The Storms of January 2010

The transportation, agricultural, and construction industries may benefit from the brief long-range weather forecasts that are presented here for January 2010. Of course anyone can benefit from a little advance knowledge of approaching weather patterns. This list of locations and dates for stormy periods is by no means comprehensive. Here’s wishing all my readers a Merry Christmas or Happy Holidays, and a Happy New Year.





New England

January 4-5, 2009
There is strong potential for a Nor’easter type storm to hit the New England area with cold, snow, and windy conditions.

East U.S.

January 13-16, 2009
A major winter storm is indicated for the Great Lakes area southward through the Ohio Valley and into the Southeast. High wind, snow, and falling temperatures assail the area. The storm then moves into the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast disrupting travel and causing power outages.


January 27-31
Another significant winter storm forms over the East Central States (Michigan southward to the Gulf Coast). By the 29th and 30th, storm warnings should be posted for New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware as the storm moves eastward into New England.

Mississippi Valley

January 10-12
A storm system or front affects the southern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley.

January 25-27
A strong low pressure area is shown over the central Mississippi Valley.

January 29-31
A strong storm system is indicated over the Mississippi Valley with an area of severe weather over Mississippi and Alabama around the 31st.



Plains

January 4-5
A storm system develops along the east side of the Rockies as moist air, drawn from the Gulf, collides with cooler air from the north. One scenario is that the storm system ejects into the Plains bringing cold and windy conditions behind the low. Or the cold and windy conditions may be the result of a front stretching from the central Plains to the western Great Lakes.

January 7-10
Warm, moist air begins to move northward over Texas and the southern Plains around the 7th bringing a chance of showers. By the 9th, the potential for storminess is heightened. Most of the activity may be over Texas.

January 26-27
Cold air invades the Plains out of Canada creating stormy conditions as a powerful cold front pushes westward.

Rockies

January 2-5
The arrival of warm, moisture-laden air over the Rockies on the 2nd and 3rd will battle with a cold Canadian air mass resulting in windy conditions or a storm center producing winds.

January 7
A sharp cold front pushes southward over the Rockies lowering temperatures.

January 10
A trough of low pressure digs into the southern Rockies.

January 21-22
A fresh push of cold air over the Rockies will react with its warm, moist counterpart resulting in a storm system.

January 24-25
Another period when contrary air masses clash over the Rockies resulting in showers.

West

January 13-16
Inclement weather will plague the Intermountain West as a strong front or low pressure area ushers in wind, rain, and snow.

January 21-24
Another batch of wind and rain heads toward the Pacific Northwest and into the Intermountain West.

January 26-31
An active weather pattern develops off the Pacific Northwest coast and hurls wind and rain in Washington, Oregon, and California. It appears that a number of fronts will ride through the area between these dates and push into the Intermountain West.



Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast


The Case Against the Case Against the Virgin Birth
By Jeremy Lott

Every year at about this time, readers can count on a few Christmas-themed articles appearing in newspapers and magazines that question the Virgin Birth of Jesus Christ. It really is something to see the wide variety of people who get worked up over this ancient Christian belief.
Read more...

More December 2009 Results and Coming Christmas Storm

In the comments section of the Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast Results post, I included a few forecasts for the West Coast. Here's an update on how they're playing out.

The forecast for Dec 13-16, indicated that there would be a rain event around Nevada and southern California. As can be seen from the Accuweather map at left for Dec 13, a low pressure area centered over Nevada was bringing rain, snow, and windy conditions to the area.


I expected similar weather for that area on the 15th and 16th. Things cleared up considerably, however, although by the 16th there was light rain and mountain snow reported in central California.

For the 15th and 16th, I called for a strong storm off the West Coast pushing its way into the Pacific Northwest. The Accuweather map for the 15th at left shows a storm system with soaking rains hitting the Pacific Northwest. Another storm system hit the area on the 16th as well.

Christmas Storm

My Christmas and New Year's forecast was posted on November 7, 2009 and called for a strong winter storm to hit the Mississippi Valley and East Central States between December 22-26. This potential storm is just now becoming apparent to conventional forecasters. Today Accuweather reports "Furthermore, there is a shot at a major winter storm affecting the Central part of the country next Wednesday and Thursday, shifting into the East just in time for Christmas." That would be the 23rd and 24th--the exact time and place pointed to in my long-range forecast. We'll see how this plays out.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

The Star of Bethlehem

Here's an interesting web site with great information on the Star of Bethlehem.

Some December 2009 Forecast Results

In the comments section of my last post, I made a few forecasts regarding California for December 2009. The first one was for a stormy California around December 7th.

The Weather Channel map at left is for the 7th and shows a powerhouse storm hitting the state. Accuweather reported "A huge storm plowing into south-central California today will bring heavy rain and heavy mountain snow with it. Behind the storm's cold front tonight, gusty winds will blast through Southern California into Arizona."

The next forecast called for a warm and dry influence over California between the 9th and 10th of December. The Weather Channel map at right is for December 9th. The state was dry and southern California was mild in the low 60s according to the Weather Channel. It wasn't much of a warm up, however, and on the 10th rain showers and mountain snow returned to California.

The next portion of the forecast is for the 13th through the 16th calling for a rain event for southern California and Nevada. As we speak, this is beginning to take place. I'll keep you posted.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

A Christmas Poem

When it's Christmas man is bigger
and is better in his part;
He is keener for the service
that is prompted by the heart.
All the petty thoughts and narrow
seem to vanish for a while,
And the true reward he's seeking
is the glory of a smile.
Then for others he is toiling
and somehow it seems to me
That at Christmas he is almost
what God wanted him to be.
-Edgar A. Guest

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative Thanksgiving Forecast 2009 was posted on October 30th. The forecast, based on planetary cycles, achieved a high degree of accuracy. Here are the results.

