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Forecast
October 13-15, 2005
A strong cold front will push across the eastern US lowering temperatures and exciting gusty winds. There is a possibility that the front will interact with a tropical system in the eastern Gulf of Mexico around 84 West Longitude and 25 North Latitude threatening the Florida Panhandle and eastern Gulf States.The Mississippi Valley will see stormy conditions while the West Coast gets a shot of colder air and windy weather that moves into the Great Basin.
Results
October 13, 2005
The Weather Channel
Areas from the New York City metropolitan area to Southern New England could see locally heavy rainfall today. Flood watches remain in place throughout the region as rivers and streams continue to run high along with an already saturated ground. Winds will also remain gusty, especially along coastal areas where gusts could reach 30 to 40 mph.
October 14, 2005
The Weather Channel
Northeast
...strong low pressure over Quebec will result in stiff northwest winds across the region.
Eastern Gulf of Mexico around 84 West Longitude/25 North Latitude
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL805 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2005
A WEAK 1010 MB LOW SITS JUST OFF THE COAST JUST S OF DAYTONA FLORIDA WITH A COLD FRONT RUNNING SW JUST S OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE INTO THE E GULF NEAR 25N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 75 NM NW OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE E GULF.
The Weather ChannelOctober 14, 2005
West
A strong Pacific system will target the Pacific Northwest beginning later Friday (14th) and into Saturday (15th). This will result in locally heavy rain, gusty winds, and light snows in the higher elevations.
Midwest
A dry cold front will sweep across the region on Friday with very little impact. Winds will be quite gusty (generally 20-30 mph) in portions of the Upper Midwest.
Forecast
October 14-15, 2005
A developing storm will take aim on the New England area as moisture is drawn up from the south and interacts with colder Canadian air.
Tropical moisture heads toward the Yucatan of Mexico resulting in heavy rain.
Results
October 14, 2005
The Weather Channel
Northeast
Heavy rain has been pounding areas from central New Jersey northeastward to southern Connecticut and Rhode Island during the overnight hours (including New York City and Long Island)...The heavy rainfall threat should be over on Sunday, but strong low pressure over Quebec will result in stiff northwest winds across the region.
October 15, 2005
Northeast
Four to six inches of rain soaked most of southern New England and eastern Long Island. These torrential rains on top of what fell last weekend was the proverbial final straw, triggering widespread flooding.
Yucatan of Mexico
October 15, 2005
Accuweather
Saturday, low pressure marked by heavy convective cloudiness is located in and about the island of Jamaica...This situation bears close watching for those in northern Honduras, western Cuba and eastern Yucatan, Mexico.
October 15, 2005
El Servicio Meteorológico Nacional de la CONAGUA, fuente oficial del gobierno de México (Mexican Meteorological Service)
También se esperan lluvias de moderadas a fuertes en el litoral del Golfo de México, Sureste del país y Península de Yucatán. (Moderate to heavy rainfall is expected along the coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico, Southeast, and the Yucatan Peninsula)
Forecast
October 15-18, 2005
Tropical storm formation or passage is indicated in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico around 94 West Longitude and 26 North Latitude. Long-range forecast models show that the coastal areas of eastern Texas and western Louisiana will most likely feel the effects of this tropical influence.
Extreme southern Mexico, around the State of Oaxaca should experience heavy rains due to an influx of tropical moisture.
Tropical storm formation seems likely north of Haiti near 72 West Longitude and 22 North Latitude. The island itself should feel the effects of tropical downpours at this time.
Results
October 15-18, 2005
No tropical storm formation in the northwest Gulf of Mexico was reported.
October 15, 2005
Mexican Meteorological Service
Oaxaca to Chiapas coast.
Warm. Partly cloudy to cloudy. Moderate to strong rain with thunderstorms. Light to moderate north and northeast wind.
October 15, 2006
National Weather Service
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS THIS SYSTEM GRADUALLY IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JAMAICA...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND HAITI.
Forecast
October 20-21, 2005
Relative humidities will increase over the Mississippi Valley and eastward. This may result in fog potential or lower barometer resulting in precipitation.
