Wednesday, December 29, 2010

January 25-27, 2011 New England and Eastern Canada

Astronomical cycles involving the Sun, Mercury, Saturn, and Pluto culminate between January 25-27, 2011 and bring storm potential for New England, Nova Scotia and surrounding areas.
CapitalsEasternCanada
At this time Saturn will begin its retrograde motion, which by itself, is an indicator of cold, damp weather. On the day it turns retrograde, it also receives a square from Mercury. Negative aspects from Mercury coincide with low pressure systems. The Sun's parallel to Pluto is also operating at this time and has been observed to breed cold weather.

Great Lakes Winter Storm Jan 10-13, 2011

South Texas Wet Weather Feb 16-18, 2011

Significant West Coast Storm February 20-23, 2011

Major Storm January 3-5, 2011

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

The Faith Value of The US Dollar

Financial Crisis

american-dollar-toilet-paper

Unfettered greed, plain usury, outsourcing and endless wars have hollowed out from the inside the American Economy. And the black horse of the Apocalypse is running free collecting his dues.

The once mighty dollar has been reduced to nothing more than worthless paper devalued to but a shadow of its former glory. The UN, China, Russia, Arab Nations and World economic leaders are all calling for a new world currency, In essence, the report calls for a new Bretton Woods-style system of managed international exchange rates, meaning central banks would be forced to intervene and either support or push down their currencies depending on how the rest of the world economy is behaving.

How ironic that the idol that so many worshiped has come down bring with it its mighty temples and threatens to bury its devotees. Is not a question of if but when will the US Dollar collapse. Panicked investors have reacted by driving the price of gold to new heights never seen in world history.

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Great Lakes Winter Storm Jan 10-13, 2011

Between January 10th and 13th, 2011 the formation of a low pressure system and an invasion of cold air over the Great Lakes will likely result in winter storm and high wind warnings over the area.

Cold fronts on weather maps are depicted by the following symbol.

cold_front

Many readers, however, prefer Gil Elvgren's depiction of a Cold Front.
514+7HFTVUL__SS500_
While we're on the subject of heavenly bodies, it is precisely the angular relationships involving the Sun, Mercury, Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus that, according to astro-meteorology, will trigger the intense low pressure system over the Great Lakes area.

The Sun's parallel to Mercury accelerates wind velocities. Mercury's parallel to Mars also has the same effect. Bleak, penetrating, blustery cold weather accompanies the square of Mercury to Uranus, and high-velocity winds attend the parallel between Jupiter and Uranus.

The Pacific Northwest and British Columbia, as well as the Northeast U.S. will also be affected by these planetary alignments.

South Texas Wet Weather Feb 16-18, 2011

Significant West Coast Storm February 20-23, 2011

Major Storm January 3-5, 2011

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

3 Kings

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

South Texas Wet Weather Feb 16-18, 2011

The First Quarter Moon of February 11, 2011 sets up a potentially wet weather pattern for the South Texas Plains region.

Untitled

As shown on the accompanying map, at the time of the First Quarter Moon, Neptune and the Moon occupy angular positions. That is to say as the Moon is setting to the west, Neptune will be anti-culminating or reaching its lowest point (directly underneath the earth).

Around the 17th, the Sun will oppose Neptune and spark this planetary combination over the Rio Grande about 150 miles southwest of San Antonio, Texas. Neptune , the most pluvial of all the celestial bodies, foreshadows abundant moisture and threatens flooding in those regions where it occupies the meridian.

Significant West Coast Storm February 20-23, 2011

Major Storm January 3-5, 2011

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Tree

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Significant West Coast Storm February 20-23, 2011

Expect whipping winds and a strong low pressure system to bring precipitation to coastal areas of British Columbia, the Pacific Northwest, Idaho, and Nevada as it pushes eastward.
anonymous-gene-kelly-singing-in-the-rain-2400101
The planet Neptune occupies the 116th line of west longitude through Idaho, Nevada, and southern California in the winter seasonal chart. Neptune's influence has been observed by astro-meteorologists to correspond with increased atmospheric moisture, southerly air flows, and heavy downpours when aspected negatively by other planets. Between the 20th and 23rd of February 2011, both Mercury and Mars will conjoin Neptune triggering its pluvial influence.

