Sunday, July 28, 2013

July 26, 2013 Forecast Results

Over five months ago, in February of this year, I issued some long-range weather forecasts regarding the drought situation in the U.S. Plains. The article entitled "Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains" contained a forecast for the time in and around July 26th. I've been posting the results of these forecast as they happen.

Forecast
The original forecast was based on the position of the planet Neptune in the key chart for the summer season. Neptune correlates with increased moisture and downfall. Here is the astro-locality map for the summer season showing Neptune's position over the Mississippi Valley. Since Neptune is close to the Plains, I concluded that the opposition of Venus to Neptune on July 26th would also bring rain to the Plains.
Summer 2013

Now, compare the Neptune line in the above map to the Weather Channel radar map of July 26th.

26 Current Radar

Notice that the main body of rain over the Plains and Mississippi Valley is oriented in the same direction as the Neptune line in the astro-locality map.

The next map, from the National Weather Service, shows areas that were subjected to flash flood watches. These states included Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas -- states that are battling drought.

26 Warnings

Accuweather reported on the 25th that damaging thunderstorms and flash flooding would affect the Great Plains and parts of the Upper Midwest affecting 10 million people and covering an area of about 250,000 square miles.

Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Hurricane Season 2013 Part 1
West Coast Weather July-August 2013
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Obama v. Obama

Sunday, July 21, 2013

California Water Shortage Forecast Results

Here are the results of the March 12, 2013 post California Water Shortage Spring 2013 Forecast. My basic conclusion was that the spring season looked predominantly dry and the details of the forecast have basically borne themselves out.

At the time of the post the U.S. Drought Monitor for California looked like this: ca_dm

The light yellow shows abnormally dry areas, and the darker yellow shows severe drought. Next, is the latest Drought Monitor for California.
ca_dm

Pretty much the whole state is now in a severe drought.

Forecasts and Results

Here are the details of the forecasts and their results. The dates I used are understood to include a before and after period of a day or so on either side.

March 22 Forecast
Around this date, a stormy and windy system is indicated over southern California that may bring precipitation.
Results
The Weather Channel reported a winter storm producing rain and high mountain snow from the Northwest to northern and central California.

March 31 Forecast
In and around this date, another storm system is indicated over southern California.

Results
On the 30th and 31st, rain showers and mountain snows increased for northern and central California, and Great Basin.

April 13-25 Forecast
During this period, Mars transits over the state of California in the Full Moon chart. This usually coincides with a dry period.

Results
The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletins for this period said water-supply prospects for California remained bleak. The state experienced warm and dry weather throughout this period.

April 17 Forecast
Specifically around this date, the Sun conjoins Mars and is localized over California in the Full Moon chart. This corresponds to warmer temperatures and dry conditions. At times, storms can ensue after the heat.

Results
Posts from the National Weather Service for this date spoke of a warming trend, high pressure, and Santa Ana winds.

April 22 Forecast
At this time one of the above mentioned aspects to Saturn takes places. We should see a front or low pressure area form off the U.S. West Coast, which may bring precipitation inland.

Results
The National Weather Service reported an upper level disturbance brought a chance of showers.

April 27 Forecast
At this time Mars triggers the Full Moon chart increasing heat and dryness. Sometimes this results in storms being generated after the heat.
Results
On the 28th, Accuweather headlines read: Record-Warmth in the Desert Southwest into Early Next Week.

April 28 Forecast
Around this time, the Sun will oppose Saturn off the U.S. West Coast bringing a front or low pressure system there. The opposition should also affect areas of southeastern California.

Results
The National Weather Service explained that because of the interaction of an upper level trough and an upper level high pressure system a late season offshore wind event would ensue over southwest California.

May 1 Forecast
A vigorous low pressure area or front forms around now and moves inland bringing stormy conditions.
Results
On May 2nd, Accuweather reported unusually strong Santa Ana winds and dryness. (The wind is what I expected on the 3rd...but that's close enough)

May 3 Forecast
Warm and dry conditions with the possibility of increased wind velocities are indicated in and around this date.

