Tuesday, July 11, 2006

July 6-10, 2006 Forecast Results

Click here for July 2006 Hurricane and Severe Weather Outlook.

These forecasts were calculated between November 16, 2005 and November 28, 2005.


July 6-9 Forecast:
Tropical storm or hurricane formation is likely now east of the Lesser Antilles.

Results


TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU JUL 06 2006

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 42W S OF 13N MOVING W 15-20 KT. BROAD
LOW/MID LEVEL SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP SHOWERS/TSTMS. COMPUTER MODELS
FORECAST THE WAVE TO AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE SATURDAY (8th) AND PUERTO RICO PROBABLY ON SUNDAY.

July 8-10 Forecast:
A broad area in the Gulf of Mexico stretching from the tip of the Yucatan through the central Gulf may be the focal point for tropical showers to develop into a more organized system.

Results

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 7 2006

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER YUCATAN TODAY AND SATURDAY. SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN HIGH AND TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SUN JUL 09 2006

GULF OF MEXICO...
DEEP LAYERED TROUGH OVER THE E US EXTENDS INTO THE GULF WITH
AXIS EXTENDING SW FROM N FLORIDA TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR
22N97W. ABUNDANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE GULF AND MEXICO SOUTH 20N...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

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