Tuesday, July 31, 2007

July 28-Aug 1 and Other Forecast Results

During a Mars square Saturn period there is bound to be outstanding weather. This duo represents a clashing of contrary air masses and was the basis for a number of long-range weather forecasts posted on The Weather
Alternative
back in April of this year.

The forecast read as folows:

July 28-Aug 1, 2007
A low pressure system that may be tropical in nature forms off the Carolina coasts and heads towards the Long Island/Connecticut area. The area from New York City through New England shows the potential for storms of a severe nature and high velocity winds. A tropical system cannot be ruled out at this time.


The Plains will be dealing with its own severe weather as high heat unleashes dangerous storms over Nebraska, Iowa, Kansas, and Missouri. A similar scenario develops over Alabama, Georgia, and surrounding areas.

The above Accuweather map shows the low off the Carolinas and the storms over the Alabama-Georgia and surrounding areas. On the 30th, Goose Creek, S.C., was slammed by 3.90 inches of rain in only 1 hour. Flood waters in downtown Charleston, S.C., were as high as 3 feet over roadways. Florida and Georgia had very heavy rain as well. Tallahassee, Fla., received 3.24 inches in only 1 hour during the afternoon, while the Isle Of Hope, Georgia, had 2.5 inches in 1.5 hours.

Accuweather reported on the 31st that "an area of disturbed weather lies off the Southeast coast. A low pressure is developing in this region and will move off to the northeast tonight and tomorrow."



Another low did form further east and become Tropical Storm Chantal. Chantal headed north-northeast toward Newfoundland.

As far as the severe weather that did hit the Northeast and New England, on the 28th, heavy thunderstorms brought 3.50 inches of rain to Westfield, Mass. Other storms brought gusty winds. On the 29th, Falmouth, Mass.: 2.61 inches Lancaster, Pa.: 2.09 inches.

Accuweather warned that some of the storms would be heavy, locally severe, bringing heavy downpours, gusty winds and localized flooding.

The Weather Alternative long-range forcast also called for dangerous storms over Nebraska,Iowa, Kansas, and Missouri.

On the 29th, Accuweather reported "Meanwhile, the Midwest Regional News discusses both the chance for more heavy thunderstorms in Nebraska and Kansas and the arrival of blazing summer heat across the northern Plains and the Midwest by Monday and Tuesday."

On the 30th, "Some areas of Nebraska and Kansas over the weekend received nearly 8 inches of rain. Aurora, Neb., was inundated by 7.12 inches, while Grand Island, Neb., reported 5.07 inches of rain in 24 hours ending Sunday morning.

The 4.23 inches that fell in Grand Island between midnight and 11 a.m. CDT on Sunday shattered the daily record of 2.48 inches set in 1968 and ranks as the second highest July daily rainfall on record, behind the 4.65 inches received on July 8, 1950."

In a forecast posted on July 20th, The Weather Alternative forecast the following due to Venus' retrograde station:


July 27-31, 2007
During this period, the potential for tropical storm formation is high in the waters just east of the Lesser Antilles (around 59W/12N) and continuing eastward from there to the waters north of French Guiana (around 52W/10N). Another area that bears watching in this regard is in the western Atlantic around 52 West, 28 North.

Of the areas mentioned, the ones just east of the Lesser Antilles and north of French Guiana are seeing tropical activity that may yet develop into a tropical system. Accuweather reported the following on the 31st:

The other area of interest is about 700 miles east of the Windward Islands. This tropical wave has with it a mass of showers and thunderstorms and what appears to be some cyclonic turning, which would indicate that there may be an associated surface low pressure... At the very least, this system will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms along with some gusty winds and rough surf over the Lesser Antilles.

Coming soon--September Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook.

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative

Be as careful of the books you read as of the company you keep, for your habits and character will be as much influenced by the former as the latter.