Conjunctions of Mercury and Mars bring acute weather systems characterized by whipping westerly winds. The conjunction of Mars and Neptune induce a rapidly falling barometer and semi-tropical-like low pressure systems. Mercury's conjunction to Neptune also lowers the barometer and increases precipitation.
!B64m,fgB2k~$(KGrHqUOKjcEycuPoW)WBMyj7SogLQ~~-1_1
The Mars-Neptune conjunction occurs about every two years. Our last one was the conjunction of March 8, 2009. The seasonal chart for the winter of 2008-9 also placed Neptune over the West Coast States. That particular storm, which was also was the subject of a long-range forecast brought winter storm warnings and winter weather advisories across the Pacific Northwest, Idaho, and western Montana. Snow levels in western Washington and northwest Oregon were about at sea level causing driving problems. This year's Mars-Neptune conjunction is exacerbated by the additional energy of the Mercury-Mars conjunction.
rainy2
The celestial waterworks may actually get underway a few days beforehand when the Sun makes its conjunction to Neptune on the 17th. Then, the Full Moon of February 18th falls in close conjunction to Neptune drawing moisture up from southern regions.

The same planetary configurations affect the eastern portion of Australia which may now be subject to heavy rain.

Major Storm January 3-5, 2011

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Breaking News!
Click to enlarge



xn-chris

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Major Storm January 3-5, 2011

The ingredients for a major storm to form over the Great Lakes area will come together between the 3rd and 5th of January 2011. According to the long-range forecast method based on Johannes Kepler's use of planetary cycles, the alignments of Jupiter and Uranus coupled with the configuration between Venus and Neptune will provide the cold and moisture needed to create a powerful atmospheric disturbance.



greatlakeswater


The conjunction of Jupiter and Uranus recurs at average periods of 13.81 years and have been observed by astro-meteorologists to coincide with intense cold fronts and high velocity winds. During the 2010-11 winter season, Jupiter and Uranus set up residence over 87 west longitude ranging southward through Chicago, Illinois, western Kentucky and Tennessee, and on through Mobile, Alabama.


The configurations between Venus and Neptune, the pluvial planet par excellence,
have been observed to induce southerly air flows, lower barometer, and the heaviest downpours. The New Moon chart at this time localizes their influence over the Great Lakes area.


low





It appears that a cold air mass from the northern Plains will push eastward and collide with warm, moist air over the Great Lakes at this time and affect an area as far southward as Tennessee. The storm should then move eastward over the U.S. Northeast.

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made



cartoon

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Approaching Storm Appears On Schedule

Accuweather meteorologists over the last few days have become aware of a snowstorm that may affect the Northeast and New England this weekend. This is the storm that I posted about 2 months ago based on astro-meteorological indicators.

15 Weekend Storm I-95

Accuweather meteorologists have stated that the odds are increasing for the storm to affect the Northeast and New England but they are not sure yet if it will track that close to the coast.



In my post of October 16, 2010, I explained the astro-meteorological reasoning behind the storm. The combination of the Sun's conjunction to a retrograde Mercury (a classic storm breeder) and their squares to Uranus between December 18th and 20th led to the forecast for a possible Nor'easter-type storm to affect the area.



Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made





AO1

Monday, December 06, 2010

Near Blizzard Conditions for New England

In a recent post, I commented on the
storm potential for December 3-5, 2010. I explained the astro-meteorological influences at work and which of the three scenarios that Accuweather presented were the most likely.
05 Near Blizzard

At the time they felt that either
1) a big snowstorm would affect the Northeast
2) nothing at all would happen or
3) it would track too far east or west.

My take was that a good-sized storm would hit the Northeast, New England, and Nova Scotia and that if it were to track anywhere it would track to the east.

On the 4th, Accuweather reported that two long-duration storms would take aim on northern New England and part of Quebec. The heaviest snow would be in Vermont, Maine, and Quebec.

On the 5th, they reported "Near Blizzard Set to Pound Maine."

Today's Weather Channel map (Dec 6) shows the area still under the gun.

Dec 06

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

He who has not Christmas in his heart will never find it under a tree.
—Roy L. Smith

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Northeast Storm Dec 3-5, 2010

400x266_11261840_stormfactors

Accuweather meteorologists are toying with the idea that a sizable snowstorm could develop over the Northeast U.S. this coming weekend. They are a bit hesitant to say it will happen as, for them, issuing a forecast for a week ahead is stretching their capabilities. They offer three possibilities: 1- A very big snowstorm will affect the Northeast. 2- Nothing will happen. 3- The storm will track too far east or west and will not bring snow or will just bring rain.



The planetary activity at this time involves the alignments of Jupiter and Saturn, as well as Mars and Uranus on December 3rd. Then on the 5th we have the conjuction of Mercury and Pluto and the station of Uranus. We find these planets congregating over the U.S. Northeast, New England, and Nova Scotia. There is also some activity off the coast of the Northeast.



To me that says that of the three possibilities mentioned by Accuweather, number 1 is very likely. I would discount number 2 and as for number 3, the possibility of the storm tracking further east is more likely than it tracking further west. So I would prepare to experience a good-sized storm over the Northeast and New England at this time.



Some of these same planetary alignments affect the western Atlantic in the tropics. I wonder if we'll even see a bit of out-of-season tropical activity or perhaps some kind of storm system approaching the Windward Islands then.



Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made



How Science and Religion are Relevant to Each Other



Science can both falsify and verify claims of religion.



Examples of religious claims science has falsified include:

1- The sky rested on the shoulders of Atlas or the back of a turtle

2- The Geocentric Theory- The Church's misinterpretation of scripture

3- The Taoist and Hindu belief that the world is eternal.



Examples of religious claims science has verified:

1- The universe was created out of nothing a finite time ago.

2- The world is the product of intelligent design. (This is seen in

the delicate balance of physical constants and quantities. If any one of these were to be slightly altered, the balance would be destroyed and life would not exist. Life-prohibiting universes are vastly more probable than any life-permitting universe like ours.)--based on the writing of Dr. William Lane Craig

Sunday, November 14, 2010

Midwest Winter Cold and Heating Oil

Winter weather conditions, in part, affect the price of heating oil. An astro-meteorological chart for the winter season shows a cold influence over the U.S. Midwest. Below are some dates when this cold influence will be activated.

oil_1010_jcw





January 2-4, 2011

An intense cold front and windy conditions possibly triggering precipitation is indicated at this time.



January 6-8, 2011

A low pressure system affects Chicago and the Great Lakes area.



January 10-11, 2011

A good-sized storm system affects the Great Lakes area ushering in cold conditions.



January 12-13, 2011

Windy and cold conditions.



January 16-18, 2011

A cold high pressure system is indicated.



January 25-27, 2011
Stormy conditions over the Great Lakes and Midwest.



350px-Map-USA-Midwest01



February 1-2, 2011

Damp and cold conditions.



February 12-13, 2011

Cold front.



February 17-19, 2011

A low pressure area is indicated over the Great Lakes and Midwest.



February 28-March 2, 2011

Fair and cold.



March 5-7, 2011

A cold front triggers storms over the Midwest down into Kentucky and Tennessee.



March 8-10, 2011

Blustery conditions over the Midwest as a cold front punches through the area.



March 13-14, 2011

A cold front may bring precipitation.



March 17-19, 2011

A strong cold front brings stormy conditions over the Midwest and into the Deep South.



December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made





Bad leaders think they are better than those who serve them. Great leaders believe they are only half as good as those they serve. --Simon Sinek




Emotions aren't smooth & shiny, they are rough & uncertain. Yet despite that, we still have to risk sharing them before they have value. --Simon Sinek

Friday, October 29, 2010

Forecast Results for Sept 18-23, 2010 and Experimental Forecasts

The forecast for the U.S. at this time warned of a possible low-pressure system about 200 miles south of Mobile and another area of possible tropical activity along the west coast of Florida.
Sept 19
The closest conditions came to fulfilling this forecast was on the 19th when, according to the National Weather Service, a low pressure system off of Matagorda, Texas brought 5 to 6 inches of rain. (See above map) This, of course, was farther west than what the forecast stated. Florida had just normal thunderstorm activity at times during the forecast period.
The results of the Experimental Forecasts Part 2 seem to suggest that the particular techniques experimented with are not that reliable and will not be included in my forecast method.


“Use what talents you possess; the woods would be very silent if no birds sang except those that sang best.”—Henry Van Dyke

“What is to give light must endure burning.”—Viktor E. Frankl

Friday, October 22, 2010

Central American Forecast Results

Here's a look at the results of The Weather Alternative long-range forecasts for Central America. These four forecasts cover the month of August and were posted on May 16, 2010.
The first forecast was for August 2-6, 2010 and called for a severe weather pattern or possible tropical system over Honduras and Nicaragua.


The Weather Channel reported on the 2nd, "In the western Caribbean, there is a tropical wave moving ashore in Central America near Nicaragua that should produce some locally heavy rainfall over Central America in the next day or two. This system is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone."



06 Tropics2



The above weather graphic from the National Weather Service is for August 6, 2010 and shows a circled area over Honduras and Nicaragua. The NWS stated: SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.

The second forecast was for August 7-9 and pinpointed an area in the Central Caribbean (75W/14N) as a place where a tropical system could either form or pass through. Severe weather was also forecast for Panama. The NWS posted the following comment on August 9th.


NWS

Aug 9, 2010


CARIBBEAN SEA...
SCATTERED MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS COVER THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN SOUTH OF 13N WEST OF 75W ENHANCED BY SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR AN EXTENSION OF THE ITCZ ACROSS COSTA RICA...PANAMA...AND NRN COLOMBIA.

The third forecast was for August 9-12, 2010. This forecast mentioned severe weather for Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Costa Rica with a possible tropical system of the Costa Rican coast at 85W/8N.

The NWS report for August 12th below mentions enhanced convection over Panama and Costa Rica.


Aug 12

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE
FOCUSED FARTHER SOUTH OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS ACTIVITY
IS LOCATED SW OF A LINE FROM 15N83W TO NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR
12N73W. CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE ITCZ AXIS ALONG 09N/10N AND AN
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTION S
OF 12N INCLUDING PANAMA AND COSTA RICA.


The fourth forecast was for August 19-22 specifying heavy rain for Honduras and Nicaragua. The accompanying map is for August 21st.

The NWS commentary below talks of abundant moisture over Panama, Costa Rica, Nicaragua, and Honduras.

21 Tropics2


Aug 21

CARIBBEAN SEA...
ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS NOTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR CENTRAL AMERICA AND SURROUNDING WATERS COVERING THE SW CARIBBEAN GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS W OF 74W S OF 17N. SATELLITE IMAGERY DENOTES THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY LIES WITHIN 100 NM OFFSHORE OF WESTERN PANAMA...COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA...AND HONDURAS.


4PY5YGXSE929

“Choose to be a love-finder rather than a fault-finder.”—Gerald Jampolsky

“Obstacles are those frightful things you see when you take your eyes off your goals.”—Hannah More

Saturday, October 16, 2010

December 2010 Nor'easter Forecast

Nor-easter Time



Image by Cool Text: Free Logos and Buttons - Create An Image Just Like This





December 18-20, 2010


The Northeast U.S. and New England are highlighted at this time for an onslaught of severe weather which may very likely be a Nor'easter. Mercury is retrograde now, which has been known to increase wind velocities when in conjunction with the Sun. Mercury's conjunction with the Sun takes place on the 19th but the day before and after, the Sun and Mercury will aspect Uranus. Taken all together stormy and windy conditions are a strong possibility for this area of the country.


December 29 2010- January 1, 2011

Weather conditions over the New England area may put on quite a display as the New Year is ushered in. The approaching Jupiter-Uranus conjunction and Mars' square to Saturn spell severe weather for the New England area. This could manifest as a Nor'easter. Other indications suggest the storm begins to form over the Northern Plains and makes its way across the Great Lakes/Midwest area and strengthens over New England.




Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!




Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!


Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!


Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010



Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September


Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2


Introduction to the Weather Alternative


How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made



Thoughts



“Don’t water your weeds.” —Harvey Mackay


“In love, one and one are one.”—Jean-Paul Sartre



“Set your goals high, because what a person accomplishes is in proportion to what they attempt.”—Mitchell Naufell

Saturday, October 02, 2010

Nicole and Other Resutls

The first of the two maps below show where
Nicole (Tropical Depression 16) formed on the 29th. The second map, from my September 26th post, shows where the planetary alignments according to astro-meteorology indicated it would form. They coincide perfectly.

29 Tropical Atlantic

CaribbeanMap

I also indicated in the same post another area that would be a good bet for tropical development between September 30th and October 3rd. Here are the maps back to back.

