Sunday, May 22, 2016

June 13-21, 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast

June 2016 will provide an opportunity to confirm the pluvial nature the planet Neptune is said to exercise on weather patterns. The geographical areas that fall under the influence of Neptune in key weather charts have been observed to experience southerly, moist, air flows that increase humidity resulting in intense downpours and flooding potential.

On the 13th of June, Neptune will make its retrograde station which is a key event in triggering the above mentioned atmospheric conditions. The 17th of June features the square aspect between Saturn and Neptune which also excites deep low pressure systems that result in higher than average rainfall. Then, on the 20th of June, Mercury will oppose Saturn and square Neptune activating their influence once again. In a minute we'll look at the areas that will be affected this year. But first, let's see what happened to atmospheric conditions the last time Neptune made it retrograde station and the last time Saturn squared Neptune.

On June 12, 2015, Neptune made its retrograde station. In the key seasonal chart, Neptune's influence affected the eastern Plains states roughly from Louisiana northward through Minnesota. As can be seen from the Accuweather map below this is the exact area that experienced widespread localized flooding from June 13-15, 2016. This was in part due the Tropical Storm Bill that hit Texas at that time and continued northward.

13 Texas, Louisiana

The last Saturn-Neptune square occurred on November 26, 2015. Neptune's influence affected the Mississippi Valley and eastward while Saturn's influence affected the Eastern Seaboard. The National Weather Service forecast for Nov 27-29, 2015 warned, "Flash flooding possible across portions of the southern plains and mid-Mississippi valley." Their forecast for Nov 29th stated, "Scattered to numerous rain showers is forecast northeast Texas to central Virginia where 3-day totals of 1 to 5 inches will be possible. Locally higher amounts may be observed in eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina."

Forecast

This year Neptune will occupy the 82nd line of west longitude running from Florida through Ohio. This area will likely be subjected to heavy rainfall that produces widespread flooding as we've seen in last year's example. Since we're in hurricane season, we can rule out a tropical system at this time. The weather pattern will then travel eastward and affect the US East Coast.

In other key charts, the US West Coast is also affected by Neptune and Saturn. June is not as rainy as other months out west but we may see some anomalous weather pattern develop over the Pacific Northwest especially around the end of the forecast period (19th - 21st). This may be something like a dramatic increase in temperatures and humidity or an anomalous low pressure system.



Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results


June 1-5, 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative


Saturday, May 21, 2016

May 2016 Forecast Results

On April 2nd of this year, I published some long-range weather forecasts for May 2016. These forecasts discussed the likely weather patterns that would result from the Sun-Mercury conjunction of May 9th, and the Mercury-Venus conjunction of May 13th. Here are the results.

May 8-13, 2016

Forecast 

The forecast stated that "we should expect a strong cold front or storm system bringing windy conditions to the area from the eastern Plains through the east central US."

Results 

On the 8th, Accuweather headlines read "Severe storms to strike central US through early week" These storms, according to Accuweather, were to begin on Sunday the 8th into Monday the 9th. The Accuweather map below shows the area to be affected which was the area specified in the forecast.


08 Severe Storms

Severe storms and tornadoes continued to threaten the forecast area on the 9th and shown in the next Accuweather map.


09 Tornadoes

Storms began to move into the east central US as was forecast. On Tuesday the 10th, Accuweather reported that "the threat of severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes, will expand into the Ohio Valley into Tuesday night." The following Accuweather map shows the danger zone.


10 Severe Storms

The next forecast was for the western US.

May 12-15, 2016

Forecast 

We may expect an increase in temperatures and in shower and thunderstorm activity at this time over the US West.

Results

On May 11th, Accuweather meteorologists began to see the coming increase in temperatures that would affect the US West starting on Friday, May 13th. They announced "Temperatures to soar to record-challenging levels by late this week." Here's their map depicting temperatures 10 to 25 degrees above normal.


11 Northwest Tems

As far as the shower and thunderstorm activity that was also predicted in the long-range forecast, the National Weather Service reported on the 13th that "Showers and thunderstorms will increase across the Pacific Northwest tonight as a frontal boundary and upper-level disturbance move onshore. On Saturday (May 14th), showers and thunderstorms will spread into the interior Northwest and the northern Intermountain West as the system moves inland."

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results


June 1-5, 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast
May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

The Experts Explain Global Warming

Sunday, May 15, 2016

June 1-5, 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast

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Planetary cycles involving Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune come to a head in June of this year. In this post, we'll look at the period of June 1-5. The combination of Saturn and Neptune is known to bring heavier than average precipitation. Jupiter and Neptune alignments also bring low pressure and abnormally wet weather, and Jupiter-Saturn configurations signify intense downfall. The Moon, on the 3rd and 4th of June is at perigee or its closest approach to Earth. This normally intensifies weather patterns.

A number of key charts places their influence over the eastern portion of the US from the Mississippi Valley through the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. The central and eastern Gulf of Mexico is emphasized as well.

Taken together, we can expect an outbreak of severe thunderstorms over this portion of the country. Tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will most likely be imported up over the area fueling thunderstorms that potentially can trigger heavy downpours. Since the Atlantic hurricane season is now underway, it is plausible that an actual tropical system develops now.



Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative


Wednesday, May 11, 2016

April 22-25, 2016 Forecast Results

Here are the results of the second portion of my April 2016 long-range weather forecast that was posted on March 16th of this year. This forecast focused on the effect that the Jupiter-Uranus alignment would have on the weather over eastern US and on the West Coast states. The results of the first forecast (April 6-10) are posted here.

The next forecast period was for April 22-25. The forecast read as follows.

April 22-25

At this time Venus aligns with the Jupiter-Uranus configuration and is likely to represent another round of fronts for the West Coast states and the eastern U.S. 

