Click here for August 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook.
These forecasts were prepared during the first two weeks of December 2005.
Forecast
Aug. 9-12:
A tropical system may get its act together over Cuba and the Bahamas. Tropical moisture from this system or elsewhere should be pulled up over the Florida Peninsula and the Carolinas. Severe storms will develop over the Ohio Valley as well. Another hot spot for hurricane development is shown off the eastern coast of Mexico in the western Gulf around 96 West Longitude and 22 North Latitude.
Results
A tropical system may get its act together over Cuba and the Bahamas. Tropical moisture from this system or elsewhere should be pulled up over the Florida Peninsula nad the Carolinas.
South Florida rain
9:25 a.m. ET 8/9/2006
Senior Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
South
A tropical wave plus a weather system aloft combined to dump pockets of heavy rain on parts of southern Florida on Tuesday (8th) and more rain is likely into Wednesday (9th). Look for some localized flooding, especially on streets.
Tropical wave eyes Florida
5:55 a.m. ET 8/9/06
Matthew Newman, Sr. Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
A tropical wave over the Bahamas is interacting with an upper low near southern Florida may produce pockets of heavy rain for southern Florida.
August 11, 2006- The Weather Channel
One area to watch however will be off the eastern Carolinas where a front is expected to stall. While unlikely, stalled fronts in these areas can sometimes generate areas of low pressure.
Severe storms will develop over the Ohio Valley as well.
August 10, 2006- Accuweather
Before the drier air pushes into the Ohio Valley, a strong disturbance moving through the Plains and western Midwest states will spark another round of severe thunderstorms across these areas today…By Saturday (12th), the Ohio Valley will be rid of the storms…
Another Hurricane Hot Spot is shown off the eastern coast of Mexico in the western Gulf around 96 West Longitude and 22 North Latitude.
August 11, 2006- NWS
...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS IN THE W GULF NEAR 25N95W COVERING
THE AREA W OF 86W…
August 11, 2006- Mexican Weather Bureau
Vaguada en el Golfo de México
Del 11 al 16 de agosto
El sistema se encuentra en el Norte del Golfo de México, avanzará hacia el Oeste y se espera que alcance la costa de Tamaulipas a partir del día 11. Entrará a tierra el día 12, originando una amplia zona de inestabilidad, misma que estará asociada a tiempo severo en el Noreste de México.
A rough translation of the above states that a low pressure system in the northern Gulf of Mexico will move toward the West affecting the coast of Tamaulipas on the 11th. The low pressure system will then be over land on the 12th bringing an unstable air mass, which will be associated with severe weather in the northeast of Mexico.
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