The first one shows where I said "another broad area" likely for tropical development would lie. The second map is from the National Weather Service for October 1st. Once again they coincide perfectly. My map was calculated using only astro-meteorological indicators. This area is still being watched for development.

catl-m

01 Tropical Atlantic

A third area mentioned in my post was for the western coast of Mexico, specifically over the states of Michoacán, Guerrero, and Colima. Below is the map where I circled the area in question. Under that is a map for September 30th from the NWS. The Mexican weather service reported the follow:

Baja presión de 1004 hPa frente a las costas de Colima y Michoacán, cerca de 18°N y 108°W, se asocia con nublados de convección moderada a fuerte. Baja presión de 1008 hPa localizada en 9.5°N y 115°W, se asocia con nublados de convección moderada a fuerte.

This roughly translates that an area of low pressure over the coasts of Colima and Michoacán is producing strong to moderate convection.

estados_mexico

30 Tropical Pacific


Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

On Stephen Hawking's new book The Grand Design

Stephen Hawking's big bang gaps The laws that explain the universe's birth are less comprehensive than Stephen Hawking suggests

Sunday, September 26, 2010

October 2010 Hurricane Outlook

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Accuweather meteorologists are warning of the potential development of a tropical
system at the end of this month in the Caribbean. Based on the planetary alignments during this period, I think that is what will happen.

CaribbeanMap

The above map shows where one planetary model places a strong emphasis around the 30th of September. Accuweather meteorologists also state the possibility of this system affecting Florida and the East Coast. I would agree with them as other planetary indicators do highlight the East Coast area through October 3rd.

Another broad area that is accentuated around September 30th through October 3rd lies in and around 50 west longitude roughly between 15 and 23 north latitude.

catl-m

This is roughly about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. We may see some tropical development there.

A third area that stands out during this period falls in and around 104 west longitude and 19 north latitude.


estados_mexico

The area encompasses the Mexican states of Michoacán, Guerrero, and Colima. We may see tropical development there or a severe weather pattern.

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


“There is a God-shaped vacuum in the heart of every man which cannot be filled by any created thing, but only by God, the Creator, made known through Jesus”—Blaise Pascal

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Tropical Storm Matthew Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Tropical Storm Matthew formed today in the Caribbean fulfilling the long-range forecast posted here on May 28th almost 4 months ago.


23 Matthew




The Accuweather map above shows Tropical Storm Matthew's position and the area it will effect over the next few days.


The Weather Alternative forecast read as follows:


Sept 21-23, 2010

The Sun’s oppositions to Jupiter and Uranus, as well as the parallel of Mars to Neptune gather their influence together over the Central American countries of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. The resultant weather pattern may be a tropical storm or hurricane that affects the area or a severe weather pattern ignited by tropical moisture.


I posted a reminder again on September 6th.


Current thinking is the Matthew will affect Nicaragua, Honduras, and Belize over the next few days with heavy rain. This path is a bit more to the north than I had envisioned.


So far this hurricane season The Weather Alternative long-range forecasts have found their fulfillment in Hurricane Alex, Tropical Storm Bonnie, Tropical Depression 5, Hurricane Earl, Tropical Depression 10E and now Tropical Storm Matthew.

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!



Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!


Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010


Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September


Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2


Introduction to the Weather Alternative


How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Our political way of life is by the laws of nature, of nature's God, and of course presupposes the existence of God, the moral ruler of the universe, and a rule of right and wrong, of just and unjust, binding upon man, preceding all institutions of human society and of government. --John Quincy Adams President of the United States, 1825-1829

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Experimental Forecast Results

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!


portraitofascholar
In July I posted some experimental forecasts. These were based on some research I was doing to improve forecast accuracy. I called them experimental because the techniques I was basing these forecasts on are not the regular techniques I normally use. This particular series of forecasts covered July and August.

To me, the results are not very convincing and so this particular technique doesn't look like something I'll be using.

Forecast

July 21-23, 2010
A low pressure area, most likely centering in and around the Georgia-Tennessee area, or front affects the East Central and Deep South area.

Results

The main weather event at this time was high heat.

Forecast

July 26-28, 2010
High pressure and fair conditions embrace the southern Mississippi Valley area.

Results

There was a lot of rain over the area between these dates.

Forecast

July 30-August 1, 2010
An increase in temperatures and moisture over the Oklahoma-Arkansas area. Most likely will manifest as a low pressure area bringing rain.

Results

No low pressure formed over the area.