Forecast

West

Most charts coincide with a storm system moving through the Pacific Northwest into the Intermountain West on the 23rd and 24th. The coastal Pacific Northwest might get some pleasant weather on the 25th, but further inland over the Intermountain West the 26th and 27th looks stormy.


Results

A major storm entered the Pacific Northwest on the 22nd--a day before my forecast. Another weaker system moved in on the 24th bringing rain and some higher-elevation snow to the Pacific Northwest.

I foresaw pleasant weather on the 25th for the coastal Pacific NW. There was a break from the powerhouse storms on the 25h and high pressure over the Great Basin area but some rain and mountain snow still affected the coastal areas. A new front entered the Pacific Northwest on the 26th and moved inland to the Intermountain West on the 26th and 27th.

Forecast

Plains
The 23rd starts with moist air being drawn up over Texas and the southern and eastern Plains initiating storms. Cooler air is drawn southward at this time over the Rockies triggering storms along the Front Range area. Around the 24th, the southern Rockies area centering around New Mexico will have unsettled weather. More cooler Canadian air makes it way southward on the 25th and 26th over the Northern Plains and then meets with moist air creating storms over the Plains.

Results
On the 23rd, Accuweathr reported Farther west in the Southern Plains, a developing system will bring showers and thunderstorms to the Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley tonight and tomorrow. The above Weather Channel map for the 23rd also shows a low pressure system over the Front Range area with a cold front headed into New Mexico.

On the 25th, Accuweather reported that cold winds blasted the northern Plains.

Forecast

Mississippi Valley

The mid-Mississippi Valley area in and around Missouri shows a low pressure area or front bringing rain around the 24th. By the 25th and 26th this develops into more rainy weather for the Mississippi Valley.


Results

The above Weather Channel map for the 24th shows the predicted low pressure system over Missouri. This low continued to pester the northern Mississippi Valley area on the 25th and brought blustery conditions to the Mississippi Valley and western Great Lakes on the 26th.


Forecast

East
On the 23rd, a front is indicated running the length of the East Coast from Florida through New York generating showers. On the 24th, with more moisture being funneled up over Florida and the Southeast, storms are indicated over the area in and around North Carolina and Virginia. Fair conditions seem to make it into the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast by the 25th and 26th.


Results

Although there was no front running hte length of the East Coast from Florida to New York on the 23rd, the whole forecast area did experience showers on that day. An area of low pressure brought rain as it traveled from the Carolinas to New England. The tail end of a front also brought showers to the Florida Peninsula.

I predicted more rain for Florida and the area in and around North Carolina and Virginia on the 24th. The main rain event over the forecast area didn't happen until the 25th.

The Weather Channel map above for the 26th, shows the fair conditions making it into the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast. Notice the area is between two fronts.


Forecast

New England

The 26th and 27th are very stormy over the New England area. Indications of severe weather in the lunar eclipse chart of August 5, 2009 will be activated now. The last time these were triggered tropical rainstorm Danny gave a glancing blow to the New England area bringing winds gusting between 40-60 mph and flash flooding due to torrential rainfall that dropped between 2-5 inches of rain. Yikes!

Results

On the 26th a coastal storm over the Carolinas built up and hit New England on the 27th as predicted. I equated this storm to tropical rainstorm Danny since both storms had the same astro-meteorological cause based on the lunar eclipse of Aug 2009. The results were similar. On the 27th, New England had heavy rain and wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph. The storm ushered in cold and the windy conditions created power outages and downed trees.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast


Twinkles?
By Gina Bridgeman, Guideposts

One day when my daughter Maria and I were playing on the bed, she suddenly pointed to the fine lines beside my eyes.
"What are these?" she asked.
"Wrinkles," I said. I thought, Oh, great-now my two-year-old has to remind me I'm not getting any younger.
"Twinkles," she said, pleased with herself.
"No, wrin-" I stopped in mid-correction. "You know, that makes them sound like something good, Maria. Twinkles they are."
That night as I looked in the mirror, I realized that my twinkles do come from smiling and laughing, forming a kind of road map of the great joy with which God has blessed my life. From parents who filled our house with laughter and taught us not to take ourselves too seriously, and brothers who are still two of the funniest people I know, I learned the value of a laugh a day. If there's one gift God has given me in abundance, it's joy, and I have the twinkles to prove it.
I'm turning forty, and while I haven't been particularly excited about it, or about those subtle lines or my one pesky gray hair that returns each time I snip it off, I'm ready to look at it all in a new way. Mark Twain wrote, "Wrinkles should merely indicate where smiles have been." So rejoice in the twinkles! They're a sign to the world that God has given me a lot to smile and laugh about.
Joyful Creator, in Your grace continue to fill my life with laughter, joy and an abundance of twinkles.

Saint Patrick's Day 2010 Weather Forecast

Here’s the Saint Patrick’s Day 2010 long-range weather forecast for the central and eastern United States and for the United Kingdom.


Central and Eastern United States
March 13-17, 2010

Starting on the 13th, penetratingly cold air descends over the Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes area on gusty winds lowering temperatures and continuing southward easily reaching the central and eastern Gulf Coast States. Here are two ways this may play out:


Scenario 1:
The cold air is due to a high pressure system that dosen’t bring much precipitation with it but barrels down toward the Gulf Coast and also spreads eastward toward the Northeast U.S.
Scenario 2:
As often happens with cold air masses, it interacts with moisture already in place bringing significant precipitation and forms a low pressure system that results in a strong winter storm. The storm system then tracks toward the Northeast U.S.