Results

On April 21st, the AccuWeather headline read, "Rain to end record warmth across US West Coast by late week." 

The following AccuWeather map shows their forecast for April 21st and 22nd. Notice the low pressure area approaching California with rain, snow, and showers. Meteorologists pointed out that some of these storms could become strong and produce locally damaging winds and heavy rainfall. 

21 Rain West Coast

The next AccuWeather map shows their forecast for April 24th. Here we see rain, showers, and snow affecting the Pacific Northwest. They pointed out that moderate to heavy rain could reach parts of western Washington and Oregon.


23 Rainstorms

The next map from the Weather Channel is for April 21st and shows a cold front beginning to penetrate the eastern US. The National Weather Service reported a low pressure system will begin to move steadily toward the eastern US bringing a good chance of showers and thunderstorms that would end the week-long dry spell. The front continued its way across the eastern US on the 22nd.


April 21


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative



Monday, April 18, 2016

April 6-10, 2016 Forecast Results

On March 16, 2016, I posted some long-range weather forecasts for April of this year. The first one was for the period between April 6-10. Here's the original forecast.

Forecast
Between these dates the Sun will participate in the Jupiter-Uranus configuration adding important energy to the mix. The potential exists for a strong front to move into the West Coast states bringing precipitation. The eastern portion of the country should see a strong cold front that ignites storm activity from the eastern Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic area as it moves eastward.

Results
The strong cold front forecast over the eastern portions of the country arrived as scheduled. Here's the AccuWeather map showing the arctic push between the 7th and 10th.


07 When Will It Warm

AccuWeather also reported that the cold threatened significant losses of fruit crop in the northeastern U.S. and high winds for the New England area.

In addition, the forecast called for storm activity from the eastern Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic area. The next AccuWeather map shows that storm system on the 8th and 9th.

07 Snowy wintry mix

Forecast
For the West Coast, the forecast mentioned a strong front bringing precipitation. On the 8th, AccuWeather meteorologists warned "Storm to soak San Diego to San Francisco this weekend." The storm was forecast to roll onto the California coast, threatening to bring flash flooding, gusty thunderstorms and travel delays. The AccuWeather map below shows the areas to be affected.

08 San Diego

The National Weather Service reported that another upper-level low would move in over the Pacific Northwest affecting Southern California and the Southwest. The low then remained nearly stationary from southern Idaho to the southern Rockies bringing numerous showers over the Desert Southwest and California.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts 
April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

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Saturday, April 02, 2016

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts

About six times a year the Sun and Mercury form a conjunction. A conjunction is when two or more celestial bodies are located along the same celestial longitude when observed from the earth. About 3 of those conjunctions occur when Mercury is in retrograde motion. This means that Mercury appears to be moving backward in the sky. In astro-meteorology, these conjunctions with a retrograde Mercury are known to excite windy, stormy conditions and cold fronts.

May 8-13, 2016

On May 9th of this year, we have one such conjunction. Our key chart for the spring season places the Sun and Mercury over the eastern Plains roughly from Texas through Missouri to the western Great Lakes. Another important chart is the solar eclipse chart of May 9, 2013. The Sun-Mercury conjunction will fall exactly on this degree. The astro-locality map below shows the area to be affected which lies over the eastern central portion of the US. Taken together the US midsection should feel the effects of the conjunction.

Sun Mercury May 2016

To get an idea of what actually can happen during one of these conjunctions, we can look at the weather pattern formed over the US Midwest on March 5, 2013 when a Sun-Mercury conjunction took place with a retrograde Mercury over the eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley. A winter storm affected the area with heavy snow and then high winds disrupted travel. Here's the AccuWeather map for that day.

04 Minneapolis

So we should expect a strong cold front or storm system bringing windy conditions to the area from the eastern Plains through the east central US.

May 12-15, 2016

Another interesting setup is the Mercury-Venus conjunction of May 13th. Mercury is still retrograde at this time. One of our key charts places Mercury, Venus, and the Moon over the Rocky Mountains and Great Basin areas of the US as seen in the map below.

Mercury Venus May 2016

The last time a Mercury-Venus conjunction affected the US West was on August 6, 2015. At that time the National Weather Service reported an increase in temperatures over the area and an upper level disturbance crossing California and the Intermountain West which increased showers and thunderstorms. We may expect a similar increase in temperatures and in shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Saturday, March 26, 2016

March 23-26, 2016 Forecast Results

Here are the results of the last of the March forecasts posted on January 9th of this year. The basis for the long-range weather forecast was the alignment of Jupiter and Saturn. This particular segment of the forecast was for the March 23-26 period. You can read the original forecast here.

The area to be affected by the alignment centered on the 80th degree of west longitude which takes in the eastern Great Lakes and runs southward through the Carolinas. The New England area was also to be affected as can be seen from the astro-locality map below.

Jupiter Saturn

On the 24th, a low pressure system over the eastern Great Lakes and a trailing cold front aligned itself with the Saturn line running through 80 west longitude. The Weather Channel map below shows the low and front.

Mar 24

My forecast expected strong storms with potential to bring torrential downpours and gusty winds. The National Weather Service reported on the 25th that "a strong cold front moving eastward through the Ohio Valley this evening will continue to fuel heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across portions of the central/eastern Gulf Coast to the lower Great Lakes."

AccuWeather also pointed out that the Mid-Atlantic would experience blustery conditions which "will mark an end to the above-average warmth" that had prevailed over the region.

The New England area also participated in the effects of the low and front as seen in the AccuWeather map below for Friday, the 25th.

24 Late week

The National Weather Service declared that "snow and freezing rain will move into portions of northern New England with up to a quarter of an inch of ice possible."



Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

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