Saturday, July 28, 2007

July 24-27, 2007 Forecast Results

Three months ago The Weather Alternative posted a long-range weather forecast for July 24-27, 2007. The forecast, based on the pluvial influence of Neptune and Mars' square to it on the 24th, called for severe weather to affect the Southeast, East Central, and Great Lakes area with tropical moisture either from a tropical system or some other weather mechanism that would pull up moisture over those areas and the into the Northeast.

The Accuweather map at the left, posted on Monday, July 23rd, shows what would transpire over the next few days. They referred to the low pressure area over the Great Lakes as a "stubborn storm system spinning in the vicinity of Lake Erie."

Accuweather July 26:

Meanwhile, the upper-level disturbance over the eastern Great Lakes will trigger more showers and thunderstorms over the upper Ohio Valley on Thursday and Friday. Some of these storms could result in locally heavy rainfall.

The Weather Channel reported on July 27th:

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase across the Mid-Atlantic and New England States today, as an upper-level disturbance remains over the area, and a cold front approaches from the west...Heavy downpours will be possible, and localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out, especially into the weekend as rainfall persists.


The next map (Accuweather July 25) shows drenching downpours over the Southeast.

The Weather Channel reported:

The Southeastern States will continue to be influenced by an upper disturbance over the Ohio Valley, allowing for scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.
This includes areas from Jacksonville, through Atlanta and Birmingham, where some locally heavy downpours will be possible.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

Venus Retrograde, South America, and the western Atlantic

The World measures a man's greatness by the number who serve him. Heaven's yardstick measures a man by the number who are served by him.


Tuesday, July 24, 2007

July 21-24, 2007 Forecast Results

Here are the results of a Weather Alternative forecast posted 3 months ago. The Weather Alternative bases its long-range forecasts on planetary cycles.

The forecast for July 21-24, 2007 called for a low pressure system (possibly a tropical storm or hurricane but not necessarily) to be drawn northward off the North Carolina coast up to the Long Island/Connecticut area. The storm system would affect the Northeast and New England with heavy rain.
The Weather Channel maps for July 22nd and 23rd
at the right show the low's formation off of North Carolina and it's northward movement.
The New Jersey office of the National Weather Service on July 22 warned that RAIN ON MONDAY (23rd) WILL BECOME HEAVY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH POSSIBLY ONE TO TWO INCHES FALLING. THIS WILL PRODUCESOME STREET AND POSSIBLY SMALL STREAM FLOODING.
Fellow weather-watcher, Gary, from New Jersey writes " The prediction for heavy rains in the northeast was spot on--torrential rain on July 23 with very chilly temps (only in the 60s today)." Some counties in New York State picked up one to two inches of rain.

The long-range forecast also stated Monsoonal moisture comes to life over the Rockies resulting in showers and thunderstorms. Some of these may be possible flash-flood producers.


Accuweather reported the following on July 22nd:
With more moisture in the atmosphere, the thunderstorms over the Four Corners region will have the greatest chance of dropping significant rainfall. While these storms will be good in terms of preventing the start of wildfires, heavy bursts of rain in a short period of time could lead to rockslides and flash flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas.
Late Saturday night, 1.61 inches of rain deluged Queen Creek, Ariz., which is southeast of Phoenix, in only one hour. The heavy rain quickly flooded roads, resulting in officials performing water rescues.


The last part of the forecast called for strong storms to affect Missouri and surrounding States.

The Accuweather map for July 23rd above shows strong storms affecting Iowa, northwest Missouri, and eastern portions of Nebraska and Kansas. Their article follows:

Strong Storms Impact PlainsUpdated: Monday, July 23, 2007 7:27 AM Strong storms will impact parts of the Plains and the Midwest during the day today. A fast-moving disturbance will help to spark these storms across Iowa, eastern Nebraska and eastern Kansas. The storms will be capable of producing small hail and damaging wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. The storms will last into the evening and overnight hours across eastern Nebraska and Kansas...