In both scenarios, we could see lake-effect snows on the southern portions of the Great Lakes.

A chance of rain is indicated for New York City on the 17th for the 248th Saint Patrick’s Day Parade. At the same time the aforementioned weather system (in scenarios 1 and 2) from the central U.S. is moving eastward and due to hit NYC on the evening of the 17th although some models show it hitting earlier.


United Kingdom
March 13-17, 2010

A cold air mass works its way southward and eastward over the United Kingdom. Windy conditions and precipitation are likely.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Think About it...


While three-fifths of the World's population worries about hunger and survival, we anxiously wrestle with overweight and boredom. Every newspaper supplies increasing evidence that in terms of gross national product, comfort, and personal income, we are superior, yet, in personal relationships and inner peace, we are revealing that we do not know how to live. We are artists at having and failures at being.

Super Bowl Sunday 2010 Weather Forecast

Super Bowl Sunday will take place on February 7, 2010 at Miami's Dolphin Stadium. This de facto American holiday is the second largest U.S. food consumption day after Thanksgiving.


The city of Miami has often hosted the Super Bowl due to its agreeable February weather. The average daytime temperature in Miami at this time of year is 78 degrees with a nighttime average temperature reading of 61.

Conventional meteorology is extremely limited in its ability to forecast weather conditions beyond 3 or 4 days. Even with the help of the latest supercomputers, which can run about one trillion calculations every second, meteorologists can only expect this upgraded technology to slightly improve the accuracy of their 3-to-4-day forecasts. The idea of forecasting Miami's weather for Feb 7, 2010 on Nov 14, 2009 is not even remotely possible.

The ancient study of astro-meteorology, which considers planetary cycles as indicators of terrestrial weather patterns allows one to look far into the future. Since planetary positions can be known months and years in advance, and since a reliable body of knowledge of each planet's influence on our weather has been compiled and tested over thousands of years, an astro-meteorologist can look ahead and make a pretty accurate forecast. Of course, no forecast method, be it conventional or otherwise, can claim 100% accuracy but astro-meteorology offers the best possibility for long-range predictions as has been shown on this site.

In looking at the planetary line-up over Miami for February 7th, we find a conjunction of the planets Venus and Neptune. These planets when aligned are associated with southerly air flows and an increase in moisture. Under Venus-Neptune rainfall can be heavy, at times leading to flash flooding. The Moon will trigger this pair the day before. So it appears that starting on the 6th into the 7th there is a strong possibility of rain for the Miami area and Florida in general. Hopefully, it won't spoil too much of the fun but if you're headed that way, you might want to be prepared.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

Food for Thought

Instant gratification is no longer fast enough.

Adults are just children with better excuses.

Tropical Storm Phyan

Tropical Storm Phyan is produced heavy rain over portions of west India Monday and Tuesday. It will make landfall near Mumbai on Wednesday.





What is the astro-meteorological connection? The square aspect between Saturn and Pluto (exact on the 15th, but triggered by the Moon's aspects on the 12th).

The astro-locality map below for the 3rd Quarter Moon of Nov 9th shows a Saturn line passing through the very area. It's the yellow line running north to south through west India.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Christmas and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

The Dangers of Genetically Modified Organisims

Christmas Weather Forecast and New Year's Weather Forecast United States and Europe

The long-range weather forecasts presented here at The Weather Alternative are based on the ancient study of astro-meteorology or planetary cycles.

Here are some forecasts for the Christmas season and New Year's Eve in the United States and Europe.

United States

New England

Forecast
Dec 20, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 20-22: Somebody left the faucet on! Heavy rain is possible for New England as warm moist air is drawn up over the East Coast and New England.
Dec 25-27: Windy and cold weather is in store for the Northeast and New England. If enough moisture is in place, storms ensue.
Jan 1, 2010: Another blast of cold winds out of Canada for the Northeast and New England.

East Coast

Forecast
Dec 20, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 20-22: A front moves through to the East Coast. This has the potential to unleash heavy rainfall from the North Carolina coast through the Northeast.
Dec 25-27: Cold and windy over the Northeast.
Dec 31-Jan 1: Another front producing storms through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.



Mississippi Valley and East Central U.S.

Forecast
Dec 22, 2009 - Jan 1, 2010
Dec 22-23: A potent storm system begins to gear up over the Mississippi Valley as moisture from the Gulf interacts with cold air out of Canada.
Dec 24-26: A strong winter storm hits the East Central States from Michigan down through the Florida Panhandle. Expect major travel problems and airport delays. Special intensity is shown over the Southeast U.S. in and around Georgia and South Carolina.
Dec 28-31: The area stays stormy as another low pressure system or front pushes through the East Central area leading up to New Year’s Eve.

Rockies

Forecast
Dec 28-31
Warm, moist air filters up over the Rockies from south to north. This may result in foggy conditions but more importantly strong downpours are possible.

West Coast

Forecast
Dec 20-Jan 01
Dec 20-22: An energetic front enters the U.S. West Coast bringing a good amount of precipitation.
Dec 24: A warm up over the Pacific NW.
Jan 1: A cold front out of British Columbia begins to enter the Pacific Northwest.

