Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Scroll down and check out fulfilled long-range forecast.
Oct 4-6:
A cold front over the Mississippi Valley triggers storms that push eastward.
Oct 5-7:
Storms hit from coastal North Carolina and Virginia through the Northeast.
A tropical moisture is indicated over the Bahamas, Cuba, and Jamaica.
A storm system will advance into the Pacific Northwest and Intermountain West, pushing showers and thunderstorms into those areas.
Oct 7-9:
Cold air funnels in over the Plains and pushes eastward triggering storms that eventually reach the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.
Oct 8-10:
A storm system moves in over the West Coast States and pushes toward the Rockies.
Oct. 10-12:
Storms should rev up over the Plains and West Coast. After the 12th, falling temperatures and windy conditions are in store for the eastern U.S.
Oct 11-13:
Low pressure brings rain to the Bahamas, Cuba, and Jamaica. Storms will affect the coastal area of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina.
Oct. 15-18:
The general weather pattern over California begins to change now as a warmer more moisture-laden air mass enters the region. This may result in tropical moisture being funneled into the area setting off heavy showers. Fog may also be a concern now.
Abundant moisture is also drawn up over the Plains creating severe weather potential along the Front Range of the Rockies.
The Mid-Atlantic States will have to deal with what promises to be some good-sized storms of their own.
Oct 19-21:
Showers and storms hit the Northeast down through Virginia, the coastal areas of Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina, as well as the Bahamas, Cuba, and Jamaica.
Oct. 19-21:
Storms continue to kick out into the Plains as contrasting air masses feed low pressure systems. The West Coast gets a new round of storms while temperatures drop over the eastern U.S.
Oct. 22-25:
A new wave of inclement weather reaches the West Coast States. The period climaxes with the potential for tempestuous, widespread storms and heavy downfall. The Plains should respond with an outbreak of severe weather, which may include possible tropical storm implications along the southwest coast of Texas.
The potential for major tropical activity is also shown for the eastern coast of India.
The eastern U.S. should be dealing with its own weather anomalies as temperatures skyrocket. The atmosphere may try and equalize the situation by unleashing strong storms over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions. A tropical system cannot be ruled out.
Another Hurricane Hot Spot may develop off the eastern coast of Nicaragua threatening Central America, while the island of Jamaica is in for severe weather as well.
Oct 25-27:
A vigorous low pressure system will trek across the Rockies generating strong storms.
Oct 28-30:
A low pressure system off the California coast will hurl wind and rain into California and Oregon. Major changes should be underway for the Plains as well. A whirling dervish of a storm center over northern Minnesota and Wisconsin will most likely usher in windy conditions. Tropical moisture from the Gulf will help ignite hefty storms over the Ark Latex region.
A Hurricane Hotspot forms in the Eastern Pacific at 94 West Longitude and 10 North Latitude or about 400 miles south of Oaxaca, Mexico.
Thursday, September 28, 2006
Wednesday, September 27, 2006
Soaking Rain for the Northeast
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The Weather Alternative's long-range forecast (prepared in December 2005) for September 26-28 is shaping up just fine. The forecast called for The potential for heavy rainfall is shown over the eastern US from the eastern Great Lakes southward to Virginia.
Here's the latest from Accuweather:
The front moving through the Great Lakes today will reach Pennsylvania and western New York by Thursday, bringing cloudy, damp weather and noticeably cooler air. The wettest weather in the coastal mid-Atlantic will come on Thursday night, and Friday looks like a washout for New England. To add insult to injury, the upper-level trough that is pushing this front along will be lifting up to the north, meaning the front will be slowing down. So, while places in the Great Lakes will just be having a quick spell of rain today, much of the Northeast will have a soaking rain for a longer period of time.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The Weather Alternative's long-range forecast (prepared in December 2005) for September 26-28 is shaping up just fine. The forecast called for The potential for heavy rainfall is shown over the eastern US from the eastern Great Lakes southward to Virginia.
Here's the latest from Accuweather:
The front moving through the Great Lakes today will reach Pennsylvania and western New York by Thursday, bringing cloudy, damp weather and noticeably cooler air. The wettest weather in the coastal mid-Atlantic will come on Thursday night, and Friday looks like a washout for New England. To add insult to injury, the upper-level trough that is pushing this front along will be lifting up to the north, meaning the front will be slowing down. So, while places in the Great Lakes will just be having a quick spell of rain today, much of the Northeast will have a soaking rain for a longer period of time.
Sunday, September 24, 2006
Strong Storms for Eastern US
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The strong storms affecting the US East Coast are a direct fulfillment of the following long-range weather forecast. This forecast was prepared in December 2005, published in the July 2006 edition of Dell Magazine and posted on this blog in August 2006.
Forecast
Sept. 24-26:
A blast of cold air will assault the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast generating gusty winds and slashing temperatures.
Today Accuweather published the following map and comment.
The storm system that has pounded the Midwest and Mississippi Valley with severe weather recently will sweep southward and eastward this afternoon, spreading the severe weather threat from Bangor, Maine, to Albany, Georgia, and into Brownsville, Texas. The AccuWeather.com Severe Weather Center is urging residents or visitors across these areas to keep an eye to the sky and check back to AccuWeather.com as any of these thunderstorms has the potential to produce damaging winds, heavy rain and hail. In addition, isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
In addition to the above forecast, The Weather Alternative also forecast the following:
Sept. 23-25:
A tropical weather system may be brewing near the Dominican Republic and tropical moisture unloads over the Florida Panhandle.
Accuweather reports: A frontal boundary will stall across northern and central Florida through the middle of the week. Moist air will continue to spread up along the front from Monday to Wednesday, leading to widespread showers and thunderstorms. The heaviest rainfall during the period will likely be from Gainesville to Orlando, Fla.
The National Weather Service published the following about the Dominican Republic:
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 62W S OF 20N MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT AROUND 10KT. BROADENING INVERTED-V SIGNATURE CURVATURE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 58W-64W. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATE TODAY TROUGH MONDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THOSE ISLANDS.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The strong storms affecting the US East Coast are a direct fulfillment of the following long-range weather forecast. This forecast was prepared in December 2005, published in the July 2006 edition of Dell Magazine and posted on this blog in August 2006.
Forecast
Sept. 24-26:
A blast of cold air will assault the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast generating gusty winds and slashing temperatures.
Today Accuweather published the following map and comment.
The storm system that has pounded the Midwest and Mississippi Valley with severe weather recently will sweep southward and eastward this afternoon, spreading the severe weather threat from Bangor, Maine, to Albany, Georgia, and into Brownsville, Texas. The AccuWeather.com Severe Weather Center is urging residents or visitors across these areas to keep an eye to the sky and check back to AccuWeather.com as any of these thunderstorms has the potential to produce damaging winds, heavy rain and hail. In addition, isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
In addition to the above forecast, The Weather Alternative also forecast the following:
Sept. 23-25:
A tropical weather system may be brewing near the Dominican Republic and tropical moisture unloads over the Florida Panhandle.
Accuweather reports: A frontal boundary will stall across northern and central Florida through the middle of the week. Moist air will continue to spread up along the front from Monday to Wednesday, leading to widespread showers and thunderstorms. The heaviest rainfall during the period will likely be from Gainesville to Orlando, Fla.The National Weather Service published the following about the Dominican Republic:
TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 62W S OF 20N MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT AROUND 10KT. BROADENING INVERTED-V SIGNATURE CURVATURE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 58W-64W. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATE TODAY TROUGH MONDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO REACH DOMINICAN REPUBLIC MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THOSE ISLANDS.
Thursday, September 21, 2006
Large Storm for Central U.S.
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Conventional meteorologists, over the last couple of days, have realized that a potent storm system is taking shape over the Central U.S. This was forecast by The Weather Alternative back in December 2005 and posted this blog on August 24, 2006. The forecast is repeated below.
