Thanks to indications in the New Moon chart of December 9th The Weather Alternative was able to pinpoint today's major storm centers about one month before hand. (How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made) The forecast posted on November 18, 2007stated:
Forecast
December 15-17, 2007
December's New Moon promises storms and colder conditions to develop in and around the Tennessee and Alabama area due to Saturn's placement in this lunation. Farther west, the British Columbia coast and the Pacific Northwest should prepare for a strong winter storm to visit the area.
Results
As far as the storms in and around Tennessee and Alabama, the above Accuweather graphic for December 15th shows a monster low-pressure area over that very area. The storm brought beneficial rains to the drought-stricken Southeast and then moved over the Northeast where it is having an major impact.
This Accuweather graphic shows the storms headed into the Pacific Northwest. The Weather Channel reported:
A series of Pacific systems will continue to invade the West Coast over the next few days.
The first cold front will today and produce showers and gusty winds from western Washington to northwest California and mainly light to moderate snow from the Cascades inland to the northern Rockies.
Canada's Meteorological Service reported the following today:
A strong frontal system approaching Vancouver Island is producing strong southeasterly winds 60 to 80 km/h over western and eastern Vancouver Island..Greater Victoria..Southern Gulf Islands and Sunshine Coast and up to 90 km/h southeast winds over North Vancouver Island and Central Coast - coastal sections. Winds will diminish to 30 km/h and veer to the west as the front passes this afternoon.
The front will bring significant snowfall in the Whistler area. Snowfall amounts 15 to 25 cm are expected today through tonight.
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
Some December, 2007 Long-range Forecasts
Getting It "Less Wrong"
In science, it is basically impossible to indefinitely prove anything when using the scientific method because the process is never-ending. When a scientist has created a hypothesis based on a summary of their observations, or things that they have seen, heard, for example, they then try to uncover a new observation that supports there idea through an experiment. However, this idea cannot ever be completely proved true, so what scientists do is try to make the idea "less wrong", by adjusting their hypotheses and performing new experiments. Nothing is ever completely definite.
2 comments:
Thank you, Ken, for being among us. I belong to Carol Egan's student body and always refer to your material when trying to interpret my own bi-wheels charts.
Again, thanks for your clear instruction.
Sue Miller
You're welcome, Sue!
Ken
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