coast of Central America or a system that starts on one side and then crosses to the other.

July 3-6

The same configuration of planets in the Full Moon chart on the Pacific side of Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Honduras, and Panama is activated once again between these dates. This is a strong argument for a powerful low pressure system affecting the area with heavy rains. Once again, a tropical storm or hurricane cannot be ruled out.

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for July

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for June

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


If You Think You're Beaten

If you think you're beaten, you are,
If you think you dare not, you don't.
If you'd like to win, but think you can't,
It's almost for sure, you won't.

If you think you're losing, you've lost.
For out in the world we find -
Success begins with a person's will,
It's all in the state of mind.

If you think you're outclassed, you are,
You've got to think high to rise.
You have to stay with it,
In order to win the prize.

Life's battles don't always go,
To the one with the better plan.
For more often than not, you will win,
If only you think you can.

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for July

On the following dates there is strong potential for severe weather patterns to develop over the hurricane-prone areas of the United States. While this does not guarantee that the weather patterns will manifest as tropical systems, there is the likelihood they might. These forecasts area based on planetary cycles also known as astrometeorology.


July 22-25

The potential for a low pressure system to develop off the southeast coast of Texas exists now. This could be a tropical system. Serious atmospheric disturbances are indicated along the central and eastern Gulf Coast as well. Once again, this could be indicative of a tropical system threatening the area.
Since a number of the influences at work at this time also affect the Mississippi Valley, another scenario is that destructive storms afflict the area and move eastward through the East Central States and Southeast.

July 23-26

Hurricanes can take crazy paths at times. Since there are indications of potential tropical storm or hurricane activity along the North and South Carolina coasts at this time and also further to the north along the New Jersey coast, one possible weather scenario is that the aforementioned hurricane in the July 22-25 forecast, cuts across Florida and reemerges along the Southeast U.S. coast. From there, the system could strike the Carolinas and parallel the coast until it reaches the New Jersey area. Of course, it could be a tropical system independent of the possible Gulf system, or the Carolinas and New Jersey could be subject to non-tropical severe weather systems.

July 27-31

This five-day stretch is likely to be replete with severe weather. The East Central states, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic are apt to experience severe thunderstorms packing damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes. Since some of these influences affect the Florida Peninsula, it could mean a tropical system enters the U.S. from there and heads northward.


Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for June

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Footprints
By Mary Stevenson

One night I dreamed I was walking along the beach with the Lord. Many scenes from my life flashed across the sky. In each scene I noticed footprints in the sand. Sometimes there were two sets of footprints, other times there were one set of footprints.

This bothered me because I noticed that during the low periods of my life, when I was suffering from anguish, sorrow, or defeat, I could see only one set of footprints.

So I said to the Lord, "You promised me, Lord, that if I followed You, You would walk with me always. But I have noticed that during the most trying periods of my life there has only been one set of footprints in the sand. Why, when I needed You most, have You not been there for me?"
The Lord replied, "The times when you have seen only one set of footprints in the sand, is when I carried you."

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for June

The above NOAA map shows the most likely places for tropical storm and/or hurricane formation to take place in June. On average we get about 1 hurricane forming in June every 2 years. Last year we didn't get a named storm in June. In 2008, we had Tropical Storm Arthur form on May 31st and hit the Yucatan. The year before, 2007, we had an early May subtropical storm--Andrea--form off the northeast coast of Florida, and then on June 1st, Tropical Storm Barry developed in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. And in 2006, Tropical Storm Alberto formed on June 10th in the northwest Caribbean.



Following are some dates and places that stand out to me as having potential for tropical storm and/or hurricane formation this June. Sometimes, of course, these weather patterns manifest as some non-tropical weather system, but since we are in hurricane season, it remains a possibility.
These long-range forecasts are based on planetary cycles.

June 9-11
Planetary cycles involving Mercury, Mars, and Neptune are active now. All together this exposes the East Coast areas from Cape Hatteras through New England to a good chance of hurricane or tropical storm activity. Of course, it may manifest as some other type of severe weather pattern that is not tropical in nature, but it is still a chance nonetheless. The tropical system could center about 290 miles due south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina around the 10th of June and begin to track along the coast to Long Island and southern New England.

June 17-20

A severe weather event is indicated over the New England-Nova Scotia area between these dates. A strong low pressure system and high velocity winds are indicated, hence, this could be a tropical system affecting the area.

June 23-26

Two places stand out as likely to experience severe weather, which may manifest as a tropical system. The first is New England-Nova Scotia area again. The second is the area roughly around 240 to 270 miles north of the Dominican Republic. This area may be the spawning grounds for a tropical system. There is the possibility that this is the system that affects the New England-Nova Scotia area or these weather events may be unrelated.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Bodily exercise, when compulsory, does no harm to the body; But knowledge which is acquired under compulsion obtains no hold on the mind. --Plato

St. Patrick's Day Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative forecast for the St. Patrick's Day week was posted on November 17, 2009. The forecast called for penetratingly cold air to descend over the Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes on gusty winds easily reaching the central and eastern Gulf Coast States between the 13th and the 17th of March.

The weather activity started on the 12th with a a storm system over the Ohio Valley and Southeast that brought heavy rain and strong winds, which then moved into the Northeast on the 13th. The only thing missing that was called for in the forecast was penetratingly cold air. The gusty winds were present. The Weather Channel map at left is for March 13th.

I offered two scenarios in the forecast. The first scenario called for the cold air to bring a high pressure system all the way down to the Gulf Coast. The second scenario called for the cold air mass to bring significant precipitation in the form of a low pressure system and strong winter storm.

The actual weather resembled the second scenario more than the first. Significant precipitation was experienced in the form of heavy rain--first over the Mid-Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes, and Ohio Valley on the 12th, then three to four inches of rain on the 13th from New Jersey to Southern New England. The rain produced localized flooding, while the winds helped in producing dangerous surf, coastal flooding, and beach erosion. On the 13th and 14th, freezing rain was expected in parts of New England, and sleet and snow was forecast for the Adirondacks of New York. I thought we might see lake-effect snows over the Great Lakes, but it was not cold enough to produce snow there.

This weather event was billed as a major storm by conventional forecasters, while I called it a strong winter storm.

Blustery conditions and light showers continued over the Northeast and New England on the 16th.

For the St. Patrick's Day Parade in New York City, I mentioned that there would be a chance of rain, but the storm system had cleared the area by then.


United Kingdom
March 13-17, 2010
The forecast for the United Kingdom was for a cold air mass to work its way southward and eastward over the United Kingdom with windy conditions and precipitation likely.

The Accuweather map at right is for March 13th. High pressure west of Ireland brought a chilly northerly flow that resulted in showers and breezy conditions on the 13th and 14th. Showers lingered over northern portions on the 15th, and by the 16th and 17th fair conditions were experienced.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Can We Say We've Suffered?

If we are not in the way of His blessings, then would you like to go home and see why, and how you can get back and get those blessings? Friend, you live in the miserablest place on Earth, Great Britain. You’re the biggest lot of grumblers there is. And you’ve got nothing to grumble about, may God challenge you! Do you realize how many hungry people there are in India tonight? Have you ever been hungry? Do you realize how many people still live in refugee camps? Have you ever lived in a refugee camp? Do you know how many people live under the iron hand of communism? Have you ever lived under the iron hand of communism? Have you ever lived through an earthquake, like Turkey is right now? Do you know anything about a typhoon? Do you know anything about an enemy soldier standing in front of you, and you’re a woman? Do you? Of course you don’t. Do you think you know anything? No! You don’t know sorrow, you don’t know suffering. May God break your hearts, and through those breaking hearts pour His love. --Gladys Aylward Missionary to China, Mother to 100 orphans

January 2010 Forecast Results Part II

These forecasts were posted on December 22, 2009.

Forecast
January 4-5
A storm system develops along the east side of the Rockies as moist air, drawn from the Gulf, collides with cooler air from the north. One scenario is that the storm system ejects into the Plains bringing cold and windy conditions behind the low. Or the cold and windy conditions may be the result of a front stretching from the central Plains to the western Great Lakes.

Results
The above map is from the Weather Channel for January 5th. You can see the low along the east side of the Rockies over Montana and Wyoming. This later ejected (on the 6th) into the Plains. Very cold and windy conditions were behind the low and a front stretched from the southern Plains to the Western Great Lakes on the 7th. Temperatures in the Plains were in the single digits and teens.

Forecast
January 7-10
Warm, moist air begins to move northward over Texas and the southern Plains around the 7th bringing a chance of showers. By the 9th, the potential for storminess is heightened. Most of the activity may be over Texas.

Results
There were some showers over the coastal areas of Texas on the 7th, but the main event at this time was bitter cold from the 7th to the 9th. By the 10th, temperatures were 10 to 30 degrees higher.

Forecast

January 26-27
Cold air invades the Plains out of Canada creating stormy conditions as a powerful cold front pushes westward.

Results
The Weather Channel map at right is for January 27th and shows a cold front entering the Plains. . By the 28th, this met up with a low over western Texas that developed into an ice storm over the southern Plains and the northern part of the cold front, connected to a low pressure system, intensified over the northeast U.S. bringing another blast of winter.

Rockies

Forecast
January 2-5
The arrival of warm, moisture-laden air over the Rockies on the 2nd and 3rd will battle with a cold Canadian air mass resulting in windy conditions or a storm center producing winds.

Results
(Refer to the first weather map of this post for January 5th) Windy conditions over the Rockies were reported as follows:

January 5th (Accuweather)

Gusty winds whipped the snow around across Montana. Whitewater, Mont., received 4.0 inches of snow, but winds created 2- to 3-foot high drifts.

January 5th (National Weather Service)

Albuquerque, NM
6:01 am MST, Tue., Jan. 5, 2010

THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

Grand Junction, CO
8:07 am MST, Tue., Jan. 5, 2010

WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.


Forecast

January 7
A sharp cold front pushes southward over the Rockies lowering temperatures.

Results
The Weather Channel map at left is for January 6th. Accuweather reported "A new blast of arctic air plunged into the northern Rockies and northern Plains on Wednesday (Jan 6th)."

Forecast

January 10
A trough of low pressure digs into the southern Rockies.

Results
On the 10th, the Weather Channel reported that a storm system was headed toward the southern Rockies and would arrive around the 12th and 13th. In their own words, "A second storm system helps push the rain and snow toward Southern California and the Southwest Tuesday night and Wednesday."


Forecast

January 21-22
A fresh push of cold air over the Rockies will react with its warm, moist counterpart resulting in a storm system.

The Weather Channel reported on the 21st:

Stormy conditions will rule the West right through Friday as the jet stream remains pointed at the region like a fire hose.

The brunt of the activity will be focused from California to portions of Nevada, Utah, western Colorado, Arizona, and New Mexico.



Forecast

January 24-25
Another period when contrary air masses clash over the Rockies resulting in showers.

Results

A storm system arrived late on the 25th and pushed into the Four Corners region spreading snow in the mountains on the 26th and 27th.


Forecast

January 13-16
Inclement weather will plague the Intermountain West as a strong front or low pressure area ushers in wind, rain, and snow.

Results

January 13 Accuweather
A more potent storm pushed rain and mountain snow from the West Coast into the Intermountain West…As the storm pressed into the Intermountain West and high pressure moved inland, gusty offshore winds developed over parts of Southern California. The above Weather Channel map is for January 13th.


Forecast

January 21-24
Another batch of wind and rain heads toward the Pacific Northwest and into the Intermountain West.

Results
The Weather Channel map at left is for January 22nd. This was a very active time which actually started on the 17th. Here are some of Accuweather's headlines for the 21st through the 24th.

January 21
The latest storm to hit the West has been the strongest so far this month, breaking barometric pressure records along the coast.

January 22
Up to 8 Feet of Snow from West Storm

January 24
Farther west, another storm pressed onshore in the Pacific Northwest. By the afternoon, windswept rain soaked the coast from central California to Washington, while snow began piling up in the mountains.


Forecast

January 26-31
An active weather pattern develops off the Pacific Northwest coast and hurls wind and rain in Washington, Oregon, and California. It appears that a number of fronts will ride through the area between these dates and push into the Intermountain West.

Results
This Weather Channel map is for January 26th. Accuweather's reported that a new Pacific storm returned rain to southern California. On the 28th, some spotty rain, freezing rain, and snow fell over Washington, Oregon, and northwestern California. On the 29th, a new storm delivered rain to the Pacific Northwest and northwestern California. And on the 30th, a storm spread some showers and mountain snow across the Pacific Northwest.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

What Is Greatness?

Do not confuse notoriety and fame with greatness. Many of the titled in today's world obtained their fame and fortune outside their own merit.

On the other hand, I have met great people in the most obscure roles. For greatness is a measure of one's spirit, not a result of one's rank in human affairs. Nobody, least of all mere human beings, confers greatness upon another, for it is not a prize but an achievement. And greatness can crown the head of a janitor just as readily as it can come to someone of high rank.
--Sherman G. Finesilver

January 2010 Forecast Results Part I

These forecasts were posted on December 22, 2009. The first one read:

Forecast
January 4-5, 2009
There is strong potential for a Nor’easter type storm to hit the New England area with cold, snow, and windy conditions.


Results

The storm hit earlier than forecast. The above map is for January 3rd dumping nearly 3 feet of snow in parts of northern New England. Howling winds and snow lashed a swath from northern New York to Maine. By the 4th, it was still blustery and snowy over the area.


Forecast

January 13-16, 2009
A major winter storm is indicated for the Great Lakes area southward through the Ohio Valley and into the Southeast. High wind, snow, and falling temperatures assail the area. The storm then moves into the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast disrupting travel and causing power outages.



Results

For most of the forecast period, the weather was a bit warmer and dry. By the 16th, however, travel was interrupted by heavy rain over the Southeast. Some communities from Alabama to the Florida Panhandle and southwestern Georgia were inundated by up to half a foot of rain. By the 17th, it was windy, rainy, and snowy over the Northeast. The above map is for January 16th.

Forecast

January 27-31
Another significant winter storm forms over the East Central States (Michigan southward to the Gulf Coast). By the 29th and 30th, storm warnings should be posted for New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware as the storm moves eastward into New England.


Results
On January 30th, a major snow storm brought travel to a standstill across the southern mid-Atlantic. Heavy snow shifted eastward across Virginia and parts of Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey, creating major disruptions to travel and affecting people from Richmond, Va., to Washington, D.C., and Cape May, N.J. Meanwhile, icy winds blasted parts of the Northeast.

Forecast

January 10-12
A storm system or front affects the southern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley.

Results
The Weather Channel map at right is for January 11th and shows the leading edge of a cold front pushing past the Upper Mississippi Valley and into the southern Plains.

Forecast

January 25-27
A strong low pressure area is shown over the central Mississippi Valley.

Results

On the 25th, blizzard or near-blizzard conditions affected the northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley. By the 27th, a band of heavy snow developed from eastern New Mexico to southern Missouri and northern Arkansas.

Forecast

January 29-31
A strong storm system is indicated over the Mississippi Valley with an area of severe weather over Mississippi and Alabama around the 31st.

Results
The storm that swept through the southern Plains on the 28th, affected the lower Mississippi Valley on the 29th. The Weather Channel map at left is for Jan 29th. According to Accuweather, Northern Oklahoma to northern Arkansas and Tennessee saw the heaviest snow, while central Arkansas, and northern Mississippi and Alabama, saw freezing rain.

The following is a list of storm total rainfall in inches as of 1 p.m. CST, Friday, Jan 29:

•Shreveport, La.: 1.69
•Oakdale, La.: 1.55
•Alexandria, La.: 1.5
•Greenville, Miss.: 1.58

On January 3oth, the national high precipitation was 2.06 inches at Ozark, AL.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

Greatness


Great men have but a few hours to be "great." Like the rest of us they must dress, bathe, & eat. And, being human, they must make visits to the dentist, doctor, & barber & have conferences with their wives about domestic matters. What makes men great is their ability to decide what is important, & then focus their attention on that.--Anonymous


Do not be dazzled by the World's false judgments. The common soldier is often nobler than the general. ... Nor is it otherwise on the battlefield of life. There is a yet harder & higher heroism--to live well in the quiet routine of life; to fill a little space because God wills it; to go on cheerfully with a petty round of little duties, little vocations; to accept unmurmuringly a low position; to smile for the joys of others when the heart is aching; to banish all ambition, all pride, & all restlessness, in a single regard to our Saviour's Work. To do this for a lifetime is a greater effort, & he who does this is a greater hero than he who for one hour stems a breach, or for one day rushes onward undaunted in the flaming front of shot & shell. His works will follow him. He may not be a hero to the World, but he is one of God's heroes, & though the builders of Nineveh & Babylon be forgotten & unknown, his memory shall live & shall be blessed.--Fredric W.Farrar

Recent Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range weather forecast for Super Bowl 2010 was posted on November 14, 2009. The forecast was based on the conjunction of Venus and Neptune, which was to be activated the day before the Super Bowl on Feb 6. The forecast called for the possibility of heavy rain over Miami and Florida, which at times can lead to flash flooding. The forecast was pretty close--just off by a day--as the rain heavy rains hit by 5th. The Weather Channel map at left is for February 5th.

It wasn't until February 2nd that conventional forecasters began to see the potential for heavy rain over the Miami area on the 5th and 6th.



Christmas

The Christmas and New Year's forecasts posted on The Weather Alternative on November 7, 2009 were very successful. We don't have time to go through all of them but here are the most important.

The Weather Alternative forecast for December 20-22 for the East Coast and New England called for a heavy precipitation (which I thought would be rain but most of it was snow) from North Carolina through New England. A low pressure area over North Carolina became a Nor'easter that lashed the forecast area with with wind rain and snow. The Accuweather Map at right shows the low pressure area.


The Weather Alternative forecast for December 24-26 warned that a strong winter storm would cover the area from Michigan to Florida creating major travel problems and airport delays. Special intensity was expected over the Southeast U.S.

The Weather Channel map at left is for December 25th. During this period, a record-setting blizzard hit the northern Plains and moved eastward across the forecast area. The Southeast was hit by flooding downpours, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Strong winds,snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain hit the Midwest.


The Weather Alternative forecast for Dec 20-22 also called for an energetic front to hit the West Coast. The Weather Channel map at right is for December 21st. The Weather Channel reported on the 22nd that a potent winter storm is bringing areas of heavy snow to the West today.







Europe

The Weather Alternative forecast for Europe called for a cold, dry air mass to descend over the United Kingdom between December 22-23. The Accuweather map at left shows the cold forecast for the 23rd.

The Weather Alternative also forecast that a powerful storm system would batter France, Germany, and the surrounding countries on December 24th and 25th. On the 24th, The Weather Underground reported "A strong low pressure system will continue moving eastward from central Europe and extend into eastern Europe. This will spread scattered showers over most of Europe, with snow anticipated at higher elevations. The strongest region of the system will move through Spain and into eastern France and Switzerland by evening. These areas will see periods of heavy rainfall with periods of heavy snow at high elevations of the Alps."


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

Greatness

The talent of success is nothing more than doing what you can do well, and doing well whatever you do without thought of fame. If it comes at all it will come because it is deserved, not because it is sought after. --Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

The heights by great men reached & kept
Were not attained by sudden flight,
But they, when their companions slept,
Were toiling upward in the night.
--Henry Wadsworth Longfellow

The Storms of January 2010

The transportation, agricultural, and construction industries may benefit from the brief long-range weather forecasts that are presented here for January 2010. Of course anyone can benefit from a little advance knowledge of approaching weather patterns. This list of locations and dates for stormy periods is by no means comprehensive. Here’s wishing all my readers a Merry Christmas or Happy Holidays, and a Happy New Year.





New England

January 4-5, 2009
There is strong potential for a Nor’easter type storm to hit the New England area with cold, snow, and windy conditions.

East U.S.

January 13-16, 2009
A major winter storm is indicated for the Great Lakes area southward through the Ohio Valley and into the Southeast. High wind, snow, and falling temperatures assail the area. The storm then moves into the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast disrupting travel and causing power outages.


January 27-31
Another significant winter storm forms over the East Central States (Michigan southward to the Gulf Coast). By the 29th and 30th, storm warnings should be posted for New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware as the storm moves eastward into New England.

Mississippi Valley

January 10-12
A storm system or front affects the southern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley.

January 25-27
A strong low pressure area is shown over the central Mississippi Valley.

January 29-31
A strong storm system is indicated over the Mississippi Valley with an area of severe weather over Mississippi and Alabama around the 31st.



Plains

January 4-5
A storm system develops along the east side of the Rockies as moist air, drawn from the Gulf, collides with cooler air from the north. One scenario is that the storm system ejects into the Plains bringing cold and windy conditions behind the low. Or the cold and windy conditions may be the result of a front stretching from the central Plains to the western Great Lakes.

January 7-10
Warm, moist air begins to move northward over Texas and the southern Plains around the 7th bringing a chance of showers. By the 9th, the potential for storminess is heightened. Most of the activity may be over Texas.

January 26-27
Cold air invades the Plains out of Canada creating stormy conditions as a powerful cold front pushes westward.

Rockies

January 2-5
The arrival of warm, moisture-laden air over the Rockies on the 2nd and 3rd will battle with a cold Canadian air mass resulting in windy conditions or a storm center producing winds.

January 7
A sharp cold front pushes southward over the Rockies lowering temperatures.

January 10
A trough of low pressure digs into the southern Rockies.

January 21-22
A fresh push of cold air over the Rockies will react with its warm, moist counterpart resulting in a storm system.

January 24-25
Another period when contrary air masses clash over the Rockies resulting in showers.

West

January 13-16
Inclement weather will plague the Intermountain West as a strong front or low pressure area ushers in wind, rain, and snow.

January 21-24
Another batch of wind and rain heads toward the Pacific Northwest and into the Intermountain West.

January 26-31
An active weather pattern develops off the Pacific Northwest coast and hurls wind and rain in Washington, Oregon, and California. It appears that a number of fronts will ride through the area between these dates and push into the Intermountain West.



Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast


The Case Against the Case Against the Virgin Birth
By Jeremy Lott

Every year at about this time, readers can count on a few Christmas-themed articles appearing in newspapers and magazines that question the Virgin Birth of Jesus Christ. It really is something to see the wide variety of people who get worked up over this ancient Christian belief.
Read more...

More December 2009 Results and Coming Christmas Storm

In the comments section of the Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast Results post, I included a few forecasts for the West Coast. Here's an update on how they're playing out.

The forecast for Dec 13-16, indicated that there would be a rain event around Nevada and southern California. As can be seen from the Accuweather map at left for Dec 13, a low pressure area centered over Nevada was bringing rain, snow, and windy conditions to the area.


I expected similar weather for that area on the 15th and 16th. Things cleared up considerably, however, although by the 16th there was light rain and mountain snow reported in central California.

For the 15th and 16th, I called for a strong storm off the West Coast pushing its way into the Pacific Northwest. The Accuweather map for the 15th at left shows a storm system with soaking rains hitting the Pacific Northwest. Another storm system hit the area on the 16th as well.

Christmas Storm

My Christmas and New Year's forecast was posted on November 7, 2009 and called for a strong winter storm to hit the Mississippi Valley and East Central States between December 22-26. This potential storm is just now becoming apparent to conventional forecasters. Today Accuweather reports "Furthermore, there is a shot at a major winter storm affecting the Central part of the country next Wednesday and Thursday, shifting into the East just in time for Christmas." That would be the 23rd and 24th--the exact time and place pointed to in my long-range forecast. We'll see how this plays out.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

The Star of Bethlehem

Here's an interesting web site with great information on the Star of Bethlehem.

Some December 2009 Forecast Results

In the comments section of my last post, I made a few forecasts regarding California for December 2009. The first one was for a stormy California around December 7th.

The Weather Channel map at left is for the 7th and shows a powerhouse storm hitting the state. Accuweather reported "A huge storm plowing into south-central California today will bring heavy rain and heavy mountain snow with it. Behind the storm's cold front tonight, gusty winds will blast through Southern California into Arizona."

The next forecast called for a warm and dry influence over California between the 9th and 10th of December. The Weather Channel map at right is for December 9th. The state was dry and southern California was mild in the low 60s according to the Weather Channel. It wasn't much of a warm up, however, and on the 10th rain showers and mountain snow returned to California.

The next portion of the forecast is for the 13th through the 16th calling for a rain event for southern California and Nevada. As we speak, this is beginning to take place. I'll keep you posted.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

A Christmas Poem

When it's Christmas man is bigger
and is better in his part;
He is keener for the service
that is prompted by the heart.
All the petty thoughts and narrow
seem to vanish for a while,
And the true reward he's seeking
is the glory of a smile.
Then for others he is toiling
and somehow it seems to me
That at Christmas he is almost
what God wanted him to be.
-Edgar A. Guest

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative Thanksgiving Forecast 2009 was posted on October 30th. The forecast, based on planetary cycles, achieved a high degree of accuracy. Here are the results.

Forecast

West

Most charts coincide with a storm system moving through the Pacific Northwest into the Intermountain West on the 23rd and 24th. The coastal Pacific Northwest might get some pleasant weather on the 25th, but further inland over the Intermountain West the 26th and 27th looks stormy.


Results

A major storm entered the Pacific Northwest on the 22nd--a day before my forecast. Another weaker system moved in on the 24th bringing rain and some higher-elevation snow to the Pacific Northwest.

I foresaw pleasant weather on the 25th for the coastal Pacific NW. There was a break from the powerhouse storms on the 25h and high pressure over the Great Basin area but some rain and mountain snow still affected the coastal areas. A new front entered the Pacific Northwest on the 26th and moved inland to the Intermountain West on the 26th and 27th.

Forecast

Plains
The 23rd starts with moist air being drawn up over Texas and the southern and eastern Plains initiating storms. Cooler air is drawn southward at this time over the Rockies triggering storms along the Front Range area. Around the 24th, the southern Rockies area centering around New Mexico will have unsettled weather. More cooler Canadian air makes it way southward on the 25th and 26th over the Northern Plains and then meets with moist air creating storms over the Plains.

Results
On the 23rd, Accuweathr reported Farther west in the Southern Plains, a developing system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley tonight and tomorrow. The above Weather Channel map for the 23rd also shows a low pressure system over the Front Range area with a cold front headed into New Mexico.

On the 25th, Accuweather reported that cold winds blasted the northern Plains.

Forecast

Mississippi Valley

The mid-Mississippi Valley area in and around Missouri shows a low pressure area or front bringing rain around the 24th. By the 25th and 26th this develops into more rainy weather for the Mississippi Valley.


Results

The above Weather Channel map for the 24th shows the predicted low pressure system over Missouri. This low continued to pester the northern Mississippi Valley area on the 25th and brought blustery conditions to the Mississippi Valley and western Great Lakes on the 26th.


Forecast

East
On the 23rd, a front is indicated running the length of the East Coast from Florida through New York generating showers. On the 24th, with more moisture being funneled up over Florida and the Southeast, storms are indicated over the area in and around North Carolina and Virginia. Fair conditions seem to make it into the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast by the 25th and 26th.


Results

Although there was no front running hte length of the East Coast from Florida to New York on the 23rd, the whole forecast area did experience showers on that day. An area of low pressure brought rain as it traveled from the Carolinas to New England. The tail end of a front also brought showers to the Florida Peninsula.

I predicted more rain for Florida and the area in and around North Carolina and Virginia on the 24th. The main rain event over the forecast area didn't happen until the 25th.

The Weather Channel map above for the 26th, shows the fair conditions making it into the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. Notice the area is between two fronts.


Forecast

New England

The 26th and 27th are very stormy over the New England area. Indications of severe weather in the lunar eclipse chart of August 5, 2009 will be activated now. The last time these were triggered tropical rainstorm Danny gave a glancing blow to the New England area bringing winds gusting between 40-60 mph and flash flooding due to torrential rainfall that dropped between 2-5 inches of rain. Yikes!

Results

On the 26th a coastal storm over the Carolinas built up and hit New England on the 27th as predicted. I equated this storm to tropical rainstorm Danny since both storms had the same astro-meteorological cause based on the lunar eclipse of Aug 2009. The results were similar. On the 27th, New England had heavy rain and wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. The storm ushered in cold and the windy conditions created power outages and downed trees.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast


Twinkles?
By Gina Bridgeman, Guideposts

One day when my daughter Maria and I were playing on the bed, she suddenly pointed to the fine lines beside my eyes.
"What are these?" she asked.
"Wrinkles," I said. I thought, Oh, great-now my two-year-old has to remind me I'm not getting any younger.
"Twinkles," she said, pleased with herself.
"No, wrin-" I stopped in mid-correction. "You know, that makes them sound like something good, Maria. Twinkles they are."
That night as I looked in the mirror, I realized that my twinkles do come from smiling and laughing, forming a kind of road map of the great joy with which God has blessed my life. From parents who filled our house with laughter and taught us not to take ourselves too seriously, and brothers who are still two of the funniest people I know, I learned the value of a laugh a day. If there's one gift God has given me in abundance, it's joy, and I have the twinkles to prove it.
I'm turning forty, and while I haven't been particularly excited about it, or about those subtle lines or my one pesky gray hair that returns each time I snip it off, I'm ready to look at it all in a new way. Mark Twain wrote, "Wrinkles should merely indicate where smiles have been." So rejoice in the twinkles! They're a sign to the world that God has given me a lot to smile and laugh about.
Joyful Creator, in Your grace continue to fill my life with laughter, joy and an abundance of twinkles.

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

Here’s the Saint Patrick’s Day 2010 long-range weather forecast for the central and eastern United States and for the United Kingdom.


Central and Eastern United States
March 13-17, 2010

Starting on the 13th, penetratingly cold air descends over the Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes area on gusty winds lowering temperatures and continuing southward easily reaching the central and eastern Gulf Coast States. Here are two ways this may play out:


Scenario 1:
The cold air is due to a high pressure system that dosen’t bring much precipitation with it but barrels down toward the Gulf Coast and also spreads eastward toward the Northeast U.S.
Scenario 2:
As often happens with cold air masses, it interacts with moisture already in place bringing significant precipitation and forms a low pressure system that results in a strong winter storm. The storm system then tracks toward the Northeast U.S.



In both scenarios, we could see lake-effect snows on the southern portions of the Great Lakes.

A chance of rain is indicated for New York City on the 17th for the 248th Saint Patrick’s Day Parade. At the same time the aforementioned weather system (in scenarios 1 and 2) from the central U.S. is moving eastward and due to hit NYC on the evening of the 17th although some models show it hitting earlier.


United Kingdom
March 13-17, 2010

A cold air mass works its way southward and eastward over the United Kingdom. Windy conditions and precipitation are likely.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Think About it...


While three-fifths of the World's population worries about hunger and survival, we anxiously wrestle with overweight and boredom. Every newspaper supplies increasing evidence that in terms of gross national product, comfort, and personal income, we are superior, yet, in personal relationships and inner peace, we are revealing that we do not know how to live. We are artists at having and failures at being.

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Super Bowl Sunday will take place on February 7, 2010 at Miami's Dolphin Stadium. This de facto American holiday is the second largest U.S. food consumption day after Thanksgiving.


The city of Miami has often hosted the Super Bowl due to its agreeable February weather. The average daytime temperature in Miami at this time of year is 78 degrees with a nighttime average temperature reading of 61.

Conventional meteorology is extremely limited in its ability to forecast weather conditions beyond 3 or 4 days. Even with the help of the latest supercomputers, which can run about one trillion calculations every second, meteorologists can only expect this upgraded technology to slightly improve the accuracy of their 3-to-4-day forecasts. The idea of forecasting Miami's weather for Feb 7, 2010 on Nov 14, 2009 is not even remotely possible.

The ancient study of astro-meteorology, which considers planetary cycles as indicators of terrestrial weather patterns allows one to look far into the future. Since planetary positions can be known months and years in advance, and since a reliable body of knowledge of each planet's influence on our weather has been compiled and tested over thousands of years, an astro-meteorologist can look ahead and make a pretty accurate forecast. Of course, no forecast method, be it conventional or otherwise, can claim 100% accuracy but astro-meteorology offers the best possibility for long-range predictions as has been shown on this site.

In looking at the planetary line-up over Miami for February 7th, we find a conjunction of the planets Venus and Neptune. These planets when aligned are associated with southerly air flows and an increase in moisture. Under Venus-Neptune rainfall can be heavy, at times leading to flash flooding. The Moon will trigger this pair the day before. So it appears that starting on the 6th into the 7th there is a strong possibility of rain for the Miami area and Florida in general. Hopefully, it won't spoil too much of the fun but if you're headed that way, you might want to be prepared.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Food for Thought

Instant gratification is no longer fast enough.

Adults are just children with better excuses.

Tropical Storm Phyan

Tropical Storm Phyan is produced heavy rain over portions of west India Monday and Tuesday. It will make landfall near Mumbai on Wednesday.





What is the astro-meteorological connection? The square aspect between Saturn and Pluto (exact on the 15th, but triggered by the Moon's aspects on the 12th).

The astro-locality map below for the 3rd Quarter Moon of Nov 9th shows a Saturn line passing through the very area. It's the yellow line running north to south through west India.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

The Dangers of Genetically Modified Organisims

Christmas Weather Forecast and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

The long-range weather forecasts presented here at The Weather Alternative are based on the ancient study of astro-meteorology or planetary cycles.

Here are some forecasts for the Christmas season and New Year's Eve in the United States and Europe.

United States

New England

Forecast
Dec 20, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 20-22: Somebody left the faucet on! Heavy rain is possible for New England as warm moist air is drawn up over the East Coast and New England.
Dec 25-27: Windy and cold weather is in store for the Northeast and New England. If enough moisture is in place, storms ensue.
Jan 1, 2010: Another blast of cold winds out of Canada for the Northeast and New England.

East Coast

Forecast
Dec 20, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 20-22: A front moves through to the East Coast. This has the potential to unleash heavy rainfall from the North Carolina coast through the Northeast.
Dec 25-27: Cold and windy over the Northeast.
Dec 31-Jan 1: Another front producing storms through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.



Mississippi Valley and East Central U.S.

Forecast
Dec 22, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 22-23: A potent storm system begins to gear up over the Mississippi Valley as moisture from the Gulf interacts with cold air out of Canada.
Dec 24-26: A strong winter storm hits the East Central States from Michigan down through the Florida Panhandle. Expect major travel problems and airport delays. Special intensity is shown over the Southeast U.S. in and around Georgia and South Carolina.
Dec 28-31: The area stays stormy as another low pressure system or front pushes through the East Central area leading up to New Year’s Eve.

Rockies

Forecast
Dec 28-31
Warm, moist air filters up over the Rockies from south to north. This may result in foggy conditions but more importantly strong downpours are possible.

West Coast

Forecast
Dec 20-Jan 01
Dec 20-22: An energetic front enters the U.S. West Coast bringing a good amount of precipitation.
Dec 24: A warm up over the Pacific NW.
Jan 1: A cold front out of British Columbia begins to enter the Pacific Northwest.

Europe

Forecast
Dec 22-23: On the 22nd and 23rd, a cold, dry air mass descends over the United Kingdom and begins to interact with a moist, low pressure area just north of Ireland driving clouds and precipitation over the British Isles.
Dec 24-25: By the 24th and 25th a strong front or storm system is battering France, Germany, and the surrounding areas.
Dec 26: From the 26th on, cold, windy conditions set in over the British Isles, southward into France.
Dec 27-29: A series of fronts or a lingering low pressure area continues to keep the region in and around France and Germany under stormy conditions. Heavy precipitation is shown for the British Isles.



Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Action is Everything

If learning about success was all that it took to do great things with your life, then your success would be guaranteed. The bookstores are full of self-help books, each one of them loaded with ideas that you can use to be more successful. The fact is, however, that all the best advice in the world will only help you if you can motivate yourself to take persistent, continuous action in the direction of your goals until you succeed. --Brian Tracy

Nor'easter and Oct-Nov 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative forecast for Nov 5-7 is being fulfilled by the developing Nor'easter over New England. Today's Accuweather article "Cold Winds to Grip Northeast" explains how a storm will intensify as it moves off the New England coast tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday (Nov 5-6). Temps will feel like they're in the teens due to strong northerly winds on the back side of the storm. Some areas of the Northeast will have an early season snowfall.


The Weather Alternative forecast for this time period was posted on June 16, 2009 and stated Mars conjoins the solar eclipse degree over the Northeast U.S. Expect storms through the area. This may also affect the Windward Islands, which may see some tropical activity.

As far as tropical activity affecting the Windward Islands, the National Weather Service today reported that two small low pressure systems are centered north of the Leeward Islands.

Another long-range forecast for October 30-Nov 2, 2009 mentioned to watch for possible tropical storm formation in the western Atlantic around 52 west longitude and 15 north latitude.

On October 29th, the National Weather Service reported a tropical wave along 55 west to the south of 16 north was bringing strong showers and thunderstorms to the area.

On November 2nd, they reported another tropical wave along 55 west.

Another forecast for October 29-Nov 2, 2009 called for a storm system over the U.S. Intermountain West and possible tropical storm activity 540 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas.

No tropical storm activity was reported, but on October 29th, a storm system hit the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia. Rain hit Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. About 1-3 inches of snow covered the northern Rockies.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast


The Future Belongs to the Risk Takers

The future belongs to the risk takers, not the security seekers. Life is perverse in the sense that the more you seek security, the less of it you have. But the more you seek opportunity, the more likely it is that you will achieve the security that you desire. --Brian Tracy