Forecast
Sept. 21-23:
The insurgence of warm, moist air over the Gulf Coast States from Texas to Florida will act as a potential storm breeder on its journey northward into the central U.S.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Conventional meteorologists, over the last couple of days, have realized that a potent storm system is taking shape over the Central U.S. This was forecast by The Weather Alternative back in December 2005 and posted this blog on August 24, 2006. The forecast is repeated below.
Forecast
Sept. 21-23:
The insurgence of warm, moist air over the Gulf Coast States from Texas to Florida will act as a potential storm breeder on its journey northward into the central U.S.
Graphic by Accuweather.com
Sept 21, 2006- The Weather Channel
A soaking inch-plus rain will extend from the Dakotas to the western Great Lakes. Thunderstorms will be ongoing or developing from the eastern sections of the central Plains, across the mid-Mississippi Valley, to the Ohio Valley. With a strong energetic jet stream from Kansas to Lower Michigan, warming temperatures and a plentiful return of moisture from the Gulf, severe thunderstorms with hail, damaging wind gusts and tornadoes will erupt over Iowa, Missouri and Illinois Friday. Winds will be strong and gusty over the northern Plains, Mississippi Valley, western Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
Tuesday, September 19, 2006
September 16-17, 2006 Forecast Results
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Forecast (prepared December 2005)
Sept. 16-17:
A potential tropical disturbance may get its act together over Cuba and Florida. A low pressure system will develop over the Front Range of the Rockies.
Results
A potential tropical disturbance may get its act together over Cuba and Florida.
Sept 16, 2006- Accuweather
A lingering frontal boundary across the southern peninsula of Florida will yield a few showers and thunderstorms, but at least there are no tropical systems to worry about.
A low pressure system will develop over the Front Range of the Rockies.
Sept 16, 2006- Accuweather
A strong storm system will dive into the northern Plains today setting the stage for a wide variety of weather… thunderstorms will become severe today with hail and even isolated tornadoes battering eastern Nebraska, western Iowa and northward into the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota. This cold front will also lead to strong winds through the central Rockies today with gusts 45- to 65 mph. A few gusts past 70 mph could whip through canyons and gorges of the front range in Colorado and Wyoming.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Forecast (prepared December 2005)
Sept. 16-17:
A potential tropical disturbance may get its act together over Cuba and Florida. A low pressure system will develop over the Front Range of the Rockies.
Results
A potential tropical disturbance may get its act together over Cuba and Florida.
Sept 16, 2006- Accuweather
A lingering frontal boundary across the southern peninsula of Florida will yield a few showers and thunderstorms, but at least there are no tropical systems to worry about.
A low pressure system will develop over the Front Range of the Rockies.
Sept 16, 2006- AccuweatherA strong storm system will dive into the northern Plains today setting the stage for a wide variety of weather… thunderstorms will become severe today with hail and even isolated tornadoes battering eastern Nebraska, western Iowa and northward into the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota. This cold front will also lead to strong winds through the central Rockies today with gusts 45- to 65 mph. A few gusts past 70 mph could whip through canyons and gorges of the front range in Colorado and Wyoming.
Monday, September 18, 2006
September 14-16, 2006 Forecast Results
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Most of these forecasts were prepared in December 2005.
Forecast
Sept. 14-16:
Tropical activity is shown for the area in and around Puerto Rico. Meanwhile, a new cold front hits the West Coast States dropping temperatures and increasing moisture.The Mississippi Valley and eastward will be the focal point for windy and stormy conditions.
Results
Tropical activity is shown for the area in and around Puerto Rico. (66 West/18 North)
Sept 14, 2006- NWS
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT...SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N18N BETWEEN 63W-66W.
Meanwhile, a new cold front hits the West Coast States dropping temperatures and increasing moisture.
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
West
A significant upper level disturbance will move into the Northwest today, in the wake of a cold front that passed through yesterday. With this disturbance in the area, and much cooler air moving in, scattered showers will develop during the afternoon hours.
Sept 15, 2006- The Weather Channel
West
The unusually intense storm and early season cold snap will continue to work its way across the West this weekend on its way to engulf most of the nation.
