The May 20th, 2014 Weather Alternative post talked about possible tropical activity or severe weather to affect North Carolina, Virginia, and the East Coast areas between September 7-10. The East Coast did experience severe weather at this time. Although it was not due to a tropical system, the combination of tropical moisture and a disturbance moving along a frontal zone provoked the rainfall. The AccuWeather map below shows the area from Florida through North Carolina as the target for heavy downpours on the 6th.
The area from Virginia through Maine was also subjected to heavy thunderstorms with damaging winds and flooding downpours on the 6th as seen in the next AccuWeather map.
On the 8th, AccuWeather reported that rain would continue to drench the East Coast into Tuesday, the 9th. The Weather Channel map for the 8th shows a low pressure area and stationary front over the Carolinas.
AccuWeather's Hurricane Expert, Dan Kottlowski, explained that the feature was not likely to develop into a tropical system. The rounds of heavy rain and flash flooding, AccuWeather said, would creep from the Carolinas through the Mid-Atlantic area. All in all this long-range weather forecast accurately described the weather scenario over 3 months in advance.
Links to Other Long-range Forecasts and Forecast Results
October 11, 2014 Western Weather Woes
Plains Forecast Oct 6-8, 2014
East Coast Hurricane? September 2014
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
Eisenhower warns us of the military industrial complex
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