Forecast

August 11-16, 2010
A noticeable increase in temperatures is indicated over the Southwest U.S. centering over New Mexico-Arizona area.

Results

The Weather Channel reported rising temperatures on the 12th and 14th.

Forecast

August 21-23, 2010
A high pressure area is shown over the southern California region resulting in warm and fair conditions.

Results

The area was warm and fair as predicted.

Central America Hurricane Potential Sept 18-23, 2010

Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


“No one ever drowned in sweat.”—Author Unknown

“Quality is not an act. It is a habit.” -- Aristotle

"Applaud us when we run, console us when we fall, cheer us when we recover, but for God's sake, let us pass on!" -- Edmund Burke

Monday, September 06, 2010

Central America Hurricane Potential Sept 18-23, 2010

Hurricane Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

So far this year The Weather Alternative long-range hurricane forecasts have pinpointed Hurricane Alex, Tropical Storm Bonnie, Tropical Depression 5, Hurricane Earl, and Tropical Depression 10E. Here's an upcoming scenario that might develop into some tropical activity in the Central America area.
CentralAmericaMap


A region senstive to planetary influences sets up approximately over 81 west longitude and 11 north latitude. This area is in the southwestern Caribbean off the eastern coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.


4503738599_4e8c3d8c67_m

Starting with the conjunction of Jupiter and Uranus on the 18th, we then move into the Sun's oppositions to Jupiter and Uranus on the 21st. The Full Moon of the 23rd also heightens activity over the area.

The result just very well could be another tropical system that organizes over the area affecting Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. Short of an all-out tropical system my next guess would be a severe weather pattern bringing heavy rains.



Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Education

The student who has to cram through a school or a college course, who has made himself merely a receptacle for the teacher's thoughts and ideas, is not educated; he has not gained much. He is a reservoir, not a fountain. One retains, the other gives forth. Unless his knowledge is converted into wisdom, into faculty, it will become stagnant like water.

--J.E. Dinger

Friday, September 03, 2010

Earl and T.D. 10E Fulfill Long-range Forecasts!

The Weather Alternative post of April 24, 2010, forecast hurricane or tropical storm activity over the Carolinas and Virginia between Sept. 2-5, 2010. Hurricane Earl lashed the coast of North Carolina today prompting mandatory evacuations from a couple of the islands of the Outer Banks. Hurricane and Tropical Storm warnings were also posted for Virginia. Thus Earl fulfills the long-range forecast of about 4 and 1/2 months ago.
Sept 02

In a more recent post of August 27th entitled Hurricane Strike Zones for Sept 3rd, I mentioned that another place due for tropical activity was in and around the tip of the Baja Peninsula. I included the following map that highlighted both the Carolinas and the southern Baja.


Untitled

Today, the area of low pressure that had been forming over the last couple of days became Tropical Depression 10E effectively fulfilling the August 27th forecast. Below is an Accuweather map showing it's current position.

03 TD 10E Accu

So far this hurricane season The Weather Alternative long-range forecasts have found their fulfillment in Hurricane Alex, Tropical Storm Bonnie, Tropical Depression 5, and now Hurricane Earl, and Tropical Depression 10E.


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


"If we are not governed by God, then we will be ruled by tyrants." -- William Penn

Friday, August 27, 2010

Hurricane Strike Zones for Sept 3rd

The Atlantic Basin has livened up over the last day or so and forecasters are now concerned that Tropical Storm Earl might make it to the Atlantic Seaboard by late next week. My September Hurricane Forecast posted on April 24, 2010 pinpointed the Carolinas as a very likely area for hurricane landfall between Sept 2-5, 2010. This is within the time frame that forecasters are now talking about. Below is a map highlighting the areas that could be affected by tropical storm or hurricane conditions on those dates.
Untitled

As can be seen, I've also pinpointed the area in and around the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula as well. According to Johannes Kepler's astro-meteorological forecast system based on planetary cycles, these areas could be subject to tropical activity or at least some type of severe weather pattern.


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Faith is one of the forces by which men live and the total absence of it means collapse.--William James
American psychologist and philosopher

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

August 2010 Forecast Results

These long-range forecasts were posted in April 2010.

Forecast
August 2-3, 2010
Intense storms are expected throughout the East Central, Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast. These storms may bring damaging winds, hail, or tornadoes. It is possible that a tropical system makes landfall over the Carolinas.