The Mississippi Valley and eastward will be the focal point for windy and stormy conditions.
Sept 15, 2006- The Weather Channel
A giant early season storm with hints of the winter to come will take control of the north-central U.S. this weekend. A strong cold front will kick off this fast-forward to late fall as it plows eastward from the Plains to the Appalachians over the next 3 days.
Severe thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes will develop Saturday from the eastern Dakotas, Minnesota and western Wisconsin to eastern Kansas and Missouri. Some severe thunderstorms will continue across Illinois and Missouri on Sunday. As the front reaches Michigan and the Ohio Valley Monday, the thunderstorms will shift eastward across the remainder of the Midwest.
While strong warm southerly winds have gusted in advance of the front, equally strong northerly and northwesterly winds will further enhance the cold over the Plains and Midwest once the front moves through.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Most of these forecasts were prepared in December 2005.
Forecast
Sept. 14-16:
Tropical activity is shown for the area in and around Puerto Rico. Meanwhile, a new cold front hits the West Coast States dropping temperatures and increasing moisture.The Mississippi Valley and eastward will be the focal point for windy and stormy conditions.
Results
Tropical activity is shown for the area in and around Puerto Rico. (66 West/18 North)
Sept 14, 2006- NWS
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT...SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N18N BETWEEN 63W-66W.
Meanwhile, a new cold front hits the West Coast States dropping temperatures and increasing moisture.
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
West
A significant upper level disturbance will move into the Northwest today, in the wake of a cold front that passed through yesterday. With this disturbance in the area, and much cooler air moving in, scattered showers will develop during the afternoon hours.
Sept 15, 2006- The Weather Channel
West
The unusually intense storm and early season cold snap will continue to work its way across the West this weekend on its way to engulf most of the nation.
The Mississippi Valley and eastward will be the focal point for windy and stormy conditions.
Sept 15, 2006- The Weather Channel
A giant early season storm with hints of the winter to come will take control of the north-central U.S. this weekend. A strong cold front will kick off this fast-forward to late fall as it plows eastward from the Plains to the Appalachians over the next 3 days.
Severe thunderstorms with hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes will develop Saturday from the eastern Dakotas, Minnesota and western Wisconsin to eastern Kansas and Missouri. Some severe thunderstorms will continue across Illinois and Missouri on Sunday. As the front reaches Michigan and the Ohio Valley Monday, the thunderstorms will shift eastward across the remainder of the Midwest.
While strong warm southerly winds have gusted in advance of the front, equally strong northerly and northwesterly winds will further enhance the cold over the Plains and Midwest once the front moves through.
Thursday, September 14, 2006
September 12-14 Forecast Results
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Forecast:
Most of these forecasts were prepared in December 2005.
Sept. 12-14:
Gusty winds hit the Plains, and storms affect the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England. These storms over the eastern U.S. should bring abundant moisture and cause flooding problems. The culprit may be a tropical system drawn up over North Carolina or Virginia.Moisture increases over the southern California area. A front triggers showers and storms over the Rockies.Heavy rain is indicated for the island of Hispañola, which may be due to some type of tropical system.
Results
Gusty winds hit the Plains...
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
Windy conditions will develop over the central and high Plains in response to a low pressure moving toward that area.
...and storms affect the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England. These storms over the eastern U.S. should bring abundant moisture and cause flooding problems. The culprit may be a tropical system drawn up over North Carolina or Virginia.
Sept 12, 2006- Accuweather
As this storm heads east, a wave of low pressure is forecast to develop along the front as it moves across Georgia late on Wednesday. That will enhance rainfall across the Carolinas and southeastern Virginia. The ground in this area remains saturated from heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Ernesto, and there is some concern that localized flooding could occur in this area Thursday.
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
Northeast
An area of low pressure will spread rain across the Middle Atlantic into the Northeastern States today, some of which could be heavy at times.
Moisture increases over the southern California area.
Sept 14, 2006- Accuweather
Along the coastline, a thickening marine layer will prolong the low clouds, fog and drizzle along the coastline of California.
A front triggers showers and storms over the Rockies.
Sept 14, 2006- National Weather Service
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST WYOMING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ABOVE 9000 TO 10000 FEET.
Heavy rain is indicated for the island of Hispañola, which may be due to some type of tropical system.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
Forecast:
Most of these forecasts were prepared in December 2005.
Sept. 12-14:
Gusty winds hit the Plains, and storms affect the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England. These storms over the eastern U.S. should bring abundant moisture and cause flooding problems. The culprit may be a tropical system drawn up over North Carolina or Virginia.Moisture increases over the southern California area. A front triggers showers and storms over the Rockies.Heavy rain is indicated for the island of Hispañola, which may be due to some type of tropical system.
Results
Gusty winds hit the Plains...
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
Windy conditions will develop over the central and high Plains in response to a low pressure moving toward that area.
...and storms affect the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England. These storms over the eastern U.S. should bring abundant moisture and cause flooding problems. The culprit may be a tropical system drawn up over North Carolina or Virginia.
Sept 12, 2006- Accuweather
As this storm heads east, a wave of low pressure is forecast to develop along the front as it moves across Georgia late on Wednesday. That will enhance rainfall across the Carolinas and southeastern Virginia. The ground in this area remains saturated from heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Ernesto, and there is some concern that localized flooding could occur in this area Thursday.
Sept 14, 2006- The Weather Channel
Northeast
An area of low pressure will spread rain across the Middle Atlantic into the Northeastern States today, some of which could be heavy at times.
Moisture increases over the southern California area.
Sept 14, 2006- Accuweather
Along the coastline, a thickening marine layer will prolong the low clouds, fog and drizzle along the coastline of California.
A front triggers showers and storms over the Rockies.
Sept 14, 2006- National Weather Service
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG AND GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST WYOMING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ABOVE 9000 TO 10000 FEET.
Heavy rain is indicated for the island of Hispañola, which may be due to some type of tropical system.
Sept 14, 2006- Dominican Republic Weather Service
A tropical wave is located over the Mona Passage moving westward at 26 kph. A mid to upper level low is in the troposhpere over the island.
Saturday, September 09, 2006
Stormy West Coast and Plains
Click here for September 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook.
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for Sept 8-9, 2006 called for a stormy period for the U.S. West Coast and Plains. These forecasts were prepared during December 2005.
The Plains
Here are the latest reports from Accuweather .com:
A storm system will take shape today across the west-central Plains and then head northeastward into Illinois by Monday. This storm will tap into moist Gulf of Mexico air, allowing for rain and thunderstorms to spread on eastward with it. In the area just south of the warm front and east of the cold front, enough instability will be around along with favorable jet steam energy to allow for a few storms to be locally severe with gusty winds and hail. The best threat for a severe storm today will be in western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle. By tomorrow, the threat will shift into central and eastern Kansas into Missouri, and by Monday into parts of southern Illinois.
The West Coast
Click here for the Introduction to The Weather Alternative
The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for Sept 8-9, 2006 called for a stormy period for the U.S. West Coast and Plains. These forecasts were prepared during December 2005.
The Plains
Here are the latest reports from Accuweather .com:
A storm system will take shape today across the west-central Plains and then head northeastward into Illinois by Monday. This storm will tap into moist Gulf of Mexico air, allowing for rain and thunderstorms to spread on eastward with it. In the area just south of the warm front and east of the cold front, enough instability will be around along with favorable jet steam energy to allow for a few storms to be locally severe with gusty winds and hail. The best threat for a severe storm today will be in western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle. By tomorrow, the threat will shift into central and eastern Kansas into Missouri, and by Monday into parts of southern Illinois.The West Coast
Sept 8, 2006- Accuweather
The wildfire danger remains at a critical level in the Northwest interior. A cold front moving into the region will bring cooler temperatures and higher humidity. However, dry thunderstorms developing ahead of the front could spark more fires, and gusty winds associated with the cold front could help to spread existing fires.
A disturbance in the upper levels of the atmosphere has been causing heavy rainfall the past couple of days over the Southwest and southern Rockies.
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