Europe

Forecast
Dec 22-23: On the 22nd and 23rd, a cold, dry air mass descends over the United Kingdom and begins to interact with a moist, low pressure area just north of Ireland driving clouds and precipitation over the British Isles.
Dec 24-25: By the 24th and 25th a strong front or storm system is battering France, Germany, and the surrounding areas.
Dec 26: From the 26th on, cold, windy conditions set in over the British Isles, southward into France.
Dec 27-29: A series of fronts or a lingering low pressure area continues to keep the region in and around France and Germany under stormy conditions. Heavy precipitation is shown for the British Isles.



Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

Action is Everything

If learning about success was all that it took to do great things with your life, then your success would be guaranteed. The bookstores are full of self-help books, each one of them loaded with ideas that you can use to be more successful. The fact is, however, that all the best advice in the world will only help you if you can motivate yourself to take persistent, continuous action in the direction of your goals until you succeed. --Brian Tracy

Nor'easter and Oct-Nov 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative forecast for Nov 5-7 is being fulfilled by the developing Nor'easter over New England. Today's Accuweather article "Cold Winds to Grip Northeast" explains how a storm will intensify as it moves off the New England coast tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday (Nov 5-6). Temps will feel like they're in the teens due to strong northerly winds on the back side of the storm. Some areas of the Northeast will have an early season snowfall.


The Weather Alternative forecast for this time period was posted on June 16, 2009 and stated Mars conjoins the solar eclipse degree over the Northeast U.S. Expect storms through the area. This may also affect the Windward Islands, which may see some tropical activity.

As far as tropical activity affecting the Windward Islands, the National Weather Service today reported that two small low pressure systems are centered north of the Leeward Islands.

Another long-range forecast for October 30-Nov 2, 2009 mentioned to watch for possible tropical storm formation in the western Atlantic around 52 west longitude and 15 north latitude.

On October 29th, the National Weather Service reported a tropical wave along 55 west to the south of 16 north was bringing strong showers and thunderstorms to the area.

On November 2nd, they reported another tropical wave along 55 west.

Another forecast for October 29-Nov 2, 2009 called for a storm system over the U.S. Intermountain West and possible tropical storm activity 540 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas.

No tropical storm activity was reported, but on October 29th, a storm system hit the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia. Rain hit Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. About 1-3 inches of snow covered the northern Rockies.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast


The Future Belongs to the Risk Takers

The future belongs to the risk takers, not the security seekers. Life is perverse in the sense that the more you seek security, the less of it you have. But the more you seek opportunity, the more likely it is that you will achieve the security that you desire. --Brian Tracy

Thanksgiving 2009 Forecast

The Weather Alternative long-range weather forecast based on planetary cycles for November 23-27, 2009.


West U.S.

Forecast
Most charts coincide with a storm system moving through the Pacific Northwest into the Intermountain West on the 23rd and 24th. The coastal Pacific Northwest might get some pleasant weather on the 25th, but further inland over the Intermountain West the 26th and 27th looks stormy.

Plains

Forecast
The 23rd starts with moist air being drawn up over Texas and the southern and eastern Plains initiating storms. Cooler air is drawn southward at this time over the Rockies triggering storms along the Front Range area. Around the 24th, the southern Rockies area centering around New Mexico will have unsettled weather. More cooler Canadian air makes it way southward on the 25th and 26th over the Northern Plains and then meets with moist air creating storms over the Plains.

Mississippi Valley

Forecast
The mid-Mississippi Valley area in and around Missouri shows a low pressure area or front bringing rain around the 24th. By the 25th and 26th this develops into more rainy weather for the Mississippi Valley.
East U.S.

Forecast
On the 23rd, a front is indicated running the length of the East Coast from Florida through New York generating showers. On the 24th, with more moisture being funneled up over Florida and the Southeast, storms are indicated over the area in and around North Carolina and Virginia. Fair conditions seem to make it into the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast by the 25th and 26th.

New England

Forecast

The 26th and 27th are very stormy over the New England area. Indications of severe weather in the lunar eclipse chart of August 5, 2009 will be activated now. The last time these were triggered tropical rainstorm Danny gave a glancing blow to the New England area bringing winds gusting between 40-60 mph and flash flooding due to torrential rainfall that dropped between 2-5 inches of rain. Yikes!

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

Here's an interesting video clip on the polar bear photo used by Global Warming advocates. You know, the one with the polar bears floating on the ice.

More October 2009 Forecast Results

Here are the results of a number of long-range weather forecasts for various dates in October. The first was for October 21-24, 2009. The forecast was posted on June 16th of this year.

Forecast
October 21-24, 2009: The transit Sun will make it’s first square to the eclipse degree. The Rockies once again should see a front triggering storms or low pressure area.

Results
The Accuweather map above is for October 21st showing a low pressure system over the southern Rockies. Heavy snow buried the mountains of southern Colorado and northern New Mexico. Seventeen inches of snow fell near Cuchara, Colorado. Other portions of Colorado received between 4 to 15 inches.

Another Weather Alternative forecast posted back in June is the following:

Forecast

Oct 22-25, 2009: Saturn conjoins the solar eclipse along 88 west longitude, which is roughly the Mississippi Valley area. Since the Gulf of Mexico, and Central America are also affected, this should be a time of strong storms and possible hurricane activity there.

Results

The Weather Channel map (above right) is for October 22nd and shows a strong low pressure area and front affecting the Mississippi Valley. Accuweather reported the area was hit with drenching rain. Moisture from Hurricane Rick enhanced the torrential downpours.

The forecast also mentioned possible strong storms or hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico and Central America.

Nothing tropical developed in the Gulf but, as shown in the Accuweather Map at left for October 22nd, an area of low pressure formed in the southwestern Caribbean causing heavy rain and thunderstorms across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, and Honduras.

