May 2006 Forecast Results 80 Percent Accuracy

May 2006 Forecast Results


Forecast

May 4-6, 2006: Fair and dry conditions with a lower range of temperatures are indicated for the area after a storm system hits around the 3rd.

Results

May 3, 2006: The Weather Channel
Precipitation will plod into western portions of the Northeast Thursday (4th) at the same time a wet weather system that has plagued New England over the past couple of days slinks away into the Atlantic.

May 5, 2006: National Weather Service
REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR NEW YORK AND VERMON
TNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ALBANY NY
825 PM EDT FRI MAY 05 2006

SYNOPSIS...DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER TONIGHT.TOMORROW... TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TOMORROW...

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UPTON NY
330 PM EDT FRI MAY 5 2006

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL KEEPTEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN NORMAL SATURDAY (6th)NIGHT.

Forecast
May 6-8, 2006: The arrival of a colder air mass over the Northeast will result in precipitation.

May 6, 2006: The Weather Channel
Northeast
Low pressure aloft over eastern Canada will keep showers in the Saturday forecast across northern sections of New York and New England. Colder air will also slide into the area.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BUFFALO NY
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 6 2006A

FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM SUNDAY.THE COMBINATION OF CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE LOWER AND MID 30S TONIGHT.

May 6, 2006: Accuweather

The east...will be stuck in a cool flow with temperatures in the 50s. This will be the result of a weak cool front dropping down from Canada, heading toward the Northeast.



Forecast:
May 10-12, 2006: Winds over the Northeast blow out of the south now elevating temperatures and bringing a chance of rain.

Results:

May 10, 2006: The Weather Channel
Northeast

Heavy rain and thunderstorms will develop over the mid-Atlantic states Thursday (May 11th) as a cold front slows in its eastward progress. A few of the storms over Virginia, eastern West Virginia and western Maryland could turn severe. Elsewhere in the Northeast, cloudiness and showers will prevail. Temperatures will be generally near to below mid-spring means with highs ranging from the 50s in much of eastern New England to the 70s in a good chunk of Virginia. South to southeast winds will become rather gusty in many areas in response to an unseasonably strong storm churning over the Great Lakes.


Forecast:
May 16-18, 2006: A cold front with its attendant cloudiness and precipitation
will offer a break from relatively high temperatures.

Results:

May 15, 2006: The Weather Channel

Northeast

…Rain will wind down overnight but more showers are on tap for New England on Tuesday (May 16th) as an area of low pressure aloft moves toward the area. Much of the Northeast will have to deal with these showers and even more rain is on tap for later in the week. Temperatures will be below average for mid-May…

May 17, 2006: The Weather Channel

Northeast

Another storm moves into the Northeast Thursday (May 18th) and hangs around into early Saturday…Eastern sections of the region should have a fairly mild day before the storms Thursday with high temperatures in the upper 60s to middle 70s. Western sections of the Northeast will already be experiencing the cooler temperatures behind the cold front with highs holding in the 50s to very low 60s.

Forecast:
May 22-23, 2006: Southerly winds will transport heat and humidity into the Northeast and New England resulting in atmospheric disturbance.

Results:

May 22, 2006: The Weather Channel

Northeast

Breezy and slightly cooler-than-average conditions will prevail again in the Northeast tomorrow (May 23rd). And although there'll be a few showers around, they'll be limited to northern New England and the Adirondacks. Frost may greet early risers in parts of New York state, Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, western Maryland and West Virginia, but afternoon readings throughout the region will push into 50s, 60s and 70s, north to south.

Forecast:
May 26-27, 2006: A storm system headed for the Canadian Maritimes will drop rain and kick up windy conditions over the Northeast and New England.

Results:

REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR NEW YORK AND VERMONT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
822 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

SYNOPSIS, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
330 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

...SUMMERLIKE WEATHER ON TAP AFTER A BOUT OF ROUGH WEATHER...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

Forecast:
May 30-June 1, 2006: Warmth makes its way through the eastern U.S. only to trigger stormy conditions from the Mid-Atlantic region to the Northeast. If not enough moisture is available to result in precipitation, wind will be the salient feature.

Results:

May 29, 2006: The Weather Channel

Northeast

New England and eastern New York will cool off a bit tomorrow as a cold front pushes southwestward from Canada. Hot weather, however, will grip the remainder of the Northeast…Scattered, or maybe only isolated, thunderstorms will accompany the heat and focus along the cold front. Thus, much of eastern New England, Virginia and West Virginia may remain free of precipitation.

May 30, 2006: The Weather Channel

Northeast

Warm, humid air will blanket the interior Northeast tomorrow, leading to scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly later in the day…Temperatures are expected be near to somewhat above end-of-May means with highs in the 70s in New England, eastern New York, much of New Jersey and the Delmarva Peninsula, and the 80s elsewhere.

Some Results of May's Long-Range Weather Forecasts

On April 8th, 2006, May's long-range weather forecasts for the Northeast U.S. were posted. Here are some results of the first of these forecasts.

Click here for May 2006 Long-Range Forecasts.

Forecast

May 4-6, 2006: Fair and dry conditions with a lower range of temperatures are indicated for the area after a storm system hits around the 3rd.

Results

May 3, 2006: The Weather Channel
Precipitation will plod into western portions of the Northeast Thursday (4th) at the same time a wet weather system that has plagued New England over the past couple of days slinks away into the Atlantic.

May 5, 2006: National Weather Service
REGIONAL WEATHER SUMMARY FOR NEW YORK AND VERMON
TNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ALBANY NY
825 PM EDT FRI MAY 05 2006

SYNOPSIS...DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER TONIGHT.TOMORROW... TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TOMORROW...

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
UPTON NY
330 PM EDT FRI MAY 5 2006

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL KEEPTEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN NORMAL SATURDAY (6th)NIGHT.

Forecast
May 6-8, 2006: The arrival of a colder air mass over the Northeast will result in precipitation.

May 6, 2006: The Weather Channel
Northeast
Low pressure aloft over eastern Canada will keep showers in the Saturday forecast across northern sections of New York and New England. Colder air will also slide into the area.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
BUFFALO NY
426 AM EDT SAT MAY 6 2006A

FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM SUNDAY.THE COMBINATION OF CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE LOWER AND MID 30S TONIGHT.

May 6, 2006: Accuweather

The east...will be stuck in a cool flow with temperatures in the 50s. This will be the result of a weak cool front dropping down from Canada, heading toward the Northeast.