Results
An upper level low off the California coast brought a few showers and thunderstorms.

May 5-20 Forecast
In another key chart, Mars will transit across California now bringing warm and dry conditions.

Results
The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletins for this period said there were some isolated showers in California between the 5th and 11th. Hot, and mostly dry weather prevailed in California between the 12th and 18th.

May 7-8 Forecast
Mercury's aspect to Mars will bring and warm and dry atmosphere with increased wind velocities around this time.
Results
An upper-level disturbance triggered scattered showers and thunderstorms some of which produced gusty winds and heavy downpours.

May 11 Forecast
The Sun's conjunction to Mercury is known to bring high pressure, which we should expect around this date.
Results
The Weather Channel reported very warm conditions in California.

May 12-31 Forecast
The majority of aspects at this time indicate fair weather with not much chance of rain.

Results
Most of this was covered in the May 5-20 section above. The period from the 20th through the 31st brought worsening drought across the Southwest, warm and dry weather with hot, and breezy conditions.

June 3 Forecast
Due to an aspect involving Saturn, somewhat cooler weather and higher humidity may be expected but this is not necessarily a rainmaker.
Results
According to the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin, a weak upper-level low brought modest cooling to southern California.

June 7-8 Forecast
Mercury makes some important aspects to Uranus and Pluto. This may bring an anomalous weather pattern to the Pacific Northwest and California. It may mean stormy or windy conditions or perhaps extremes of cold before and after these dates.
Results
This forecast was added to and I covered the results here.

June 12 Forecast
Around this time a cold front lowers temperatures and perhaps triggers a little precipitation.
Results
The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin reported an upper-level low over southern California resulted in mild temperatures over higher terrain.

June 13-20 Forecast
The rest of the season appears to be mostly dry.

Results
The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin stated that between June 16-22, little or no rain fell across California. Then from the 23rd to the 29th, early week showers fell in northern California and then turned hot and dry for the latter part of the week.

Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Hurricane Season 2013 Part 1
West Coast Weather July-August 2013
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Ten Years of Accelerated Global Warming?

Sunday, July 14, 2013

Hurricane Erick and Other Fulfilled Forecasts

Hurricane Erick fulfilled the long-range forecast for July 4-11, 2013 posted during the third week of June. The area in and around Acapulco, Mexico (99 west longitude and 16 north latitude) was identified as likely to spawn a tropical system at that time.

On July 4th, the National Hurricane Center announced that a new tropical depression, dubbed TD Five-E, formed south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, at 98 west longitude and 13 north latitude--the exact area mentioned in the long-range weather forecast. Tropical Depression Five-E later developed into Hurricane Erick. Below is the National Hurricane Center map for July 6th.
06 Hurricane Erick

The same forecast mentioned two other areas that might be affected by tropical systems: Tampico, Mexico, which lies along the Gulf of Mexico, and eastern Texas. The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Weather Outlook of July 6th informed of a surface trough of low pressure developing in the western and central Gulf that was expected to move slowly northward toward the Texas and Louisiana coasts. A day earlier, the Weather Channel reported that this tropical wave was bringing "a ton of rain to the northern Gulf Coast. Then on the 6th, "rainfall of 1 to 3 inches or more" was possible from the upper Texas Gulf Coast to the Florida Panhandle. At this time the low pressure system was named Invest 94-L, which sat roughly 250 miles south of Brownsville, Texas. This is exactly where Tampico, Mexico lies.

The last portion of the forecast defined the New England area as a candidate for a severe weather pattern or a tropical system. A severe weather pattern did develop over the area. On the 8th, Accuweather was warning of damaging storms from Maryland to Massachusetts. The Accuweather map below shows the flooding potential expected.
07 Virginia to New England

The National Weather Service began to issue warnings for heavy rain in Maine, locally heavy downpours and flash flooding for Massachusetts, Vermont, northern New York, Rhode Island, and Connecticut over the next few days.