Results
images

Except for a few gusty thunderstorms with heavy downpours in the Southeast, the main intense weather during this period was from the heat.


Forecast
August 7-10, 2010
Venus will now activate the alignments between Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto. Since these are placed roughly between 79 and 81 west longitude, the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic areas are in for a round of severe weather. This may indicate tropical activity affecting the Florida Peninsula and the Carolinas. These planetary alignments also have the potential to affect Cuba and Panama.

Results
10 Tropical Gulf
The main weather event at this time was heavy rain over Florida on the 8th, 9th, and 10th. Above is the Accuweather map for the 10th when a non-tropical low pressure system spread 1 to 5 inches of rain south of a line from Daytona to Tampa.

Forecast
August 14-18, 2010
The eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley are likely to be under severe weather threats now. This could manifest as powerful storms producing large hail, gusty winds, and tornadoes. A tropical system or abundant tropical moisture may affect the eastern Texas and Louisiana area.

Further east, heavy rainfall is indicated for the Mid-Atlantic area either due to tropical moisture being introduced over the area or from an actual tropical system that enters through the Carolinas.

Resutls
16 Central Gulf Coast
The remnants of Tropical Depression 5 lingered over the central Gulf Coast during this forecast period and and brought heavy showers and drenching downpours fulfilling the long-range forecast.

This was also a rough period for the Plains and Mississippi Valley. Here are some Accuweather headlines that appeared during the forecast period.

Aug 14: More Rounds of Severe Weather Loom for the Midwest
Aug 16: Gusty Storms Loom for the Central Plains
Aug 17: Wichita, Oklahoma City Brace for Damaging Thunderstorms

The Mid-Atlantic was also hit as indicated in the forecast. Here are more Accuweather headlines.

Aug 18: Flooding Rain Threatening Washington, D.C., Today
Up to 2 inches of rain is expected across the mid-Atlantic into this evening.

Forecast
August 18-22, 2010
Planetary alignments at this time suggest very volatile atmospheric conditions that will put the eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley at risk for severe weather. Dangerous thunderstorms and/or tornadoes are indicated in and around Missouri. This may be due to a tropical system that makes landfall over eastern Texas or Louisiana.

The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are not out of harm’s way either. There are indications that suggest tropical storm or hurricane activity over the Carolinas at this time or at least some kind of severe weather system if not actually tropical in nature.

Results
Much of this forecast was covered in a recent post.
The Southeast was hit on the 19th. The Weather Channel headline read:

Heavy rain and flood threat for South
Showers and thunderstorms should fire up along and south of a stationary boundary that stretches from southern Virginia west-southwestward to central Texas.

The heaviest rain should fall across eastern Tennessee and North Carolina today. Average rainfall in those two states should be around an inch, but a few areas could pick up 2 to 3 inches.


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Sure there are dishonest men in local government. But there are dishonest men in national government too.
Richard M. Nixon
37th president of US (1913 - 1994)

Sunday, August 22, 2010

August 19-21, 2010 Forecast Results

Four areas were highlighted in the August 19-21 forecast for severe weather.
Aug 19b
The first area was the eastern Texas/Louisiana area. I'd been expecting tropical activity there. The above map is for August 19th. The Weather Channel reported that eastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi was picking up 1 to 3 inches of rain due to the prolonged stay of the remnants of Tropical Depression 5. On the 20th, torrential rains hit western Alabama.


Aug 21d
The next area mentioned in the forecast was the Bahamas/Southern Florida area. I expected tropical storm formation around this time. We were spared the tropical system but as can be seen from the Weather Channel map above for August 21st, strong thunderstorms developed over the area.

On the 20th the National Weather Service issued a Flood Advisory for the Miami-Dade county area as 2 to 3 inches of rain had fallen. A Significant Weather Advisory was issued for Broward county for frequent to excessive lightning and gusty winds of 45 mph. Strong thunderstorms were also reported in Seminole and Volusia counties. Today, locally heavy downpours continue over Florida.

19 Northern Plains
The third area mentioned for severe weather was the Minnesota/Wisconsin area. The above Accuweather map is for August 19th. The northern Plains was hit by severe thunderstorms and on the 20th, severe storms threatened areas from Upper Peninsula of Michigan and Wisconsin southwestward through eastern and central Kansas and northern Oklahoma.