The potential for tropical downpours is indicated over the southern Mexican State of Chiapas.
Results
October 20, 2005
The Weather Channel
Midwest
The same storm system (upper low) that was once stationed off of the Southern California coast earlier this week...is now located around the mid-Mississippi Valley. Yesterday evening, the upper low along with a surface dryline both helped to trigger shower and thunderstorms (some severe) across southern Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma. All of this activity will shift east into Missouri and the majority of the Ohio Valley. Some thunderstorms across southern Missouri may contain large hail and gusty winds.
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 451 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2005
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 651 AM CDT THU OCT 20 2005
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 808 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
El Servicio Meteorológico Nacional de la CONAGUA, fuente oficial del gobierno de México (Mexican Meteorological Service)
Estados con potencial de TORMENTAS ORDINARIAS (de 20 a 50 mm en 24 h o mayor a 10 mm en 1 h) válido hasta las 18:00 h, para la población de los siguientes estados: (Thunderstorm Warning- 0.7 to 1.9 inches of rain in 24 hrs. or over 0.4 inches in 1 hour)
Chiapas y Tabasco.
Forecast
October 22-23, 2005
What appears to be a powerful storm system will leave its mark over the Four Corners region of the Rockies and Nevada as it brings gusty winds and rain to the region.
Results
No storm system over the Rockies was reported.
October 25-26, 2005
The inhabitants the Dominican Republic should prepare for possible tropical storm or hurricane passage as the area just south of there (69W/17N) has the potential to attract a low pressure system.
In the eastern Pacific, the area in and around 120 West Longitude and 15 North Latitude (about 850 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas) is another potential area for hurricane or tropical storm genesis.
Results
October 24, 2005
The Weather Channel
(Tropical Storm) Alpha, meanwhile, weakened to a tropical depression after making landfall in the Dominican Republic yesterday (23rd) as a minimal tropical storm. Alpha pushed across Haiti and back over open water, but is not expected to regain tropical storm strength as it races northward away from the southeastern Bahamas
National Weather Service
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL1605 UTC WED OCT 26 2005
TWO SURFACE LOWS ARE EMBEDDED INT THE ITCZ...ON NEAR 11N105W...1011 MB AND ANOTHER 1012 MB LOW NEAR 12N116W.
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL2205 UTC THU OCT 27 2005
...SPECIAL FEATURES...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N117W 1011 MB IS MOVING WNW 10 KT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER. SCATTERED HEAVY THUNDERSTOM ACTIVITY NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER.
October 28-30, 2005
As cold air pushes through the Northeast US, storm conditions will develop over Maryland, Delaware, and surrounding States.
Results
October 27, 2005
The Weather Channel
Northeast
One last strong cold upper-level disturbance is muscling its way into the Northeast from out of eastern Canada. At the same time, low pressure will develop off the Carolina coast and head north-northeastward to off the Jersey Shore by late Friday (28th)...On Saturday (29th), the strengthening storm will continue its trek from off New Jersey to just off the southwest tip of Nova Scotia. Significant coastal rain and interior wet snow could invade Rhode Island, eastern Massachusetts, southeast New Hampshire and Down East Maine.
October 28, 2005
The Weather Channel
Low pressure is developing off the Carolina coast this morning and will be a weather factor along the East Coast today and tomorrow. Rain has already developed in eastern North Carolina and it will begin to slide northward into southeast Virginia and the southern Delmarva during the day. The proximity of this relatively weak area of low pressure and the strong and expansive area of high pressure established across the entire eastern half of the country will allow a tight pressure gradient to form and the resultant gusty onshore northeasterly winds pouring into the North Carolina and Virginia coast.
October 29, 2005
The Weather Channel
An area of low pressure aloft will combine with another low offshore to produce some rain and wet snow to parts of New England today. Most of the precipitation, mainly in the form of rain, will be across southeast Rhode Island, Cape Cod and eastern Massachusetts, coastal New Hampshire and coastal southern Maine however wet snow may mix in from time to time... The north-northeasterly winds will become gusty along the New England Coast. The storm will exit into the Maritimes by tomorrow.
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