Saturday, May 26, 2007

Spring Out West Final Results

On March 20th of this year, The Weather Alternative issued a series of long-range weather forecasts entitled Spring Out West consisting of four forecasts. The forecasts were based on the position of the planet Mercury at the time of the Spring Equinox. As stated in that post, "the official start of each season provides information on the weather patterns that will affect a given area. This information enables astro-meteorologists to make long-range weather predictions weeks, months, and years in advance."

The planet Mercury is equated with windy and cooler conditions. As each forecast period arrives, I post the results of those forecasts using information from the National Weather Service, The Weather Channel, and Accuweather. Following is an overview of the accuracy of those forecasts, but first, here are the results of the last forecast for May 22-24, 2007.

The last forecast called for unsettled and windy conditions over the western States. (Bold is mine)

May 21- The Weather Channel

West
Scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and high mountain snows will dominate areas from the Great Basin eastward tomorrow(22nd)...Busy winds will whip over the higher elevations of the Southwest.

May 21- National Weather Service

PENDLETON OR

A STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT COUPLED WITH A NORTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY.

...STRONG PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BRING STRONG WINDS TO EAST IDAHO TODAY...

May 23- National Weather Service

LAS VEGAS NV

GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

LOS ANGELES CA

STRONG OFFSHORE GRADIENT TRENDS THIS MORNING BROUGHT NORTHEAST WINDS TO THE VTU/LA COUNTY MOUNTAINS,ANTELOPE VALLEY, AND SANTA CLARITA VALLEY TODAY.

May 24- National Weather Service

A CANADIAN WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL ENTER WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN IDAHO TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE MOUNTAINS...AND LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE OFTHE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

The first forecast in the series was for April 8-10 calling for windy conditions. These arrived on schedule as posted in the Forecasts Results.

The second forecast for April 12-14 called for a southerly airflow with the likelihood of precipitation. These conditions were also verified. (See Forecast Results)

The May 11-13 forecast called for stormy and windy conditions for the West Coast States. These were also verified in the Forecast Results.

All in all the long-range forecast series seems to back the aforementioned astrological belief regarding the planet Mercury's influence on weather systems.

In closing, here's a quote from Johannes Kepler the 17th century astronomer and astrologer, who not only discovered the planetary laws of motion but was also an astro-meteorologist.



The diversity of the phenomena of nature is so great, and the treasures hidden in the heavens so rich, precisely in order that the human mind shall never be lacking in fresh nourishment.

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