The fourth area mentioned was the U.S. Desert Southwest in and around Arizona. On the 19th, Flash Flood Warnings and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings were issued for Utah as storm produced 1 to 2 inches of rain per hour. On the 21st, Flash Flood Warnings were issued for Arizona due to heavy rainfall. Nevada had Red Flag Warnings prompted by dry conditions and sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for August

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Did you hear about the 21 year old Italian girl who knelt in front of the statue of Madonna?
She said: "You who conceived without sin, let me sin without conceiving!"

Thursday, August 12, 2010

August 19-21, 2010 Experimental Forecast

Important planetary alignments form on the 20th and 21st of August. The accompanying map shows where the astro-meteorological influence is likely to manifest.
Aug 20
The Sun will oppose Neptune, and Venus will conjoin Mars on the 20th. These will be followed by Saturn's square to Pluto on the 21st. In previous posts, I've mentioned the likelihood of possible tropical systems or perhaps severe weather patterns to develop over the Louisiana and east Texas coasts at this time as well as the same potential for the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic.

Further experimentation with some experimental forecast techniques confirm this but add a few extra bits of information. For example, these experimental models suggest that approximately between the 19th and 21st of August a strong low pressure system or tropical cyclone will form or be drawn to the area in and around the Bahamas and southern Florida. From there, it could travel northward to the Carolinas.

Another area to keep our eyes on at this time is the Wisconsin-Minnesota area, which stands a good chance of seeing some very strong thunderstorms and the usual accompanying hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain.

The U.S. desert Southwest also stands out in these models as an area that could see some strong monsoonal moisture causing storms and flash flooding. Stay informed with your local or national weather stations at this time for more specifics and stay safe.


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for August

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

An atheist was walking through the woods.

"What majestic trees"!

"What powerful rivers"!

"What beautiful animals"!

He said to himself.

As he was walking alongside the river, he heard a rustling in the bushes behind him. He turned to look. He saw a 7-foot grizzly charge towards him. He ran as fast as he could up the path. He looked over his shoulder & saw that the bear was closing in on him.

He looked over his shoulder again, & the bear was even closer. He tripped & fell on the ground. He rolled over to pick himself up but saw that the bear was right On top of him, reaching for him with his left paw & raising his right paw to strike him. At that instant the Atheist cried out, "Oh my God!"

Time Stopped.
The bear froze.
The forest was still.

As a bright light shone upon the man, a voice came out of the sky. "You deny my existence for all these years, teach others I don't exist and even credit creation to cosmic accident." "Do you expect me to help you out of this predicament? Am I to count you as a believer"?

The atheist looked directly into the light, "It would be hypocritical of me to suddenly ask You to treat me as a Christian now, but perhaps You could make the BEAR a Christian"?

"Very Well," said the Voice.

The light went out. The sounds of the forest resumed. And the bear dropped his right paw, brought both paws together, bowed his head & spoke:

"Lord bless this food, which I am about to receive from thy bounty through Christ our Lord, Amen."

Thursday, August 05, 2010

August 2-6, 2010 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative forecast for August 2-6, 2010 specified that the area in and around Nicaragua and Honduras would experience a severe weather pattern or a possible tropical storm or hurricane.
05 Tropics

On August 2nd, the Weather Channel reported a tropical wave moving ashore in Central America near Nicaragua that produced some locally heavy rainfall over Central America for the next day or two.


The National Weather Service map below is for today, August 6th. The yellow circle to the left is over Nicaragua and Honduras. This is represents a tropical wave that is bringing increased showers and thunderstorms over the region for the next couple of days but will most likely not develop into a tropical cyclone.
06 Tropics2


Experimental Forecasts Part 2- July-Sept 2010

Tropical Storm Alex Fulfills Long-range Prediction!

Bonnie Fulfills Long-range Forecast!

Experimental Forecasts July & August 2010

Hurricane Season 2010--Caribbean, Mexico, Central America

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecasts for August

Hurricane Season 2010--Forecast for September

Hurricane Season 2010--Central America Part 2

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thought of the Day

“In the end, it’s not the years in your life that count. It’s the life in your years.”—Abraham Lincoln

He who every morning plans the transactions of the day and follows out that plan, carries a thread that will guide him through the labyrinth of the most busy life.—Victor Hugo