Forecast Results

Forecasts published in Dell Magazine
January 2005

The following forecasts were prepared in July 2004 (6 months before publication).

Forecast
December 27-29 2004: ...a relatively warm southerly air northward over the Mississippi Valley...windy conditions may be noticeable...across the Ohio Valley and Southeast suggesting a warm up for these areas.

Results
December 28, 2004: (Weather Channel) Warmer weather will also be on the way into the Ohio Valley…
Sunny and pleasant is the best way to describe the weather across the South today.
December 29, 2004: (Weather Channel) Mild weather will surge across the central and eastern portions of the country again today. Sunny skies and mild temperatures will be the order for the day across the South. Highs will climb into the 60s almost region-wide. Seventy-degree temperatures will be felt along the Gulf Coast.


Forecast
January 22-24, 2005:...Storms will center along 83 West Longitude. This takes in the areas from the eastern Great Lakes southward through the Ohio Valley, and Georgia.

Results
January 22, 2005: (Weather Channel)
A powerful snowstorm continues pulling away from the snowbound Midwest tonight. It has left quite a footprint on the region from the northern Plains into the Great Lakes…strong winds will persist, especially in the Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes. Snow and wind will be the concern tonight over the southern Appalachians. Heavy snow and high wind warnings are flying. Totals over 6 inches seem likely in the Smoky Mountains, accompanied by gusts in the 30 to 50 mph range.
January 23, 2005: Across the Smoky Mountains and all of the southern Appalachians…snow showers and strong winds will make traveling difficult. Wind advisories and warnings have been issued for much of the Southeast, making for a blustery day in Charlotte and Atlanta…

Forecasts published in Prediction Magazine UK
January 2005

The following forecasts were prepared in September 2004 (4 months before publication).


Forecast
December 27-30, 2004: Temperate weather is indicated during the winter season...Such will be the case at this time...bringing relatively warm and fair conditions to the United Kingdom.

Results
December 28, 2004: (UK Met Office) Today
Southern and eastern areas dry with sunny periods. Scattered showers in the west and north, with snow on hills.
December 29, 2004: Today
Rain and drizzle over N.Ireland and Scotland, along with higher temperatures…Ahead of this, mainly dry with sunny spells. Windy over Scotland.

Forecast
January 7-9, 2005:...creating a clash of warm and cold air masses. The result may be another stormy period with gale warnings.

Results
January 7, 2005: (UK Met Office) This Evening and Tonight
Heavy rain, with snow over Scottish hills, will extend to all areas before clearing by dawn. Widespread gales, with dangerous, damaging winds over northern, eastern England and southern Scotland later. Gusts of 70 m.p.h. are expected across much of the country, but gusts across southern Scotland, northern and eastern England may reach 90 m.p.h. in places.
January 8, 2005: Severe gales across northern England moderating, but remaining very windy in many places.


Forecast
January 12-14, 2005:...Falling temperatures and clear skies...


Results
January 12, 2005: (UK Met Office) This Evening and Tonight
Showers continuing in north and northeast Scotland, and staying windy in the far northeast of Scotland, but much of the UK will be dry with light winds and a touch of frost.
January 13, 2005: Most areas dry and frosty.

Long-Range Forecast Results 2000

The forecasts appeared in the August/September 2000 issue of TMA and were drawn up during the end of Feburary and the beginning of March 2000.

Forecast
Aug 6-8, 2000: Tropical storm or hurricane formation is possible off the west coast of Africa at 24 West Longitude between 17 and 19 North Latitude.

Results
Aug 4, 2000: (NWS) BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 4... AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.5 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...380 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

Forecast
Aug 6-8, 2000: The same potential exists off the west coast of Mexico at about 109 West Longitude between 15 and 17 North Latitude.

Results
Aug 6, 2000: (NWS) TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.6W AT 06/2100Z. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.

Forecast
Aug 15-17, 2000: Cool, dry Canadian air penetrates the eastern Great Lakes area down through the Carolinas.
Once again, this will prompt severe thunderstorms if moisture is available. In any case, gusty winds usually accompany this arrangement.

Results
Aug 15: (NWS) A STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SOME OF WHICH MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS. A BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW OF NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT
WILL BUILD IN WEDNESDAY.
Aug 16: (TWC) A vigorous cool front swept through New England today, bringing scattered thunderstorms...
(Severe Thunderstorm warnings were also posted by the NWS for the Carolinas and Virginia during this period.)

Forecast
Aug 27-29: Strong storms with potentially destructive winds are designated for the northern and central US Rockies.

Results
Aug 27: (TWC) With more than 1.5 million acres ablaze, fire officials in the West are hoping for a bought of fall-like weather to help them control the flames.
A cold front passed through the region Saturday, but did not bring the sort of relief officials were hoping for. Instead, the front produced gusty winds that fanned the out-of-control fires, and allowed two large fires to merge in Montana’s Bitterroot Valley… But instead of rain or snow, dry lightning and high winds chased fire crews off the front lines Saturday.
Aug 28: (NWS) MONTANA WEATHER SUMMARY
THE WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...HOWEVER GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WERE STILL BEING OBSERVED ALONG THE EASTERN TIER.