Hurricane Season 2013 Part 1
West Coast Weather July-August 2013
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
California Water Shortage Part 2
California Water Shortage Spring 2013 Forecast
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Reasons for Unbelief

Aldous Huxley’s self-admitted reason for his unbelief. He says he had “motives” for not wanting to believe in God and so “assumed” he didn’t exist and “was able without any difficulty to find satisfying reasons for this assumption.” He confessed:

Most ignorance is vincible ignorance. We don’t know because we don’t want to know. It is our will that decides how and upon what subjects we shall use our intelligence. Those who detect no meaning in the world generally do so because, for one reason or another, it suits their books that the world should be meaningless.

More recently, New York University Professor Thomas Nagel has said something similar: “I want atheism to be true and am made uneasy by the fact that some of the most intelligent and well-informed people I know are religious believers.” He continues: “It isn’t just that I don’t believe in God and, naturally, hope that I’m right in my belief. It’s that I hope there is no God! I don’t want there to be a God; I don’t want a universe like that.”

Read more: http://www.reasonablefaith.org/is-god-imaginary#ixzz2Z20K4WMm

Sunday, July 07, 2013

June and July 2013 Forecast Results

Starting with the most recent forecast, in my June 15th post entitled West Coast Weather July-August 2013, I tried to synthesize a number of different planetary influences over the U.S. West Coast that were culminating on July 1st and 2nd.

I noted that on July 1st, Mercury was going to trigger the Mercury-Venus conjunction. I mentioned how this could excite windy conditions and also draw a warm, moist air mass from the south over the West Coast. The Sun was then to trigger the Uranus-Pluto square of the previous May on July 2nd. This influence was to lower temperatures and bring windy and stormy conditions. Putting it all together, I thought we could see a strong front bringing stormy conditions or a wind event such as Santa Ana winds.

Results

The weather pattern that developed did not follow my synthesis exactly but the main elements were present. For example, on July 1st, Accuweather published the following weather map showing the temperatures experienced in the historic heat wave that was developing. This corresponds to the warm, moist air mass drawn up from the south (although more warm than moist).
01 Heat Wave

On July 2nd, Accuweather then publish the next map with their post entitled "Historic Heat to Ease Temporarily in West." They pointed out how that starting on July 4th a dip in the jet stream would diminish the heat. This corresponds to the Sun-Uranus-Pluto influence that was to bring lower temperatures.
02 Heat Ends

Although the West did not experience a Santa Ana wind event, there were winds to be dealt with. On July 1st, Accuweather also reported "Wind-Whipped Arizona Wildfire Kills 19 Firefighters." The National Weather Service also posted numerous Gale Warnings for Washington, Oregon, California coasts. In addition, the NWS in Oregon warned in a Fire Weather Message on July 2nd "WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE COLUMBIA
BASIN WEDNESDAY AND FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY." A similar message was posted on the 3rd for Washington.

June

I made a number of forecasts regarding the developing California water shortage in a two part post. (here and here) I have yet to post the results of Part 1 but have looked at the results of Part 2. The first one is posted here. Now we'll look at the last forecast posted in Part 2. That forecast was for the period of June 7-12. I concluded that with Neptune and the Sun affecting the area off California coast, we should experience a chance of precipitation for the West Coast.

Results

The Weather Channel reported on June 9th that an upper-level low from off the California coast would punch into Nevada triggering scattered thunderstorms. Unfortunately, lightning strikes could potentially start fires.

By the 11th, a low-pressure area entered the Pacific Northwest causing showers and thunderstorms for a couple of days.

Hurricane Season 2013 Part 1
West Coast Weather July-August 2013
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
California Water Shortage Part 2
California Water Shortage Spring 2013 Forecast
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Monument to Atheism (click here to read)
american-atheists