Wednesday, July 16, 2014

July 11-13, 2014 Forecast Results

In mid June of this year, I posted some forecasts for the month of July. The first forecast period was for July 11-13. In this forecast, I pinpointed three areas of concern for severe weather. One of those areas I thought carried potential for hurricane formation. Those areas, as can be seen from the astro-locality map below where the different sets of lines cross, were the mid-Mississippi Valley, the Deep South over Mississippi and Alabama, and an area in the eastern Gulf of Mexico off of Florida's west coast and south of the Panhandle.

I called for severe weather over the mid and southern Mississippi Valley area. On the 11th, a low pressure area developed over the Mississippi/Alabama area as shown in the Weather Channel map below.

Then on the 12th, storms began to fire from the mid-Mississippi Valley northward as well as along the crossing in the eastern Gulf of Mexico although no tropical system developed. The next Weather Channel infrared map shows the storms.

Finally, by the 14th (one day after my forecast window), a cold front sagged down over the southern Mississippi Valley. The Weather Channel reported, "Thunderstorms, some severe, are likely along the strong cold front in Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, northern parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia..." The next Weather Channel map shows the front.

Hurricane Season 2014: Mexico
Potential Hurricane Strike Areas July 2014
East Coast Hurricane? September 2014
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

No comments: