These forecasts were calculated between November 16, 2005 and November 28, 2005.
July 4-6 Forecast: The extreme southern portions of Mexico in and around the states of Chiapas and Tabasco are in line for tropical activity.
Results
The Mexican Weather Bureau reported very strong storms over Chiapas and Tabasco with lightning, hail, and 2 to 3 inches of rain.
Forecast
Severe weather potential, which may indicate tropical storm or hurricane formation also exists over the Baja California.
Results
No tropical storm or hurricane formantion was reported over the Baja California. The Mexican Weather Bureau the following on July 5th:
Warm. Clear to partly cloudy. Moderate to strong rain with thunderstorm. Moderate west and northwest wind.
Forecast
In the Atlantic, the area east of the Lesser Antilles around 58 West Longitude and 16 North Latitude is a vulnerable area for hurricane formation.
Results
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL805 PM EDT THU JUL 06 2006
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 58W/59W S OF 12N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WEAK MID LEVEL SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG GUYANA/VENEZUELA BORDER PROBABLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE.
Forecast
Windy and stormy action will center over the western Great Lakes area, and then move eastward over the Mid-Atlantic region. A low pressure area over New England will lead to storms that may reach severe limits as it pushes toward the Canadian Maritimes.
Results
NATURE PROVIDES ITS OWN FIREWORKS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC
Posted: Tuesday, July 04, 2006 at 9:09 PM EDT
There will be some thunderstorms across the Mid-Atlantic this evening, some of which will be strong to severe…Storms will have the risk this afternoon and this evening of being severe, mainly from eastern Illinois into New England.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1110 PM EDT TUE JUL 4 2006
.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL TRACK INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT AND THEN LIFT NORTHEASTTOWARD LABRADOR ON WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL REMAIN IN EASTERN CANADA THROUGH THURSDAY.
July 6, 2006- The Weather Channel
Wednesday, a slow-moving cold front brought another deluge to the mid-Atlantic region. The steady downpours led to Flash Flood Warnings around the Washington, D.C., area. Already saturated after last week's heavy rain and flooding, the soil was unable to absorb Wednesday's rain. The combination of the heavy rain and strong wind uprooted trees from Long Island to Virginia.
Forecast
An active weather period continues throughout the West U.S. with severe weather likely over Oregon, Nevada, Utah, and Idaho.
Results
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
758 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006
...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
632 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006
...STRONG EAST WINDS THROUGH 8 PM ACROSS EASTERN BOX ELDER COUNTY...
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
623 PM PDT THU JUL 6 2006
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
July 6, 2006- The Weather Channel
West
The summer monsoon is in full swing across the Interior West and that means plenty of thunderstorms. Much of the action will be centered across parts of Utah, Colorado, New Mexico and Arizona again. Slow-moving thunderstorms are prone to cause localized flash flooding. Lightning strikes will remain a major fire threat, but localized downpours will bring beneficial rain to some areas.
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