Another forecast for eastern Texas read as follows:

Forecast

Oct 23-24, 2009 ...the weather over eastern Texas at this time should include storms that generate strong winds be they from a tropical system, tornadoes, or severe thunderstorms etc.

Results

As shown in the Accuweather map for the 22nd (a day before my forecast) eastern Texas was getting flooding downpours. There were tornadoes and damaging wind gusts. (See below)

Accuweather, Oct 22nd: In only 3 hours, 4.29 inches of rain poured down and inundated Fannett, Texas, on Thursday. Arkadelphia, Ark., had 5 inches of rain. High floodwaters stranded motorists and kept firefighters busy with high water rescues. Water was up to windows of cars in Beaumont, Texas. Some communities located along swollen bodies of water had flooding. Many homes and businesses were flooded by up to a foot of water in Farmerville, La. Some of the storms became severe and produced damaging wind gusts on top of the heavy downpours. Tornadoes touched down in the Cameron and Jefferson Davis Parishes of Louisiana during the midday and afternoon hours.

This next forecast was posted in September.

Forecast

Oct 24-26, 2009 Moisture is drawn up over the Plains resulting in storms over the Dakotas and Nebraska.

Results

From Accuwether October 24:

The latest storm system will put a damper on some outdoor plans through Monday (Oct 26) as it spreads rain from the Dakotas and Nebraska to the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
The rain will mix with or change over to snow on the western fringe, including in places like Scottsbluff, Neb., Rapid City, S.D., and Bismarck, N.D., through Sunday. Several inches could accumulate in the Black Hills of South Dakota by Sunday.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

Is Obama Poised to Cede US Sovereignty? Check out these comments by Lord Christopher Monckton

Recent Forecast Results for October 2009

Here are the results of three recent long-range weather forecasts posted here on The Weather Alternative. The first forecast, posted on June 16, 2009 was for possible tropical storm formation in the western Atlantic (around 52 west longitude and 15 north latitude) between Oct. 11-14, 2009.

On Oct 13, the National Weather Service reported the following:

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 14N 4W TO 8N 6W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT....AS THE WAVE CURRENTLY INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N 5W...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 52W-59W.

The next forecast was for October 14-17. The conjunction of Mars to the July 21, 2009 solar eclipse degree was forecast to generate storms over the Rockies. As can be seen from the Weather Channel map at left for Oct 16, no storms resulted. High pressure brought warm and dry air to the region. Why I thought storms, I can't figure out. Mars is historically the author or hot and dry conditions, which was exactly what was experienced.

The last forecast was for Oct 16-17, 2009, which was to bring a low pressure area to eastern Texas. The Weather Channel map at right for October 15th, shows a low pressure system over Texas and a front over eastern Texas, which hit a day earlier than anticipated.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
A Few More Forecasts for October 2009
October 2009 Severe Weather Outlook for Eastern Texas


"To one who has faith, no explanation is necessary. To one without faith, no explanation is possible."--Thomas Aquinas (1224-1274), philosopher and theologian

Just for Fun

Four Catholic men and a Catholic woman were having coffee. The first Catholic man tells his friends, "My son is a priest. When he walks into a room, everyone calls him 'Father'."
The second Catholic man chirps, "My son is a Bishop. When he walks into a room people call him 'Your Grace'."

The third Catholic gent say s, "My son is a Cardinal. When he enters a room everyone says 'Your Eminence'."

The fourth Catholic man chirps, "My son is the Pope. When he walks into a room people call him 'Your Holiness'."

Since the lone Catholic woman was sipping her coffee in silence, the four men give her a subtle, "Well....?" She replies, "I have a daughter. She is slim, tall and 38D-24-36. When she walks into a room, people say, 'Oh My God'."

October 12-15, 2009 Forecast Results

The long-range astrometeorological forecast for October 12-15, 2009 was posted here on The Weather Alternative on June 16 of this year.



The first part of the forecast stated:


Solar Eclipse of March 18, 2007

October 12-15, 2009: The Venus-Saturn conjunction on the 13th will oppose the solar eclipse degree off the US West Coast at 129 west. Venus and Saturn are parallel on the 12th. The eclipse was square Pluto. This may bring a strong storm system into the US west coast and/or tropical activity along 128 west in the tropical regions.



No tropical activity was reported but on Tuesday, Oct. 13, a major storm system slammed into the U.S. West Coast unleashing torrential rainfall and producing tropical storm-force winds across California. Among the hindrances caused by the storm are mudslides and flooding, airport delays, and potential power outages.

In part, the storm is made up of the remnants of Typhoon Melor, which struck Japan late last week. Some locations along California's central coast have picked up 4 inches of rain. Many other places have had rainfall totals of 1.5 to 3 inches. The storm is one of the strongest to hit the area in decades.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

October 2009 Severe Weather Outlook for Eastern Texas

Got Flu Vaccine?

Flu vaccines revealed as the greatest quackery ever pushed in the history of medicine

October 10-12, 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative's long-range forecast for October 10-22, 2009 was posted 17 days beforehand. The forecast described a storm system pushing through the Plains and a low pressure system tracking to the south affecting eastern Texas and Oklahoma as it continued into the Mississippi Valley and the Southeast.

The low over eastern Texas and Oklahoma hit a day earlier (Oct 9th) than forecast. Thunderstorms over southeastern Texas were expected to turn severe. Three inches of rain were common across east Texas and Oklahoma.

Today, Oct 12, heavy rain is expected across the Southeast as Gulf moisture overrides a stalled frontal boundary.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
A Few More Forecasts for October 2009
October 2009 Severe Weather Outlook for Eastern Texas

Vaccine revolt! Swine flu vaccine support crumbles

October 3-5, 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for October 3-5, 2009 was posted on September 22nd.



