July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

Probably the best thing about hurricanes is that they move us to help other people. Norman Rockwell captured that helpful spirit in his 1941 painting A Scout is Helpful. The painting was inspired by the 1938 New England Hurricane.

From a long-range weather perspective, the end of July shows the potential to be a very active period. Here are some dates, places, and comments about possible hurricane landfalls and severe weather outbreaks.

July 21-24, 2007

Hurricane scenario: A number of planetary indicators point toward the possibility of a tropical storm or hurricane being drawn northward off the North Carolina coast (around 73W/32N) to the Long Island/Connecticut area. The tropical system would then continue through the area and affect the rest of New England and eastern Canada.

Non-tropical scenario: If not an actual tropical system, abundant tropical moisture is drawn up over the eastern U.S. targeting the Northeast and New England areas. The resulting heavy rains will have the potential to cause flooding problems.

Monsoonal moisture comes to life over the Rockies resulting in showers and thunderstorms. Some of these may be possible flash-flood producers.

Gulf moisture is thrust northward over the central U.S. creating a severe weather threat over Missouri and the surrounding states. Heat and humidity are on the increase igniting storms, which will most likely reach severe limits.

July 24-27, 2007

The East Coast is still not out of the woods yet. Another round of severe storms, or perhaps just a continuation of the severe weather indicated in the July 21-24 forecast, will affect the Southeast, East Central, and Great Lakes area. Tropical moisture, either through a tropical system or some other weather mechanism, will be drawn up over the Carolinas and Northeast. Strong storms should result with the potential of reaching severe limits.

July 28-Aug 1, 2007

A low pressure system that may be tropical in nature forms off the Carolina coasts and heads towards the Long Island/Connecticut area. The area from New York City through New England shows the potential for storms of a severe nature and high velocity winds. A tropical system cannot be ruled out at this time.

The Plains will be dealing with its own severe weather as high heat unleashes dangerous storms over Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, and Missouri. A similar scenario develops over Alabama, Georgia, and surrounding areas.

Click here for Early Tropical System in the Gulf?

Click here for Hurricane Season 2007

Click here for April 2007 Forecast

Click here for Spring Out West

Early Tropical System in the Gulf?

May 19-23, 2007:

The New Moon of May 16th will pave the way for the development of a possible early tropical storm system to affect the Gulf Coast region centering around Louisiana and Mississippi. Jupiter and Uranus, now forming a weather-disrupting 90 degree angle, will be jolted into action on the aforementioned dates by Mercury's opposition and cuadrature.

These planetary combinations are known to produce high velocity winds and stormy conditions. The New Moon localizes their influence in and around the Louisiana-Mississippi area.

Although this weather pattern has the potential to be tropical in nature, it may of course manifest as some other type of severe weather. Since severe weather is also indicated over the Rockies at this time with the likelihood of strong storms over the Colorado-New Mexico area. Another possible scenario is that the weather system over the Rockies transits eastward and intensifies over the Louisiana-Mississippi area.

Click here for Hurricane Season 2007

More May Long-range Forecasts

May 8-10, 2007:

Severe weather potential exists over the Rockies as well as over the Northeast and New England. Low pressure systems are indicated over both these areas.

May 27-29, 2007:
A storm system forming over the Mississippi Valley will intensify over the Northeast. One possible scenario calls for a strong surface low to crank up over the area ushering in gusty winds and rain as the system moves over the Northeast towards New England and Nova Scotia.

Click here for April Forecast

Click here for a few more May Forecasts

Dr. William Gray on Global Warming:

"I mean, there’s almost an equation you can write: the degree to which you believe global warming is causing major hurricanes to increase is inversely proportional to your knowledge about these storms."

April 12-14, 2007 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for April 12-14, 2007 (posted March 20, 2007) called for a southerly air flow over the West Coast States and precipitation if enough moisture were available.

The following report is from the National Weather Service. (Bold is mine)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA451 AM PDT SAT APR 14 2007

PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD BE GOOD TODAY...GIVEN THE GOOD SOUTHERLY FETCH OF MOISTURE INTO THE INLAND NORTHWEST.

THE SOUTHERLY WIND TRAJECTORIES IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS ALONG THE FRONT WILL NEGATE THE RAIN SHADOW OVER THE EAST SLOPES THROUGH THE COLUMBIA BASIN...SO MANY AREAS TODAY SHOULD RECEIVE A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN BY THIS EVENING.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR

249 AM PDT SAT APR 14 2007

A NEARLY PURE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TYPICAL SHADOWING EFFECTS FROMCOMING INTO PLAY.

April 14, 2007 - The Weather Channel

West

A new storm will move across the West Today through Monday, bringing showers and mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest, Great Basin and Rockies.

Click here for April Forecasts

Click here for Hurricane Season 2007

April 8-10 2007 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative Long-range West Coast Forecast
for April 8-10, 2007 called for windy conditions. (Posted
March 20, 2007)

Here a just a few of the wind warnings issued through
out the western States and Canada. (Bold is mine)

400 AM PDT SUN APR 8 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA.

LOCAL STRONG GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

10:12 AM PDT Sunday 8 April 2007
Wind warning for West Vancouver Island continued

Strong southeast winds of 50 to 70 km/h expected today.
This is a warning that damaging winds are imminent or
occurring in these regions.

430 AM PDT MON APR 9 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST OREGON AS WELL AS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
WASHINGTON.

STRONG WIND KITTITAS VALLEY, YAKIMA VALLEY, LOWER COLUMBIA
BASIN OF WASHINGTON, FOOTHILLS OF THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF
WASHINGTON,LOWER COLUMBIA BASIN OF OREGON, FOOTHILLS OF
THE BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON

MON APR 9 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL IDAHO AND SOUTHWEST IDAHO.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM MDT TODAY
THROUGH 6 PM MDT TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION TODAY PRODUCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

April 10, 2007- The Weather Channel

The Southwest continues to be dry, and winds will complicate matters today by increasing the fire danger today.

Click here for Hurricane Season 2007

Click here for April 2007 Forecast

Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus

The ancients Greeks and Romans knew of only five wandering stars or planets. These were Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn. Following the discovery of a sixth planet in the 18th Century, the name Uranus was chosen as the logical addition to the series: for Mars (Greek Ares) was the son of Jupiter, Jupiter (Zeus) the son of Saturn, and Saturn (Cronus) the son of Uranus.

Jupiter, the fifth planet from the sun, is about 21 times the size of Mars, and almost 3000 times as heavy! Although it is so much more massive, it is not as dense as Mars.

The fantastic stories handed down to us through Greek and Roman mythology may have actually happened although not as finally portrayed in those myths, which are obviously quite embellished. There may have been something genuine, however, in their origin though somewhat distorted and exaggerated. One confirmation comes from an unlikely source: the Bible.

The pre-flood world according to the Bible was quite a different one. A canopy of water surrounded the earth and atmosphere filtering out the sun’s deadly rays that help cause aging. In such a world atmospheric pressure was much greater resulting in people and plants that were much larger.

It’s not surprising that researchers have occasionally found insects and air bubbles trapped in amber, which is petrified tree sap. The air bubbles have been found to contain 50 percent more oxygen than the air we breath today. The benefits of increased air pressure are no mystery to scientists of today. Hyperbaric treatments that apply increased air pressure and greater amounts of oxygen are used in promoting faster healing in patients suffering from stroke, multiple sclerosis, and leprosy. The Dallas Cowboys even have a hyperbaric chamber because they've discovered the injured players heal twice as fast.

Uranus, the seventh planet from the sun, is more than 7 times the size of Mars, and almost 135 times as heavy.

This increased air pressure and oxygen concentration explains how the 80-foot long brontosaurus could survive having nostrils the same size as a horse’s. It may very well be that pre-flood peoples were larger, stronger, and capable of some of the pretty far out exploits which have been handed down to us in even further embellished forms through mythology.

Regardless of what Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus may have done in the past, between the 28th and 30th of April, their planetary namesakes will align over the Rockies and Front Range. The alignments of Mars and Uranus are known for acute and energetic weather patterns. Those of Jupiter and Uranus bring intense cold fronts and high velocity winds.
Things may get under way as early as the 27th when the Moon triggers the configuration.

Hurricane Season 2007

Accuweather meteorologist Joe Bastardi is reminding us that it's time to start thinking about Hurricane Season 2007. Mr. Bastardi warns that the U.S. Gulf Coast is at a much higher risk of destructive tropical weather this year. Last year, Bastardi was correct in forecasting minimal hurricane activity for the Gulf Coast area.

As for the Northeast, Bastardi says that last year the area was able to dodge the bullet but it may not be so lucky this year. His forecast for last year called for the likelihood of seeing more hurricane activity along the East Coast than along the Gulf Coast. Most of 2006's storms did track farther east than those in 2005.

Even in years of minimal hurricane activity, devastating hurricanes and tropical storms can still wreak havoc for the U.S. as attested to by the destruction caused by Hurricane Andrew. According to Bastardi, last year was just a breather but the overall pattern shows no signs of reversing.

Although conventional meteorologists issue long-range hurricane outlooks, they are unable to pinpoint the time and place of hurricanes or other specific weather patterns if the forecast period is beyond a three or four day time period. Long-range weather forecasts based on planetary positions, however, afford the forecaster indications that enable him or her to make more specific forecasts months or years in advance. The following links are some examples of such forecasts made for Hurricane Season 2006.

More fulfilled hurricane predictions

Hurricane Ernesto

The hurricane season runs from June through November. Below are a few dates in June when severe weather patterns are likely to develop. Because the planetary alignments upon which the following forecasts are based usually coincide with high wind and/or tropical moisture, the weather patterns indicated carry the potential for being tropical systems, however, non-tropical systems can also produce high wind and involve tropical mositure.

Over the next weeks, The Weather Alternative will post more long-range forecasts of potential hurricane hot spots.

June 5-8, 2007:

The opposition between the Sun and Jupiter will trigger the lunar eclipse of March 3, 2007, affecting the coastal areas of North and South Carolina between 77 and 79 West Longitude and 33 North Latitude. Its influence extends northward through New Jersey. The warm influence, characteristic of Sun-Jupiter alignments, and high velocity winds, indicated by aspects between Jupiter and Uranus (also present at this time), carry the potential for severe weather over this area, which may be tropical in nature.

June 15-17, 2007:

Seventy-seven West Longitude, running through Cuba, the Bahamas, and North Carolina is the focal point for increased wind velocities as Mercury makes its retrograde station. The Moon also adds to the mix by being at its closest approach to Earth and at maximum north declination as it conjoins Mercury. If not an actual tropical system, a cold front dropping through the Northeast pushes southward toward the Carolinas triggering windy conditions.

June 24-July 3, 2007:

This is an important time due to the opposition between Saturn and Neptune, which correlates with excessive humidity, prolonged heavy rains, and flood threats. (See specifics below)

June 24-27, 2007:

The central to eastern Gulf Coast is in jeapordy now as tropical moisture is shunted northward over the region pushing into the Mississippi Valley and Deep South.

Other areas worth watching for severe weather are western Canada around 117 West/51 North, and Ireland.

June 27-29, 2007:

The eastern Gulf and Gulf Coast are still under the gun as the Sun conjoins Mercury. These two coincide with increased wind velocity and, in season, hurricane formation. The central panhandle of Florida and northward through Atlanta are places in the line of fire now.

June 30-July 3, 2007:

Venus now triggers the Saturn-Neptune opposition drawing moisutre up over South Carolina and the Southeast.

Expect an influx of mositure from the south over the Baja California into the Desert Southwest.

When thou passeth through the waters, I will be with thee; and through the rivers, they shall not overflow thee: when thou walkest through the fire, thou shalt not be burned; neither shall the flame kindle upon thee ( Isa.43:2 ).