Friday, October 28, 2005

Coastal Storm


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The Weather Alternative forecast for October 28-30, 2005 was as follows:

As cold air pushes through the Northeast US, storm conditions will develop over Maryland, Delaware, and surrounding States.

Today The Weather Channel reported:
(Bold print added by The Weather Alternative)

While the weekend starts off frosty in the Mid-Atlantic, a showery and cold upper-level low and a developing coastal storm, heading northeastward from east of the Outer Banks, will bring some rain and wet snow to parts of New England overnight and Saturday.

Saturday, October 22, 2005

Tropical Depression 25/Tropical Storm Alpha


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The Weather Alternative forecast for October 25-26, 2005, posted on October 3, 2005, warned that "The inhabitants the Dominican Republic should prepare for possible tropical storm or hurricane passage as the area just south of there (69W/17N) has the potential to attract a low pressure system."

The National Weather Service expects TD 25 to become Tropical Storm Alpha later today.

Their Tropical Depression Twenty-five Advisory Number 1 forecasts the following for Hispaniola (Dominican Republic and Haiti):

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Where is Wilma headed?

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Hurricane Wilma

In a recent post entitled Some October Forecasts, I mentioned "Tropical storm formation seems likely north of Haiti near 72 West Longitude and 22 North Latitude. The island itself should feel the effects of tropical downpours at this time."

MSNBC reported today that "Hurricane Wilma triggered mudslides that killed up to 10 people in Haiti as the season’s record-tying 21st storm strengthened rapidly on Tuesday and headed for the Gulf of Mexico on a path toward storm-weary Florida."

Conventional forecasters foresee Wilma hitting southern or central Florida by this weekend. This Saturday, the 22nd, shows important planetary alignements between the Sun and Jupiter, and Mercury and Mars. The recent Lunar Eclipse of October 17th focuses some of these energies over the Florida Panhandle. This may be an indication where Wilma will make landfall.

Monday, October 03, 2005

Some October Forecasts

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October 13-15, 2005
A strong cold front will push across the eastern US lowering temperatures and exciting gusty winds. There is a possibility that the front will interact with a tropical system in the eastern Gulf of Mexico around 84 West Longitude and 25 North Latitude threatening the Florida Panhandle and eastern Gulf States.
The Mississippi Valley will see stormy conditions while the West Coast gets a shot of colder air and windy weather that moves into the Great Basin.


October 14-15, 2005
A developing storm will take aim on the New England area as moisture is drawn up from the south and interacts with colder Canadian air.
Tropical moisture heads toward the Yucatan of Mexico resulting in heavy rain.


October 15-18, 2005
Tropical storm
formation or passage is indicated in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico around 94 West Longitude and 26 North Latitude. Long-range forecast models show that the coastal areas of eastern Texas and western Louisiana will most likely feel the effects of this tropical influence.
Extreme southern Mexico, around the State of Oaxaca should experience heavy rains due to an influx of tropical moisture.
Tropical storm formation seems likely north of Haiti near 72 West Longitude and 22 North Latitude. The island itself should feel the effects of tropical downpours at this time.


October 20-21, 2005
Relative humidities will increase over the Mississippi Valley and eastward. This may result in fog potential or lower barometer resulting in precipitation.
The potential for tropical downpours is indicated over the southern Mexican State of Chiapas.


October 22-23, 2005
What appears to be a powerful storm system will leave its mark over the Four Corners region of the Rockies and Nevada as it brings gusty winds and rain to the region.


October 25-26, 2005
The inhabitants the Dominican Republic should prepare for possible tropical storm or hurricane passage as the area just south of there (69W/17N) has the potential to attract a low pressure system.
In the eastern Pacific, the area in and around 120 West Longitude and 15 North Latitude (about 850 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas) is another potential area for hurricane or tropical storm genesis.


October 28-30, 2005
As cold air pushes through the Northeast US, storm conditions will develop over Maryland, Delaware, and surrounding States.