For more long-range forecasts, click the following links:

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

Venus Retrograde, South America, and the western Atlantic

Even when we look up and the sky looks gray, the sun is still shining above the clouds. That's a fact. The clouds might keep us from seeing it, but it's there, just as round and bright as on any other day. When darkness closes in around us, the sunshine of God's love is still there, as constant as ever, waiting for just the right moment to dissipate the clouds and warm our souls once again.
So the next time the forecast says "severe weather alert," Try my little remedies for the bad-weather blues: Put on a bright sweater, have a cup of good coffee, thank God for your blessings, and pray for someone in need. Then your day can be sunny and bright, no matter what the weather is like outside. -
-Victoria Olivetta

Friday, July 20, 2007

Venus Retrograde, South America, and the western Atlantic

Venus will begin its apparent retrograde motion on July 27th. As brought out in a previous post about Mercury retrograde, a chart set for the time a planet begins its retrograde or direct motion is instrumental in pinpointing where on earth that planet will manifest its effect on the weather. (See also How Long-range Forecasts are Made)



Venus is associated with warmer temperatures, humid air, and a lower barometer. The Venus Rx Midheaven highlights longitude 52 West. This runs through the center of Brazil and, along the northeast coast of South America, through French Guiana. Besides looking to these places for an increase in temperatures and mositure leading to precipitation, Venus also affects the western Atlantic.




July 27-31, 2007

During this period, the potential for tropical storm formation is high in the waters just east of the Lesser Antilles (around 59W/12N) and continuing eastward from there to the waters north of French Guiana (around 52W/10N). Another area that bears watching in this regard is in the western Atlantic around 52 West, 28 North.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook


THE NUMBER ONE COMPLIMENT!
Is there one compliment a woman appreciates above all others? I was conducting a seminar for women, & at the end I asked them to give me some input on the appreciation a woman most appreciates. When the returns were in, I had from them the number one compliment. By a whopping majority this led all the rest: "You just go on getting better all the time."
Now why would a woman like to be told that above all the other nice things she could be told?
Since I'm not a woman, I decided to ask some women who always level with me. My wife says, "A woman's world is filled with input on keeping youthful. You know, `Don't let yourself get seedy.' These gnawing little worries go into your subconscious till you fear that you might be losing ground. So it gives you a lift when someone assures you that isn't true."
Here's the word of my secretary: "I find what pleases my husband now is different than it was when we were first married. People change. I guess that's why if he tells me I'm getting better, it gives me confidence for the future. Anyway, I sure like it."
So there it is, the "compliment of compliments". Once more, loud & clear: "You just go on getting better all the time!"


By Charlie Shedd

Sunday, July 15, 2007

The Astrology of Man-Yi

Typhoon Man-Yi lashed southern Japan with high winds and heavy rain on Saturday, killing a boy, injuring dozens and forcing thousands of people to evacuate homes.


Man-yi struck the southernmost main island of Kyushu after storming through the islands of Okinawa on Friday, moving northeast at 35 km per hour (22 mph), the Meteorological Agency said. (Reuters)


On July 9th Mercury turned direct after having been retrograde for about 3 weeks. The "stations" of the planets i.e. when they start retrograde or direct movement are important in astrometeorology. Mercury has long been equated with cold fronts and increased wind velocities.

As explained in another post, the planetary positions at key moments afford the long-range forecaster an indication as to where certain weather patterns will develop.

The astro map at the left shows Mercury's position exactly overhead at 131 East Longitude at the moment it started its direct motion. When this is compared with Typhoon Man-Yi's track as seen in the tracking map above, it can be seen how the typhoon pretty much hugged the Mercury line between the time it developed on the 8th and made landfall on the 14th.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

There is no room for God in him who is full of himself.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Why Tropical Depression 4-E?

Tropical Depression 4-E formed on July
9th around 119 west longitude and 16.8 north latitude in the eastern Pacific. Today the National Weather Service issued its last advisory on TD 4-E with its approximate position around 123 west longitude and 18 north latitude.

According to astrometeorolgy, weather systems are attracted to points on earth where planets were either exactly rising, setting, overhead, or underneath the earth at key moments. Theses key moments may be the times of new or full moons, eclipses etc.

The last quarter moon of July 7th (see chart above), placed Venus exactly rising and square the Midheaven over the latitude and longitude where TD 4-E now is. Venus was also parallel Mars at this time meaning both planets were, in this case, 12 degrees north of the equator. TD 4-E's short life span may have to do with the fact that Venus was also trine Pluto. The trine aspect is more of a fair weather influence.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook


God visits us, but often we are not at home.

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Mercury Goes Direct

Mercury will end its retrograde motion and turn direct on Monday the 9th. The Solar Ingress chart for the summer season places Mercury over 89 West Longitude, which roughly corresponds to the Mississippi Valley. Mercury's influence has to do with cooler temperatures usually brought on by cold fronts.

Today's Accuweather forecast for the Midwest is entitiled Heat Comes, Then Goes--a confirmation of Mercury's cool influence. In their own words, "The baking heat will not grip the northern Plains and Midwest long. A cold front will quickly sweep the hot air away from the northern Plains by Sunday, then out of most of the Great Lakes before Monday. The air will not be as hot across the Ohio Valley Tuesday, which will also mark the day when a fresh shot of comfortable air will be pushing into the northern Plains."

The above National Weather Service map shows the projected front pushing down the Central U.S. by Thursday the 12th. Of course, as is to be expected, if enough moisture is in place, the cold front can trigger storms.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

A kind and compassionate act is often its own reward. --William J. Bennett.

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

June 30 - July 3, 2007 Forecast Results

For conventional meteorology it's unthinkable
to pinpoint storms 90 days in advance. Johannes Kepler's method based on planetary cycles gives us a much better chance to do so. The Weather Alternative issused a forecast back in April for the period of June 30th through July 3rd. Here's what the forecast called for:

June 30-July 3, 2007:

Venus now triggers the Saturn-Neptune opposition drawing moisutre up over South Carolina and the Southeast.
Expect an influx of mositure from the south over the Baja California into the Desert Southwest.


The Accuweather map of July 1st to the right tells part of the story. Here are some more clips from their weather reports over the last few days. (Bold is mine)

Stormy Southeast Updated: Saturday, June 30, 2007 7:37 AM

As a slow-moving cold front continues to push southward, thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front. Moist, humid air is in place ahead of the front due to a southerly flow ahead of the cold front across the Carolinas, Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi. As the cold front pushes into this warm, moist air it will act as a trigger to develop thunderstorms. The best chance of strong-to-severe storms will be across eastern North Carolina and northern South Carolina.

Lingering Gulf Storms 7/1/2007 6:37 AM
Some storms Saturday became severe in South Carolina and Tennessee with storms across the South producing moderate rainfall amounts, strong winds and hail.

July 2nd Accuweather

On Sunday, showers and thunderstorms produced significant rain that put a dent in the drought across the South. According to the Weather Summaries page, Macon, Ga., received nearly three inches of rain late Sunday, which is more than the monthly rainfall totals recorded in February, March, April and May.


The forecast also called for moisture to be drawn up over the Baja California and Desert Southwest.

The map at the right from the Mexican Weather Service shows moisture heading over the Baja today. The National Weather Service explains:

NWS July 3, 2007

A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW IS DRIFTING WWD AWAY FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 24N118W AS IT MEANDERS WITHIN THE MEAN RIDGE AXIS TO ITS N. THE UPPER LOW IS ACTING TO DRAW HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE NWD FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 120W TOWARDS SRN BAJA...

The Desert Southwest did not experience any influx of moisture during the time period but rather a dramatic increase in temperatures.

July 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

August 2007 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook

Thoughts for July 4th

Despite what we are taught in our government controlled schools, democracy is not liberty. Democracy is majority rule, and majority rule is mob rule. Liberty is the protection of the individual's rights to his life, freedom, and property. Richard Maybury