The forecast read as follows:



Oct 3-5, 2009 Stormy conditions are shown for the northern Plains. A low pressure system, perhaps an Alberta Clipper, affects the Great Lakes area as it moves into the Northeast. Another low pressure system or front affects the Delmarva Peninsula.



The Accuweather map above is for Oct 5th and shows a low pressure system hitting the northern Plains. The storm system spread a cold, soaking rain over the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. Three to six inches of snow was expected as well over the Black Hills, Buffalo, S.D. , and Bowman and Dickinson, N.D.

The same forecast called for a low pressure system, perhaps and Alberta Clipper, to affect the Great Lakes area and Northeast. Another low or front was to affect the Delmarva Peninsula.

The Accuweather map at right is for Saturday, October 3rd. A low pressure system sits squarely over the Great Lakes area as it moves toward the Northeast. The rain extends down over the Delmarva Peninsula as well.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

October 2009 Severe Weather utlook for Eastern Texas

The Art of Praise
There is a very basic courtesy that should apply in all human relations--taking the time to thank people who help us. My friend Mike Somdal is a specialist at this. One reason he is so successful in business is that he has mastered the fine art of making people feel good by thanking them regularly. Often he will call customers simply to thank them again for the order they placed last week or for the recommendation they made to another customer, or for the lunch. Anything. And before the conversation is over, Mike has often secured another order. Of course, if he called simply with ulterior motives, his clients would recognize the manipulation and resist. But Mike has made gratitude a lifelong habit, and those of us who do business with him appreciate that quality. And we respond.

The art of praise--what is known as positive reinforcement in the current psychological jargon--is an essential art for an executive or teacher [or anyone dealing with people] to master. If there is a complaint employees most often express, it is this: "I never get any feedback from the boss--except when something goes wrong." And the teenagers who sit in my office tell me again and again, "My dad gets all over my case when I mess up at school, but when I bring home a good grade he acts as if it's nothing--that I'm finally doing what I should have been doing all along." Stop and think. How long has it been since you took a full 60 seconds to talk to your son or daughter about some fine thing they've just done? Or your secretary, or the managers who work under you?

When someone comes along who genuinely thanks us, we will follow that person a very long way.--Alan Loy McGinnis

October 2009 Severe Weather Outlook for Eastern Texas

The Full Moon of October 4th, 2009 sets up a sensitive planetary crossing over eastern Texas. Here we find the Sun, Moon, and Mars in angular positions. As explained many times on The Weather Alternative blog, when planets are in these angular positions they manifest their influence on the weather in and around that location.


There are three sets of dates when there will likely be a manifestation of severe weather over this area which includes eastern Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The first time period was brought out in a previous post. It read as follows:


Oct 10-12, 2009
A storm system pushes through the Plains. The low pressure system may track to the south affecting the area in and around eastern Texas and Oklahoma as it pushes into the Mississippi Valley and Southeast.


Oct 16-17, 2009
The planetary crossing is activated once again and should result in a low pressure system affecting the area.


Oct 23-24, 2009
This third time slot also coincides with another forecast posted earlier calling for tropical storm or hurricane formation in the central Gulf of Mexico between October 22-25. One possible scenario is that the severe weather indicated for the eastern Texas area is related to the Gulf of Mexico forecast. This could mean that if a storm forms in the Gulf it could head to the Louisiana, eastern Texas, Arkansas, and Oklahoma region. Of course, it could play out differently as sometimes the weather indicated by these different planetary alignments are not describing one event but separate events. In any case, the weather over eastern Texas at this time should include storms that generate strong winds be they from a tropical system, tornadoes, or severe thunderstorms etc.


Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

Change

Change is the wind catching you—the kite—and sending you soaring into the sky. My wind of change is always there, you just have to be in position for it, and charge into it with your whole heart. At first, change may not look like it’s helping, as it buffets and bounces you around, but as you face it head-on—accepting it wholeheartedly—it will lift you high.

I hold your kite strings, and I know just when to pull you forward into the winds of change and when to let them carry you along for a while. You just have to keep facing the wind and you’ll feel the thrill of riding high, even when there’s nothing visible to support you.

Close your eyes and feel the wind as I point you ever upward. It’s time to fly once more!

Sept 29-Oct 1, 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative forecast for Sept 29-Oct 1, 2009 stated:

Mercury turns direct on the 29th as it parallels Saturn. A cold front will come pushing out of Canada over the Great Lakes region heading southward over Michigan, Ohio towards the Southeast U.S. triggering storms on its way.

The Weather Channel map for Sept 29th at left shows a strong low pressure system over the Great Lakes kicking up some serious wind, and a cold front that has pushed all the way into the Southeast U.S. and Deep South fulfilling the above mentioned forecast.

Winds in Ohio, Minnesota, Michigan, and New York gusted to over 50 mph. The storm system over the Great Lakes generated hail and downed trees. Windswept rain also added to the miserable weather.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

Fathering helps self-esteem

A study by the British parenting research project Tomorrow's Men found that fathers who spend a few minutes each day one on one with their sons greatly increase their sons' chances of growing into confident adults.

Of the boys who said that their fathers spent time with them and took an active interest in their progress, more than 90 percent fell in the "can do" category, whereas 72 percent of the boys who said that their fathers rarely or never spent time with them fell into the group with the lowest levels of self-esteem and were also more likely to have emotional and behavioral problems.

More surprisingly, the study found little difference between the positive effects of good father/son relationships in two-parent homes and homes where the father was absent (as in divorce situations) but nevertheless took time with his son. Similar studies have found that in a father's absence, another father figure such as a stepfather, uncle, grandfather, teacher, or mentor, by assuming an active role, can have an equally positive effect.

Sept 23-26, 2009 Forecast Results

According to the long-range weather forecast posted on June 8, 2009, the Mercury-Uranus opposition of Sept 23rd, along with Jupiter's activation of the Feb 6, 2008 solar eclipse, was to trigger possible tropical storm development about 450 miles east of the Windward Islands between Sept 23rd and 26th. This area lies roughly between 52 and 60 west longitude around 17 north latitude.

The National Weather Service map at left for Sept 22nd shows a low pressure system over the forecast area.



On September 24th, the NWS reported:
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN MOVED TO 54W/55W TO THE SOUTH OF 19N...MOVING WEST 15 KT... IT IS POSSIBLE THAT STRONG ITCZ PRECIPITATION FROM9N TO 12N BETWEEN 52W AND 55W IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE WAVE.

Accuweather reported on Sept 25th:
Another tropical wave is along 58 west and south of 19 north and is moving west at 10-15 mph. Satellite shows most of the convection with this tropical wave south of 14 north. As it progresses westward, there will be an increase in showers and thunderstorms across the southern Windward Islands, but further development, if any, will be slow to occur.

Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

Education


An American woman living in India was having a simple electrical installation done by a native electrician. He troubled her so much for instructions that she at last said irritably, "You know what I want; just use your common sense & do it." The electrician salaamed politely & said, "Madam, common sense is a rare gift of God. I have only a technical education."

A Few More Forecasts for October 2009

Here are a few more long-range weather forecasts for October 2009. These forecasts are based on astrometeorology or planetary cycles.
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Forecasts
Sept 29-Oct 1, 2009
Mercury turns direct on the 29th as it parallels Saturn. A cold front will come pushing out of Canada over the Great Lakes region heading southward over Michigan, Ohio towards the Southeast U.S. triggering storms on its way.

Oct 3-5, 2009
Stormy conditions are shown for the northern Plains.
A low pressure system, perhaps an Alberta Clipper, affects the Great Lakes area as it moves into the Northeast.
Another low pressure system or front affects the DelMarVa Peninsula.


Oct 10-12, 2009
A storm system pushes through the Plains. The low pressure system may track to the south affecting the area in and around eastern Texas and Oklahoma as it pushes into the Mississippi Valley and Southeast.


Oct 24-26, 2009
Moisture is drawn up over the Plains resulting in storms over the Dakotas and Nebraska.

More October forecasts can be found here:
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009

Why Are Governments So Stupid?

Southern Flooding Forecast Results for Sept 11-18, 2009

It's time to look at the results of the September 11-18, 2009 forecast, which was posted on September 1st.

...the Gulf Coast area, roughly from New Orleans to the Florida Peninsula, will be under some very severe weather patterns. This was based on the Saturn-Uranus opposition, among other things. The forecast also stated there may be some tropical storm or hurricane development in the Gulf of Mexico. The strike zone could be from New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle.

During the beginning of the forecast period, conventional meteorologists thought that a low pressure system in the Gulf might develop into some sort of tropical system. Although this never happened lots of moisture from the Gulf has been pumped up over the very forecast area mentioned, and as of today is still being pulled up over the area--thus fulfilling the severe weather prediction for the area from New Orleans to the Florida Peninsula.

A whopping 5.92 inches of rain has soaked Pensacola, Florida, and flash flooding problems have followed torrential rain from Arkansas and Louisiana through Georgia. Multiple high water rescues were preformed in Birmingham, Alabama just to mention some of the recent troubles due to the excessive rain.

The next part of the forecast stated Central America also shows potential for severe weather; possibly a tropical storm or hurricane strike. No hurricanes were reported but on the 11th and 12th the National Weather Service announced that due to a tropical wave AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NICARAGUA... HAS ENHANCED A LARGE CLUSTER OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 81W-85W. The map at right shows the low over Central America on the 11th.

The next portion of the forecast was for the Northeast and New England. Here's the forecast: Staring on the 11th, weather conditions are building in intensity and seem to be at their strongest from the 15th through the 18th when storms bringing heavy rainfall are likely. A tropical system cannot be ruled out.

On the 11th, a coastal storm pounded the mid-Atlantic with flooding rain, gusty winds, rough surf, beach erosion and isolated tornadoes. The storm continued on the 12th and because it had tropical characteristics, Accuweather referred to it as The Unnamed Storm. The storm also affected the Northeast and southern New England with flooding rain. This was the main storm during the forecast period although I envisioned more intense storms to take place around the 15th through the 18th.

The last portion of the forecast had to do with Nova Scotia. From the 11th through the 18th, a build up of planetary influence points strongly to a severe weather pattern to affect the area or to the likelihood of a tropical system making landfall around the 17th and 18th.

On the 13th, the aforementioned Unnamed Storm passed by Nova Scotia. The Canadian Weather Service stated A low pressure system south of Nova Scotia will intensify as it tracks northeastward today and tonight. The low is forecast to track across Newfoundland Monday afternoon. Ahead of the low, southeast winds gusting to 100 km/hour...

The 18th (see map at left) brought a low pressure system and front to the area triggering showers.

