Monday, September 26, 2011

Baja Hurricane Results

The Weather Alternative's May 14th 2011 post offered five forecasts for Mexico's Baja Peninsula. I've been posting the results of these long-range weather forecasts as they come up. Here are the last two.


August 20-25, 2011
Conditions are now conducive for a low pressure system to form over the area as Venus triggers Mars and Neptune.


23 Pacific

The above National Weather Service map for August 23rd shows a large area of disturbed weather that extended west of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. The system had about a 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone but remained non-tropical.


September 7-10, 2011
Mercury once again enters the equation and brings the possibility of a low pressure area or tropical system over the Baja.


06 Pacific

This next map is for September 6th when a large area of disturbed weather developed about 275 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. No further development took place.

Tropical Storm Nate Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast!

Tropical Storm Lee Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

Hurricane Irene Closely Fulfills Long-range Forecast

New Weather Alternative Website

Tropical Storm Harvey Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Beatriz Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!

Hurricane Risk-Management

Hurricane Season 2011 Predictions

Overview of UK Winter 2012-13

The Winters of 2011-14

Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Excerpts from Tidal Dynamics by Fergus J. Wood

No comments: