Danny's Track and Other Forecast Results

Astrometeorological indications showed that Danny would have a close encounter with the New England area due to configurations in the Full Moon chart of August 5, 2009. (See post)



Accuweather reported today that While Danny was downgraded to a tropical rainstorm early Saturday morning, he still delivered a blow to eastern New England. Torrential downpours and flash flooding were the primary impacts as 2-4 inches of rain deluged places from southeast Massachusetts through eastern Maine. A few locations had even more than 5 inches of rain. Gusty winds added to the miserable weather, and gusts of 40-60 mph were recorded in Cape Cod and the islands of Massachusetts.



In a previous post, I mentioned the possibility of tropical storm development about 240 miles south of Hispaniola (70 west /15 north) between August 21-26. The National Weather Service reported a tropical wave over this area on August 23rd and 24th.



On the 24th they reported A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W TO THE SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15 TO 20 KT. DISORGANIZED ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W.



My post of June 8, 2009, warned of possible tropical storm development between August 22-24 in the intertropical convergence zone along longitude 128 west. Tropical Storm Ignacio was centered at at 124 west and 21 north on the 26th of August and at 126 west and 24 north on the 27th--a few days too late and too a bit further north and west to be called a "hit."

The June 8th post also contained a long-range forecast for August 23-26. This forecast warned of possible tropical trouble in the Gulf as well as severe storms for the Midwest.

No tropical development occurred in the Gulf but 23rd through the 25th brought a dose of strong thunderstorms across the Midwest and Plains. The main threats were damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain.

Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Success and Failure

I don’t measure a man’s
success by how high he
climbs, but how high he
bounces when he hits
bottom.
—General George Patton (1885–1945)

A failure means you put
forth some effort. That’s
good. Failure gives you
an opportunity to learn a
better way to do it. That’s
positive. A failure teaches
you something and adds
to your experience. That’s
very helpful. Failure is an
event, never a person; an
attitude, not an outcome; a
temporary inconvenience;
a stepping stone. Our
response to it determines
just how helpful it can be.
—Zig Ziglar (b. 1926)

Even a mistake may turn
out to be the one thing
necessary to a worthwhile
achievement.
—Henry Ford (1863–1947)

TS Danny Comin' At Ya!

Taking a quick look at some of the key charts used in astrometeorological forecasts we find that the Full Moon of August 5, 2009 may provide some information as to where Tropical Storm Danny is headed.

The lunation chart placed a crossing of planetary lines, shown at left, over New England. These two lines tell us that at the time of the Full Moon, Mercury and Mars set up an important influence over that area.

These will be spurred into action on the 27th just a few days before Danny moves near. This is one indication that the New England area might sustain a direct hit or a close brush with Danny. Of course, it could mean some other type of severe weather affects the area. Conventional meteorologists, however, seem to think that Danny will move closer to the East Coast than Bill did, and I'm thinking they may be right.


Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


It's what you do when you have nothing to do that reveals what you are.

Bill's Track and Update on Recent Forecasts

Hurricane Bill's track has pretty much followed the track that I pointed out in a recent post entitled Where Are the Atlantic Storms Headed?


This track took it north toward Nova Scotia but not close enough to the U.S. East Coast to be much of a problem.

Here is my crude little hand-drawn map showing the track headed toward Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. I did expect Bill to come closer to the Lesser Antilles then it did.

Recent Forecasts


A recent Weather Alternative post from July 31st entitled Atlantic Hurricane and Southern Texas Rain made a number of forecasts regarding upcoming hurricane activity in the Atlantic and Pacific Basins as well as forecasts regarding rain for southern Texas. Here's how the forecasts have shaped up.






I expected the Atlantic hurricane season to really get kick in between August 17-19. Things really started to get underway on the 15th with the formation of Tropical Storms Ana and Bill--a bit earlier and further west than I forecast.


Another area I expected to experience strong storms was the Arizona-New Mexico region around the same dates. There have been no storms, just high heat and wildfires further west.


From the 19th to the 21st I forecast rain for southern Texas. The only thing the atmosphere delivered at this time was isolated showers along the southern Texas coast on the 18th and 19th. I did mention that there was a chance of of things staying hot and dry with the planetary pair involved, but I was hoping for the needed rain.

In re-studying key charts that might be involved in producing this extreme drought, I've come across what I think may be the culprit. The Solar Eclipse of Sept 11, 2007 places Mars, the author of heat and dryness, over this area of the country. I'm beginning to see that as long as this chart is active, or until another key chart replaces this one as occasionally happens (see Beneficial Rain for Texas), we might not see much drought relief. When this might happen is a project I'll be working on.

The last of the forecasts in the above mentioned post concerned the possible formation of a tropical system off the coast of Mexico around 102 west longitude and 15 north latitude between August 19th and 21st. The satellite image at left for today the 21st shows a tropical wave over the forecast area. It's the red, orange, and yellow glob at the lower left of the image.

Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Where is Hurricane Bill Headed?

Motives

How our smallest efforts are magnified when the motives behind them are unselfish!--Francis Gay

Southeast Soaker and Where are the Atlantic Storms Headed?

The Weather Alternative's long-range weather forecast for August 14th and 15th was posted on July 20th. Planetary alignments between Mercury, Venus, and Saturn were cited as the astrometeorological factors behind a storm system (possibly tropical in nature) that would affect the East Coast States of North Carolina, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Locally drenching rains moved into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic on Thursday the 13th of August.


Thunderstorms dumped 2.72 inches of rain on Norfolk closing sections of Interstate 264. Flooding also occurred in Millville, N.J., Andover, N.Y., and Bridgeton, N.J.

As mentioned in the forecast, a special concentration of planetary influence was to take place over North Carolina, Maryland, and Delaware. The Accuweather map at right shows a stalled front over the Southeast U.S. on the 14th. This front sparked another round of soaking showers and thunderstorms along the Middle Atlantic, Southeast, and Gulf Coasts. The storms brought torrential downpours and flash flooding. Storms over the eastern Carolinas were expected to be particularly heavy.

Meanwhile the tropical Atlantic has sprung to life and now boasts two tropical systems, Ana and Bill, with others expected to form soon off the coast of Africa. In a recent post, I mentioned the possibility of the Atlantic hurricane season getting underway around August 17th especially around 27 west longitude and 18 north latitude in the eastern Atlantic. Things have started a few days earlier but my guess is that even more powerful storms will form in this area around these dates.

Here are some observations of where some of these tropical systems might be headed. Between the 21st and 26th of August some very nasty planetary alignments take place. These frequently have coincided with hurricane or tropical storm systems. These aspects are Mercury opposition Uranus, Mercury square Mars, Mercury square Pluto, and Mars opposition Pluto. The map at right shows where the majority of these aspects play themselves out in certain key charts. The basic idea being that around the 21st the Lesser Antilles are in for some tropical storm or hurricane activity. This would probably coincide with Bill's passage at this time. The rest of the aspects between Mercury, Mars, and Pluto affect the area north of the islands up toward Nova Scotia. Perhaps Bill, or some other tropical system, will then head northward from there.

Another place that might show signs of tropical storm development or where a tropical system may pass through is about 240 miles south of Hispaniola around 70 west longitude and 15 north latitude.

A previous post entitled Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009 also contains other forecasts for both the Atlantic and Pacific during the period between August 22-26. The central Gulf is highlighted for possible tropical storm or hurricane activity then.

Atlantic Hurricane and Southern Texas Rain
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
August 10-15, 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Charity
With malice toward none, with charity for all. --Abraham Lincoln

Charity should begin at home, but should not stay there. --Phillip Brooks

The best thing to give to your enemy is forgiveness; to an opponent, tolerance; to a friend, your heart; to your child, a good example...to all men, charity. --Francis Maitland Balfour

Recent Severe Weather Fulfills Long-range Forecast

The recent severe weather sustained over the Central and Northeast U.S. fulfilled The Weather Alternative's long-range forecast for August 10-12, 2009. The forecast, posted on July 20th, cited the Mars-Saturn square as a severe weather breeder for the area in and around Kansas, Nebraska, and Missouri. Pennsylvania and West Virgina were also pinpointed for strong storms.



The outbreak began as early as the 9th. Accuweather reported the following: Lycoming Co., Pa., was one place that was hit hard by the severe weather. The thunderstorms downed large trees throughout the county. These trees caused additional destruction by landing on numerous homes and cars. Trees littering Route 44 forced officials to close the road.

They also warned that Monday, the 10th of August, would bring more of the same: Places from upstate New York, northern Pennsylvania and portions of New England all the way to Kansas could be dealing with locally violent storms, especially during the afternoon and evening on Monday.

These are the exact locations (Pennsylvania and Kansas) that were mentioned in the long-range forecast.

The area of concern into tonight (Aug 10th) stretches from the northern Texas Panhandle, eastern Colorado and much of Kansas Kansas to Southwest Ontario, New York State, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and southern New England. As a cold front and the associated upper level trough swing eastward Tuesday, the storms will focus from Tennessee and Arkansas to southern Maine, southward to much of Virginia.


The National Weather Service reported the following on August 10th:

SEVERE WEATHER STRUCK PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE LATE MORNING...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS WAS REPORTED FROM ONE STORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF ZURICH IN ROOKS COUNTY KANSAS AT 9 AM.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO NEAR MIDNIGHT...AND THEN SPENT A GOOD PART OF THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS OVER SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OCCURRED IN SOUTHERN CHASE COUNTY...WHERE AS MUCH AS 1.62 INCHES OF RAIN WAS REPORTED 5 MILES SOUTH OF ENDERS...THEY CAUSED WINDS TO GUST AS HIGH AS 47 MPH IN THE NORTH PLATTE AREA JUST BEFORE 7 AM CDT.