September 11-18, 2009 Forecast for Eastern U.S. and Nova Scotia
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made


Good Science
Good science--good physics, good biology, good chemistry and good economics--depend upon the ability to predict. In other words, if a physicist correctly predicts the moment at which a projectile will strike its target, or a biologist correctly predicts the effect a change in temperature will have on a population of insects, then we can say that these scientists are using good science. On the other hand, if the predictions are wrong, then the science is flawed. --Richard Maybury

Sept 7-10, 2009 Forecast Results

The Weather Alternative long-range forecast for Sept 7-10 was based on the Solar Eclipse of March 29, 2006. Here's what the forecast called for:

Mars will trigger the solar eclipse of March 29, 2006. The Sun and Moon ascended through Nova Scotia and transit Mars will cut through the Windward Islands at this time. Severe weather, which may be tropical in nature, may afflict these areas now.

As can be seen from the Accuweather map above, the main action was a storm system along the U.S. East Coast. No storm system affected the Nova Scotia area as high pressure held on tight over eastern Canada.

As far as the Windward Islands go, the National Weather Service reported on September 8th that due to the approach of a tropical wave showers would increase in coverage across the Leeward Islands, which are just north of the Windwards.


September 11-18, 2009 Forecast for Eastern U.S. and Nova Scotia
Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Many of life's failures are people who did not realize how close they were to success when they gave up.-- Thomas Edison

September 11-18, 2009 Forecast for Eastern U.S. and Nova Scotia

September 11-18, 2009


Forecast for the Southeast
Judging principally from the Solar Ingress chart and the main aspects such as Pluto’s direct station, the Saturn-Uranus opposition, the oppositions of Venus to Jupiter and Neptune, and Mercury’s square to Pluto, the Gulf Coast area, roughly from New Orleans to the Florida Peninsula, will be under some very severe weather patterns.

The crossings between planets in the Solar Ingress and the Lunar Eclipse chart suggest that there may be some tropical storm or hurricane development in the Gulf of Mexico. The strike zone could be from New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle. Central America also shows potential for severe weather; possibly a tropical storm or hurricane strike.

If not an actual tropical system, a severe weather system is possible from the Mississippi Valley eastward to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic States. Pluto’s station suggests a cold air mass descending out of Canada. The Saturn-Uranus opposition suggests high wind velocities. The Venus oppositions to Jupiter and Neptune suggest warm and moist air masses. Taken together, a clashing of atmospheric elements have the potential to engender very strong storms packing damaging winds, hail, and maybe spawning tornadoes.


Northeast and New England
The New Moon and Full Moon charts place the planet Neptune in key positions over this area. The main aspects at this time are Venus opposition Jupiter and Venus opposition Neptune. These tend to increase warmth and moisture. In extreme cases, Neptune has to do with flooding conditions. Staring on the 11th, weather conditions are building in intensity and seem to be at their strongest from the 15th through the 18th when storms bringing heavy rainfall are likely. A tropical system cannot be ruled out.


Nova Scotia
The Last Quarter Moon places a special emphasis over this area. From the 11th through the 18th, a build up of planetary influence points strongly to a severe weather pattern to affect the area or to the likelihood of a tropical system making landfall around the 17th and 18th.

Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009
Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009
Introduction to the Weather Alternative
How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Drinking

Don't try to drown your sorrow in alcohol because sorrow is an expert swimmer.

In ten years 46,000 Americans died in Vietnam. During that same time 250,000 persons were killed in the U.S. by drunk drivers.

Danny's Track and Other Forecast Results

Astrometeorological indications showed that Danny would have a close encounter with the New England area due to configurations in the Full Moon chart of August 5, 2009. (See post)



Accuweather reported today that While Danny was downgraded to a tropical rainstorm early Saturday morning, he still delivered a blow to eastern New England. Torrential downpours and flash flooding were the primary impacts as 2-4 inches of rain deluged places from southeast Massachusetts through eastern Maine. A few locations had even more than 5 inches of rain. Gusty winds added to the miserable weather, and gusts of 40-60 mph were recorded in Cape Cod and the islands of Massachusetts.



In a previous post, I mentioned the possibility of tropical storm development about 240 miles south of Hispaniola (70 west /15 north) between August 21-26. The National Weather Service reported a tropical wave over this area on August 23rd and 24th.



On the 24th they reported A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W TO THE SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15 TO 20 KT. DISORGANIZED ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W.



My post of June 8, 2009, warned of possible tropical storm development between August 22-24 in the intertropical convergence zone along longitude 128 west. Tropical Storm Ignacio was centered at at 124 west and 21 north on the 26th of August and at 126 west and 24 north on the 27th--a few days too late and too a bit further north and west to be called a "hit."

The June 8th post also contained a long-range forecast for August 23-26. This forecast warned of possible tropical trouble in the Gulf as well as severe storms for the Midwest.

No tropical development occurred in the Gulf but 23rd through the 25th brought a dose of strong thunderstorms across the Midwest and Plains. The main threats were damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rain.

Solar Eclipse Action for August and September 2009Solar Eclipse Action October and November 2009

Introduction to the Weather Alternative

How Long-Range Forecasts Are Made

Success and Failure

I don’t measure a man’s
success by how high he
climbs, but how high he
bounces when he hits
bottom.
—General George Patton (1885–1945)

A failure means you put
forth some effort. That’s
good. Failure gives you
an opportunity to learn a
better way to do it. That’s
positive. A failure teaches
you something and adds
to your experience. That’s
very helpful. Failure is an
event, never a person; an
attitude, not an outcome; a
temporary inconvenience;
a stepping stone. Our
response to it determines
just how helpful it can be.
—Zig Ziglar (b. 1926)

Even a mistake may turn
out to be the one thing
necessary to a worthwhile
achievement.
—Henry Ford (1863–1947)