Monday, November 05, 2012

Testing Astrometeorology Part 2


In Testing Astrometeorology Part 1, I looked at the effect that Sun-Saturn oppositions are reported to have on weather systems. In this test of astrometeorology, I want to see if the system of long-range weather forecasting based on planetary cycles that has been handed down to us over the centuries is reliable. There are basically three components that make up the system. When taken together, they should provide us with the following information: what kind of weather we should expect, when we should expect it, and where we should expect it.

The “what” is determined by the natures of the planets involved. In the case of the Sun-Saturn opposition, tradition tells us cold, stormy periods delivering rain, snow, hail, etc., depending on the season in question, are to be expected. The “when” is shown by the dates on which the aspect takes place. This can be found by consulting an ephemeris that lists the date and time of planetary aspects. The “where” can be determined by erecting key astrological charts that show where the planets in question fall across the earth’s surface. In Part 1, I used the Cardinal Solar Ingress chart for this purpose since this is the main chart for the season in question.

In this post, I’ll look at some Sun-Saturn conjunctions using the same criteria. Let’s see if the what, when, and where can be reliably determined by this method. If so, then astrometeorology should be a dependable tool for making long-range weather forecasts since we can know when and where these aspects will take place months and years before they do.

According to G. J. McCormack, the 20th Century’s most able long-range weather forecaster, the Sun-Saturn conjunction is similar in effect to the Sun-Saturn opposition. In all seasons, McCormack states that the conjunction brings low pressure areas with heavy precipitation, cold, and easterly winds. The one exception McCormack mentions is Saturn’s transit through the zodiacal sign Leo, which brings hot weather since Saturn “concentrates the influence of the sign in which it may be posited at any time.” Since Leo is a hot, dry sign, Saturn here brings hot, dry weather. Then, when the Sun conjoins Saturn in Leo, the heat wave is broken. Let’s look at some recent Sun-Saturn conjunctions and see how they fair.
June 24, 2003

As seen below, the Solar Ingress map for the summer of 2003 placed the Sun-Saturn conjunction over 104 west longitude. We should expect to see its effects over the Rockies and Plains.


June 24, 2003

The Weather Channel map below is for June 24, 2003. We can see a low pressure system over the exact area mentioned above with rain affecting the Rockies and a stationary front across the Northern Plains.

June 24 of 2003
On the 23rd, The Weather Channel reported “Scattered severe storms and isolated tornadoes will do a substantial amount of saber rattling from southeastern Wyoming into the Upper Midwest, especially across eastern South Dakota, much of Nebraska, southern Minnesota and northern Iowa. Locally heavy downpours will deluge pretty much the same areas, too, especially during the overnight hours both tonight and tomorrow as scattered storms cluster into unruly gangs.”


The Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin for the week of June 22-28, 2003 reported that cool weather in Montana, the Dakotas, and western Nebraska was a much as 10 degrees below normal. Widespread beneficial precipitation accompanied the lower temperatures in Wyoming and northern Utah. Between the 22nd and 25th, severe storms and more than 75 tornadoes erupted across the Plains and upper Midwest.
July 23, 2005

The Sun-Saturn conjunction took place over 68 west longitude which runs through eastern Maine.

July 23, 2005
The conjunction took place in Leo. As mentioned above, Saturn in this sign can bring heat. Saturn entered Leo on the 16th of July and the National Weather Service began issuing excessive heat watches for Delaware and Washington D.C. on the 17th. Heat continued to plague the Northeast and New England. The Sun-Saturn conjunction took place on the 23rd. Shortly thereafter, on the 26th the heat wave was broken. The Weather Channel reported that “after an extended period of hot and humid conditions, residents of the Northeast will finally get a break as a significant cold front slides through the region.”

July 23 of 2005
August 7, 2006

Aug 7, 2006
Saturn was also in Leo during this period. The first week of August brought record heat to the Northeast. The Sun’s conjunction with Saturn on the 7th broke the heat wave. Accuweather headlines for the 7th read “Cold Front Takes Aim on the Northeast” The front brought locally strong to severe storms. The following Weather Channel map for the 8th shows the cold front.

Aug 08 of 2006
September 3, 2008

Here we find the Sun-Saturn conjunction over 106 west longitude.

Sept 3, 2008
Temperatures were 5 to 20 degrees below average in Montana, Wyoming, eastern Idaho, northern Utah, and Colorado according to the Weather Channel’s September 4th report.

September 17, 2009

This next example is more than a Sun-Saturn conjunction and as such really does not fit in this series. At this time Saturn was in exact opposition to Uranus. So the Sun came along and conjoined Saturn as well as opposed Uranus. They were over the Mississippi Valley. This was a longer lasting influence due to the slower moving planets which lasted from the 17th through the 26th.

Sept 17, 2009
During this period a pesky, slow-moving low pressure area drenched the Southeast as can be seen in the Weather Channel map for the 17th. As much as 4 to 8 inches of rain fell from northeastern Texas to the central Appalachians. Between the 20th and 26th, severe flooding affected a broad area around northern Georgia. Four inches of rain fell for a second week from northern and central Mississippi eastward into the southern Appalachians.

Sept 17 of 2009

October 13, 2011

The Sun-Saturn conjunction appears over 119 west longitude.

Oct 13, 2011
Blazing heat baked the entire Southwest U.S. at this time. What stands out is Saturn’s association with an east wind. In this area of the country, an east wind does not import any moisture because it comes from the interior, dry desert areas of the Great Basin etc. At this time the normal onshore flow that keeps this area cool was replaced by an offshore flow or east wind bringing high heat.

Conclusion
By and large, the Sun-Saturn conjunction appears to live up to its reputation as a breeder of cold weather, low pressure areas, heavy precipitation, and east wind. Only in the last example was there no precipitation, but considering the time of year, and the geographical location, we can understand why. An east wind over New England blows off the sea and often brings a “backdoor cold front” with plenty of moisture. An east wind, however, over the desert Southwest has access to hot, dry air from desert regions.

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5 comments:

Carolyn Egan said...

Excellent research Ken. You are to be commended on your well thought out and written article. We need more of this kind of authentic correlation. From weathersage, Carolyn Egan

Anonymous said...

Ken,
On June 24, 2003, the sub saturn conjunction occurred at about 2 degrees Cancer.
How did you determine that the lconjunction was at 104 west longitude?

The Weather Alternative said...

The conjunction of the Sun and Saturn on June 24, 2003 is being viewed from the chart for the previous solar ingress into Cancer. So if you set up a chart for the solar ingress (June 21, 2003, 2:10:28 pm CDT) you'll find the conjunction taking place over 104 west longitude. These solar ingress charts are important charts for the beginning of each season and all aspects should be referred to these charts when trying to determine where planetary influences on the weather will manifest.

Shirley Miller said...

One word, Ken: EUREEKA !
Sue Miller

Shirley Miller said...

One word, Ken: EUREEKA!
Sue Miller