Monday, October 19, 2009

Recent Forecast Results for October 2009

Here are the results of three recent long-range weather forecasts posted here on The Weather Alternative. The first forecast, posted on June 16, 2009 was for possible tropical storm formation in the western Atlantic (around 52 west longitude and 15 north latitude) between Oct. 11-14, 2009.

On Oct 13, the National Weather Service reported the following:

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 14N 4W TO 8N 6W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT....AS THE WAVE CURRENTLY INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N 5W...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 52W-59W.



The next forecast was for October 14-17. The conjunction of Mars to the July 21, 2009 solar eclipse degree was forecast to generate storms over the Rockies. As can be seen from the Weather Channel map at left for Oct 16, no storms resulted. High pressure brought warm and dry air to the region. Why I thought storms, I can't figure out. Mars is historically the author or hot and dry conditions, which was exactly what was experienced.




The last forecast was for Oct 16-17, 2009, which was to bring a low pressure area to eastern Texas. The Weather Channel map at right for October 15th, shows a low pressure system over Texas and a front over eastern Texas, which hit a day earlier than anticipated.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
A Few More Forecasts for October 2009
October 2009 Severe Weather Outlook for Eastern Texas


"To one who has faith, no explanation is necessary. To one without faith, no explanation is possible."--Thomas Aquinas (1224-1274), philosopher and theologian

Just for Fun

Four Catholic men and a Catholic woman were having coffee. The first Catholic man tells his friends, "My son is a priest. When he walks into a room, everyone calls him 'Father'."
The second Catholic man chirps, "My son is a Bishop. When he walks into a room people call him 'Your Grace'."

The third Catholic gent say s, "My son is a Cardinal. When he enters a room everyone says 'Your Eminence'."

The fourth Catholic man chirps, "My son is the Pope. When he walks into a room people call him 'Your Holiness'."

Since the lone Catholic woman was sipping her coffee in silence, the four men give her a subtle, "Well....?" She replies, "I have a daughter. She is slim, tall and 38D-24-36. When she walks into a room, people say, 'Oh My God'."

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