Atlantic Hurricane and Southern Texas Rain
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
August 10-15, 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Black Bart
A dropped handkerchief: a surprising end to the career of California's most colorful stage-coach robber. "Black Bart" had terrorized stages for six years, committing twenty-eight robberies between 1877 and 1883 in the rugged foothills of the Sierras. Dressed in a long linen duster with a flour sack over his head, he would brandish a shotgun while demanding, "Will you please throw down your treasure box, sir?"

Finally, near Copperopolis, Bart was wounded while escaping a holdup and dropped a handkerchief with the laundry mark "FX07." This was traced to San Francisco, where police made one of the most surprising arrests in the city's history. "Black Bart," the highwayman, turned out to be Charles E. Bolton, one of San Francisco's leading citizens with close connections in the police department.

Bolton had a reputation as a non-smoking, non-drinking, God-fearing man with big business interest in the gold mines. Amid much publicity he confessed his crime and was sentenced to six years in San Quentin for his deception.

August 6-9, 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative post of June 8th made note of the fact that Mars would trigger the Solar Eclipse degree of September 11, 2007. In astrometeorology, solar eclipses are sensitive to the hard aspects of the outer planets for about a 3 year period. The forecast mentioned a sensitive spot about 170 miles south of Guadalajara, Mexico where a tropical system may form. This is roughly 103 west longitude and 18 north latitude.

The weather map above from the Mexican Weather Service shows tropical wave #20 over this area on August 9th. (labeled OT No. 20) Their meteorologists reported on Aug 8th Onda tropical No. 20 A lo largo de 100°W y al Sur de 20°N, sobre el Centro y Sur de México, favorecerá fuerte actividad convectiva, con nublados densos y lluvias acompañadas de actividad eléctrica. (Tropical Wave # 10 along 100 west and south of 20 north, over central and southern Mexico, will favor strong convective activity with thick clouds and rain accompanied by electrical activity)

The forecast also warned of a low pressure system or front affecting the Rockies. The Accuweather map at left for August 6th shows a potent storm system that brought a wide variety of adverse weather. Thunderstorms brought damaging winds, hail, and drenching rain to Idaho and Montana.

The Weather Channel map at right is for August 7th. Notice the two low pressure systems over the northern Rockies. The Weather Channel reported A vigorous upper-level disturbance moving from the Northwest into the northern Plains will pop more thunderstorms across the Great Basin, Rockies and northern high Plains today.
The thunderstorms could become severe again especially in Montana.
Gusty winds will keep the fire danger high across the Four Corners Region.

Atlantic Hurricane and Southern Texas Rain
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
August 10-15, 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Success and Motive

Your success in life depends on your motive. There is an old fable about a dog that boasted of his ability as a runner. One day he chased a rabbit and failed to catch it. The other dogs ridiculed him on account of his previous boasting. His reply was, "You must remember that the rabbit was running for his life, while I was only running for my dinner." The incentive is all-important.

The Summer That Never Was

Accuweather has report that for residents of the Midwest and Northeast the month of July was strikingly cool. Cities like Chicago, Madison, and Cincinnati experienced their coolest July on record! Here are the stats: When record low temperatures and record low high temperatures are considered, more than 3,000 records were broken across the country, many of these were in the Midwest and Northeast. The reason? A storm system and the associated jet stream over Canada that continuously dipped farther south than usual.

The astrometeorological cause can be traced to the Cardinal Solar Ingress chart for the summer season. Above you'll see this chart set for Chicago. A few things will become apparent. The planet Uranus, associated with cold air masses is exactly on the Ascendant. This is the 9 o'clock position on the wheel where you see a blue symbol that is similar to the letter H. Let's go farther east to New York and view the chart from there.

Uranus is now far from the Ascendant, but another cold or cool weather maker is at work. My experience with long-range weather forecasting points to the fact that Pluto is associated with cooler weather patterns. At the time of the Carding Solar Ingress for the summer season, the Sun was forming an opposition to Pluto. You can see these in the sectors marked 3 and 9 in the above figure. The Sun occupies the 3rd sector and Pluto the 9th. These two sectors are important because they represent areas directly west of the place in question; in this case New York City. This is important since weather patterns in the mid-latitude areas of the globe travel from west to east.

Atlantic Hurricane and Southern Texas Rain

Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009

August 10-15, 2009

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

The Game of Love

Let the game of love occupy your mind and dictate your actions all the time. Remember, your game improves with practice. Never pass--always take that turn to show love and appreciation. Perform great feats of love when you can, but never underestimate the simple moves. You'll be surprised what the simple maneuvers will do. Simple little turns taken regularly and consistently add up the points!