Sunday, November 03, 2013

Dangerous Weather Pattern Results

The October 1, 2013 post Dangerous Weather Pattern October 30-November 3, 2013 warning of a severe weather pattern to affect the Plains and Mississippi Valley materialized on schedule fulfilling the long-range forecast issued thirty days in advance.

Here are some of the details:

Forecast
The forecast related that the storm system would likely start over the West Coast states, transfer its energy eastward, and crank up over the Plains.

Results
The Weather Channel reported on Tuesday, October 29th that "The cold front from the Rockies winter storm charges eastward Wednesday (30th) increasing the threat of severe thunderstorms in western and central Oklahoma and central Texas."

Forecast
The forecast then mentioned that serious activity starts around October 30th when a major storm system would affect the Central Plains with severe weather warnings as far south as Texas. The severe weather system would then continue through the Mississippi Valley.

Results
Accuweather reported that on Wednesday, October 30th, "Thunderstorms produced wind gusts over 60 mph in southwestern Oklahoma Wednesday night and extreme downpours caused flash flooding across central Texas into the early morning hours Thursday." Below is the Weather Channel map for October 30th.

Oct 30

According to the Weather Channel, 1 to 3 inches of rain was expected from Missouri to Michigan with isolated amounts of 4 to 5 inches in some areas. Sustained winds of 15 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph were expected over the Great Lakes. The lower Mississippi Valley was also under a severe weather threat best shown by the following Accuweather map for October 31st.
31 Halloween

Shortly I will post some long-range weather forecasts for the U.S. Northeast winter.

Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse
Long-range effects of the May 20, 2012 Solar Eclipse Part 2
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Overview of UK Winter 2012-13
The Winters of 2011-14
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative


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